La scuola delle quoteItaliano
VfL Wolfsburg v Lyon
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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VfL Wolfsburg (Casa)
Previsione 12.21%8.19quota equa
EV +9.89%
Vantaggio +1.10%
Kelly +1.24%
Crescita +0.122%
ipotizzando la quota massima 9.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.56%12.11%12.26%13.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
7.007.467.509.0014.29%13.40%13.33%11.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Lyon (Trasferta)
Previsione 71.79%1.39quota equa
EV -3.80%
Vantaggio -2.84%
Kelly -11.18%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.34
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
70.00%71.86%71.67%74.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.151.271.281.3486.96%78.57%78.13%74.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 16.00%6.25quota equa
EV +0.007%
Vantaggio +0.001%
Kelly +0.001%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.81%16.02%16.07%17.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.515.506.2520.00%18.16%18.18%16.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.56%EV +9.89%E +1.10%K +1.24%G +0.122% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.24%EV -8.11%E -6.34%K -28.96%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +0.007%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 17:40 |
| 1xBet | 8.07I 12.39%NM 11.57%EV -1.47%E -0.182%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.82%EV -6.67%E -5.13%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 5.62I 17.79%NM 16.61%EV -10.07%E -1.79%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-24 17:39 |
| Pinnacle | 8.06I 12.41%NM 11.63%EV -1.59%E -0.197%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.26%EV -8.11%E -6.34%K -28.96%G +0.000% | 6.21I 16.10%NM 15.10%EV -0.633%E -0.102%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-24 17:29 |
| DraftKings | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -2.32%E -0.290%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -7.39%E -5.73%K -25.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.99%E -0.665%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| Paddy Power | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -2.32%E -0.290%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.07%EV -13.85%E -11.54%K -69.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.81%EV -3.99%E -0.665%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-24 17:35 |
| SportsBet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -2.32%E -0.290%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -13.85%E -11.54%K -69.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -11.99%E -2.18%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-24 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -8.43%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -3.80%E -2.84%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -11.99%E -2.18%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-24 17:05 |
| Grosvenor | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -8.43%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.40%EV -5.24%E -3.97%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -13.59%E -2.52%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-24 17:04 |
| Casumo | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -8.43%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.40%EV -5.24%E -3.97%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -13.59%E -2.52%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-24 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -8.43%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.40%EV -5.24%E -3.97%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -13.59%E -2.52%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-24 17:05 |
| Unibet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -8.43%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.40%EV -5.24%E -3.97%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -13.59%E -2.52%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-24 17:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -8.43%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.40%EV -5.24%E -3.97%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -13.59%E -2.52%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-24 17:05 |
| betPARX | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -8.43%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.40%EV -5.24%E -3.97%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -13.59%E -2.52%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-24 17:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -8.43%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -7.39%E -5.73%K -25.49%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -7.99%E -1.39%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-24 17:05 |
| Bovada | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -8.43%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.09%EV -9.55%E -7.58%K -36.71%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -7.99%E -1.39%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-24 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -8.43%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.52%EV -10.26%E -8.21%K -41.05%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.56%EV -13.59%E -2.52%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-24 17:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.25%EV -8.43%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 73.40%EV -17.44%E -15.17%K -116.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.35%EV -11.99%E -2.18%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-03-24 17:35 |
| Betsson | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.53%EV -10.87%E -1.49%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.43%EV -8.11%E -6.34%K -28.96%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.04%EV -8.79%E -1.54%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-24 17:04 |
| NordicBet | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.53%EV -10.87%E -1.49%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.43%EV -8.11%E -6.34%K -28.96%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.04%EV -8.79%E -1.54%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-24 17:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.18%EV -11.48%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.77%EV -11.70%E -9.51%K -50.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -11.99%E -2.18%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-24 17:34 |
| Betway | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -14.53%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.99%EV -7.39%E -5.73%K -25.49%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -7.99%E -1.39%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 16:59 |
| LeoVegas | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.82%EV -14.53%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -8.11%E -6.34%K -28.96%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -15.99%E -3.05%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-24 17:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -14.53%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.14%EV -8.83%E -6.95%K -32.70%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -16.79%E -3.23%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-24 17:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -14.53%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.14%EV -8.83%E -6.95%K -32.70%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -16.79%E -3.23%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-24 17:04 |
| BoyleSports | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -14.53%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.13%EV -10.26%E -8.21%K -41.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -11.99%E -2.18%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-24 17:00 |
| 888sport | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -14.53%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.00%EV -10.26%E -8.21%K -41.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -19.99%E -4.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-24 17:30 |
| William Hill | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -14.53%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.00%EV -10.26%E -8.21%K -41.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -19.99%E -4.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-24 17:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -14.53%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.00%EV -10.26%E -8.21%K -41.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -19.99%E -4.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-24 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -14.53%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.00%EV -10.26%E -8.21%K -41.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -19.99%E -4.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-24 17:29 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.00% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12% | 1.2% | 2026-03-24 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.86% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.44% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70% | 1.4% | 2026-03-24 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.82% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.14% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.03% | 1.8% | 2026-03-24 17:40 |
| Smarkets | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.12% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.22% | 3.4% | 2026-03-24 17:40 |