L’École des cotesFrançais
VfL Wolfsburg v Lyon
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
VfL Wolfsburg (Local)
Prévision 12.21%8.19cote équitable
EV +9.89%
Avantage +1.10%
Kelly +1.24%
Croissance +0.122%
avec la cote maximale 9.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.56%12.11%12.26%13.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.007.467.509.0014.29%13.40%13.33%11.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Lyon (Visiteur)
Prévision 71.79%1.39cote équitable
EV -3.80%
Avantage -2.84%
Kelly -11.18%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.34
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.00%71.86%71.67%74.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.151.271.281.3486.96%78.57%78.13%74.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 16.00%6.25cote équitable
EV +0.007%
Avantage +0.001%
Kelly +0.001%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 6.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.81%16.02%16.07%17.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.515.506.2520.00%18.16%18.18%16.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (29 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.56%EV +9.89%E +1.10%K +1.24%G +0.122% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.24%EV -8.11%E -6.34%K -28.96%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +0.007%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 17:40 |
| 1xBet | 8.07I 12.39%NM 11.57%EV -1.47%E -0.182%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.82%EV -6.67%E -5.13%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 5.62I 17.79%NM 16.61%EV -10.07%E -1.79%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-24 17:39 |
| Pinnacle | 8.06I 12.41%NM 11.63%EV -1.59%E -0.197%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.26%EV -8.11%E -6.34%K -28.96%G +0.000% | 6.21I 16.10%NM 15.10%EV -0.633%E -0.102%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-24 17:29 |
| DraftKings | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -2.32%E -0.290%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -7.39%E -5.73%K -25.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.99%E -0.665%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| Paddy Power | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -2.32%E -0.290%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.07%EV -13.85%E -11.54%K -69.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.81%EV -3.99%E -0.665%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-24 17:35 |
| SportsBet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -2.32%E -0.290%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -13.85%E -11.54%K -69.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -11.99%E -2.18%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-24 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -8.43%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -3.80%E -2.84%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -11.99%E -2.18%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-24 17:05 |
| Grosvenor | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -8.43%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.40%EV -5.24%E -3.97%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -13.59%E -2.52%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-24 17:04 |
| Casumo | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -8.43%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.40%EV -5.24%E -3.97%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -13.59%E -2.52%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-24 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -8.43%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.40%EV -5.24%E -3.97%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -13.59%E -2.52%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-24 17:05 |
| Unibet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -8.43%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.40%EV -5.24%E -3.97%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -13.59%E -2.52%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-24 17:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -8.43%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.40%EV -5.24%E -3.97%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -13.59%E -2.52%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-24 17:05 |
| betPARX | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -8.43%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.40%EV -5.24%E -3.97%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -13.59%E -2.52%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-24 17:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -8.43%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -7.39%E -5.73%K -25.49%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -7.99%E -1.39%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-24 17:05 |
| Bovada | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -8.43%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.09%EV -9.55%E -7.58%K -36.71%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -7.99%E -1.39%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-24 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -8.43%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.52%EV -10.26%E -8.21%K -41.05%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.56%EV -13.59%E -2.52%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-24 17:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.25%EV -8.43%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 73.40%EV -17.44%E -15.17%K -116.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.35%EV -11.99%E -2.18%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-03-24 17:35 |
| Betsson | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.53%EV -10.87%E -1.49%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.43%EV -8.11%E -6.34%K -28.96%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.04%EV -8.79%E -1.54%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-24 17:04 |
| NordicBet | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.53%EV -10.87%E -1.49%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.43%EV -8.11%E -6.34%K -28.96%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.04%EV -8.79%E -1.54%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-24 17:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.18%EV -11.48%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.77%EV -11.70%E -9.51%K -50.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -11.99%E -2.18%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-24 17:34 |
| Betway | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -14.53%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.99%EV -7.39%E -5.73%K -25.49%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -7.99%E -1.39%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 16:59 |
| LeoVegas | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.82%EV -14.53%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -8.11%E -6.34%K -28.96%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -15.99%E -3.05%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-24 17:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -14.53%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.14%EV -8.83%E -6.95%K -32.70%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -16.79%E -3.23%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-24 17:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -14.53%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.14%EV -8.83%E -6.95%K -32.70%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -16.79%E -3.23%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-24 17:04 |
| BoyleSports | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -14.53%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.13%EV -10.26%E -8.21%K -41.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -11.99%E -2.18%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-24 17:00 |
| 888sport | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -14.53%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.00%EV -10.26%E -8.21%K -41.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -19.99%E -4.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-24 17:30 |
| William Hill | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -14.53%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.00%EV -10.26%E -8.21%K -41.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -19.99%E -4.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-24 17:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -14.53%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.00%EV -10.26%E -8.21%K -41.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -19.99%E -4.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-24 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -14.53%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.00%EV -10.26%E -8.21%K -41.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -19.99%E -4.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-24 17:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.00% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12% | 1.2% | 2026-03-24 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.86% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.44% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70% | 1.4% | 2026-03-24 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.82% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.14% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.03% | 1.8% | 2026-03-24 17:40 |
| Smarkets | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.12% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.22% | 3.4% | 2026-03-24 17:40 |