Oddsskolan

Bayern Munich v Manchester United

Matchstart: 2026-04-01 16:45 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

28 spelbolag (12 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Bayern Munich (Hemma)

Prognos 65.70%1.52rättvist odds
EV -3.42%
Fördel -2.33%
Kelly -7.29%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.47

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
64.68%65.81%65.51%69.77%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.281.361.361.4778.13%73.57%73.53%68.03%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Manchester United (Borta)

Prognos 15.69%6.38rättvist odds
EV +17.65%
Fördel +2.35%
Kelly +2.71%
Tillväxt +0.479%

med antagandet om högsta odds 7.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
12.65%15.68%15.81%16.97%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
5.206.246.057.5019.23%16.02%16.53%13.33%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 18.62%5.37rättvist odds
EV +0.527%
Fördel +0.098%
Kelly +0.120%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.42%18.50%18.68%19.16%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
4.605.005.055.4021.74%19.99%19.80%18.52%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (28 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.77%EV -10.65%E -7.83%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.65%EV +17.65%E +2.35%K +2.71%G +0.479%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.57%EV +0.527%E +0.098%K +0.120%G +0.001%5.4%2026-04-01 16:01
Casumo1.34I 74.63%NM 69.24%EV -11.97%E -8.93%K -35.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +9.80%E +1.40%K +1.63%G +0.160%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV -1.33%E -0.252%K -0.310%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 16:01
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 69.24%EV -11.97%E -8.93%K -35.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +9.80%E +1.40%K +1.63%G +0.160%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV -1.33%E -0.252%K -0.310%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 16:01
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.24%EV -11.97%E -8.93%K -35.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +9.80%E +1.40%K +1.63%G +0.160%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV -1.33%E -0.252%K -0.310%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 16:01
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 69.24%EV -11.97%E -8.93%K -35.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +9.80%E +1.40%K +1.63%G +0.160%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV -1.33%E -0.252%K -0.310%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 16:01
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.24%EV -11.97%E -8.93%K -35.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +9.80%E +1.40%K +1.63%G +0.160%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV -1.33%E -0.252%K -0.310%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 16:01
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.24%EV -11.97%E -8.93%K -35.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +9.80%E +1.40%K +1.63%G +0.160%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV -1.33%E -0.252%K -0.310%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 16:01
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 69.41%EV -14.59%E -11.23%K -48.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV +9.80%E +1.40%K +1.63%G +0.160%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -5.06%E -0.992%K -1.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-01 16:01
LiveScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 69.42%EV -15.91%E -12.43%K -56.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.16%EV +5.88%E +0.871%K +1.02%G +0.060%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.42%EV -5.06%E -0.992%K -1.23%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-01 16:01
Virgin Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 69.42%EV -15.91%E -12.43%K -56.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.16%EV +5.88%E +0.871%K +1.02%G +0.060%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.42%EV -5.06%E -0.992%K -1.23%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-01 16:01
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 67.86%EV -14.59%E -11.23%K -48.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV +1.96%E +0.302%K +0.356%G +0.007%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -11.57%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-01 16:19
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 67.31%EV -8.02%E -5.73%K -20.06%G +0.000%6.47I 15.46%NM 14.57%EV +1.49%E +0.230%K +0.272%G +0.004%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -3.20%E -0.615%K -0.761%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 16:40
Betclic (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.32%EV -9.99%E -7.30%K -27.01%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.12%EV -4.31%E -0.707%K -0.846%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -2.27%E -0.432%K -0.533%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-01 16:18
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 67.09%EV -9.99%E -7.30%K -27.01%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -4.31%E -0.707%K -0.846%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.85%EV -4.13%E -0.801%K -0.994%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-01 14:05
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.98%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -5.88%E -0.980%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 16:20
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.05%E -4.23%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -5.88%E -0.980%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -2.27%E -0.432%K -0.533%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 16:34
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -8.02%E -5.73%K -20.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -5.88%E -0.980%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.64%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-01 16:33
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -10.65%E -7.83%K -29.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -5.88%E -0.980%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -11.57%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-01 15:30
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 66.70%EV -14.59%E -11.23%K -48.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.45%EV -5.88%E -0.980%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.85%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-01 16:20
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.32%EV -6.71%E -4.72%K -15.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -9.80%E -1.71%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 16:40
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 65.01%EV -8.02%E -5.73%K -20.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -9.80%E -1.71%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -11.57%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-01 16:30
NordicBet1.41I 70.92%NM 64.88%EV -7.37%E -5.22%K -17.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -13.73%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.48%EV -7.85%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 16:39
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 64.81%EV -10.65%E -7.83%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -13.73%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.16%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-01 16:40
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 64.81%EV -10.65%E -7.83%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -13.73%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.16%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-01 16:39
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.81%EV -10.65%E -7.83%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -13.73%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.16%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-01 16:34
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.81%EV -10.65%E -7.83%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -13.73%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.16%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-01 16:34
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 64.68%EV -9.34%E -6.77%K -24.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.53%EV -15.29%E -2.83%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.79%EV -11.57%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-01 16:40
NetBet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.38%EV -11.31%E -8.38%K -32.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.97%EV -18.43%E -3.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-01 16:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 67.35%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.84%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81%0.3%2026-04-01 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.51%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.75%0.6%2026-04-01 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.51%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.75%0.6%2026-04-01 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.51%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.75%0.6%2026-04-01 16:35