La escuela de los momiosEspañol
VfL Wolfsburg v Lyon
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
VfL Wolfsburg (Local)
Predicción 12.21%8.19momio equitativo
EV +9.89%
Ventaja +1.10%
Kelly +1.24%
Crecimiento +0.122%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.56%12.11%12.26%13.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.007.467.509.0014.29%13.40%13.33%11.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Lyon (Visitante)
Predicción 71.79%1.39momio equitativo
EV -3.80%
Ventaja -2.84%
Kelly -11.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.00%71.86%71.67%74.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.151.271.281.3486.96%78.57%78.13%74.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 16.00%6.25momio equitativo
EV +0.007%
Ventaja +0.001%
Kelly +0.001%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.81%16.02%16.07%17.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.515.506.2520.00%18.16%18.18%16.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (29 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.56%EV +9.89%E +1.10%K +1.24%G +0.122% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.24%EV -8.11%E -6.34%K -28.96%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +0.007%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 17:40 |
| 1xBet | 8.07I 12.39%NM 11.57%EV -1.47%E -0.182%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.82%EV -6.67%E -5.13%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 5.62I 17.79%NM 16.61%EV -10.07%E -1.79%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-24 17:39 |
| Pinnacle | 8.06I 12.41%NM 11.63%EV -1.59%E -0.197%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.26%EV -8.11%E -6.34%K -28.96%G +0.000% | 6.21I 16.10%NM 15.10%EV -0.633%E -0.102%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-24 17:29 |
| DraftKings | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -2.32%E -0.290%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -7.39%E -5.73%K -25.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.99%E -0.665%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| Paddy Power | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -2.32%E -0.290%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.07%EV -13.85%E -11.54%K -69.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.81%EV -3.99%E -0.665%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-24 17:35 |
| SportsBet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -2.32%E -0.290%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -13.85%E -11.54%K -69.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -11.99%E -2.18%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-24 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -8.43%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -3.80%E -2.84%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -11.99%E -2.18%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-24 17:05 |
| Grosvenor | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -8.43%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.40%EV -5.24%E -3.97%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -13.59%E -2.52%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-24 17:04 |
| Casumo | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -8.43%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.40%EV -5.24%E -3.97%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -13.59%E -2.52%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-24 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -8.43%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.40%EV -5.24%E -3.97%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -13.59%E -2.52%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-24 17:05 |
| Unibet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -8.43%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.40%EV -5.24%E -3.97%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -13.59%E -2.52%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-24 17:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -8.43%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.40%EV -5.24%E -3.97%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -13.59%E -2.52%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-24 17:05 |
| betPARX | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -8.43%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.40%EV -5.24%E -3.97%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -13.59%E -2.52%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-24 17:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -8.43%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -7.39%E -5.73%K -25.49%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -7.99%E -1.39%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-24 17:05 |
| Bovada | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -8.43%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.09%EV -9.55%E -7.58%K -36.71%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -7.99%E -1.39%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-24 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -8.43%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.52%EV -10.26%E -8.21%K -41.05%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.56%EV -13.59%E -2.52%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-24 17:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.25%EV -8.43%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 73.40%EV -17.44%E -15.17%K -116.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.35%EV -11.99%E -2.18%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-03-24 17:35 |
| Betsson | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.53%EV -10.87%E -1.49%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.43%EV -8.11%E -6.34%K -28.96%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.04%EV -8.79%E -1.54%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-24 17:04 |
| NordicBet | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.53%EV -10.87%E -1.49%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.43%EV -8.11%E -6.34%K -28.96%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.04%EV -8.79%E -1.54%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-24 17:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.18%EV -11.48%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.77%EV -11.70%E -9.51%K -50.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -11.99%E -2.18%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-24 17:34 |
| Betway | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -14.53%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.99%EV -7.39%E -5.73%K -25.49%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -7.99%E -1.39%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 16:59 |
| LeoVegas | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.82%EV -14.53%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -8.11%E -6.34%K -28.96%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -15.99%E -3.05%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-24 17:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -14.53%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.14%EV -8.83%E -6.95%K -32.70%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -16.79%E -3.23%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-24 17:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -14.53%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.14%EV -8.83%E -6.95%K -32.70%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -16.79%E -3.23%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-24 17:04 |
| BoyleSports | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -14.53%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.13%EV -10.26%E -8.21%K -41.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -11.99%E -2.18%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-24 17:00 |
| 888sport | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -14.53%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.00%EV -10.26%E -8.21%K -41.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -19.99%E -4.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-24 17:30 |
| William Hill | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -14.53%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.00%EV -10.26%E -8.21%K -41.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -19.99%E -4.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-24 17:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -14.53%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.00%EV -10.26%E -8.21%K -41.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -19.99%E -4.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-24 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -14.53%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.00%EV -10.26%E -8.21%K -41.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -19.99%E -4.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-24 17:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.00% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12% | 1.2% | 2026-03-24 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.86% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.44% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70% | 1.4% | 2026-03-24 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.82% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.14% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.03% | 1.8% | 2026-03-24 17:40 |
| Smarkets | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.12% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.22% | 3.4% | 2026-03-24 17:40 |