Langue:Français
Bayern Munich v Manchester United
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Bayern Munich (Local)
Prévision 65.70%1.52cote équitable
EV -3.42%
Avantage -2.33%
Kelly -7.29%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.47
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.68%65.81%65.51%69.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.281.361.361.4778.13%73.57%73.53%68.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Manchester United (Visiteur)
Prévision 15.69%6.38cote équitable
EV +17.65%
Avantage +2.35%
Kelly +2.71%
Croissance +0.479%
avec la cote maximale 7.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.65%15.68%15.81%16.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.206.246.057.5019.23%16.02%16.53%13.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 18.62%5.37cote équitable
EV +0.527%
Avantage +0.098%
Kelly +0.120%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 5.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.42%18.50%18.68%19.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.605.005.055.4021.74%19.99%19.80%18.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Bayern Munich (Local) : 65.70% ; Manchester United (Visiteur) : 15.69% ; Match nul : 18.62%. Pour Manchester United (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.38. 12 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.50, soit une espérance positive de +17.65%.
Cotes des opérateurs (28 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.77%EV -10.65%E -7.83%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.65%EV +17.65%E +2.35%K +2.71%G +0.479% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.57%EV +0.527%E +0.098%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 16:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.24%EV -11.97%E -8.93%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +9.80%E +1.40%K +1.63%G +0.160% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV -1.33%E -0.252%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 16:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.24%EV -11.97%E -8.93%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +9.80%E +1.40%K +1.63%G +0.160% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV -1.33%E -0.252%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 16:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.24%EV -11.97%E -8.93%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +9.80%E +1.40%K +1.63%G +0.160% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV -1.33%E -0.252%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 16:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.24%EV -11.97%E -8.93%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +9.80%E +1.40%K +1.63%G +0.160% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV -1.33%E -0.252%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 16:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.24%EV -11.97%E -8.93%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +9.80%E +1.40%K +1.63%G +0.160% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV -1.33%E -0.252%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 16:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.24%EV -11.97%E -8.93%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +9.80%E +1.40%K +1.63%G +0.160% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV -1.33%E -0.252%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 16:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.41%EV -14.59%E -11.23%K -48.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV +9.80%E +1.40%K +1.63%G +0.160% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -5.06%E -0.992%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-01 16:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.42%EV -15.91%E -12.43%K -56.81%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.16%EV +5.88%E +0.871%K +1.02%G +0.060% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.42%EV -5.06%E -0.992%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-01 16:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.42%EV -15.91%E -12.43%K -56.81%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.16%EV +5.88%E +0.871%K +1.02%G +0.060% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.42%EV -5.06%E -0.992%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-01 16:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.86%EV -14.59%E -11.23%K -48.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV +1.96%E +0.302%K +0.356%G +0.007% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -11.57%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-01 16:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.31%EV -8.02%E -5.73%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 6.47I 15.46%NM 14.57%EV +1.49%E +0.230%K +0.272%G +0.004% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -3.20%E -0.615%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.32%EV -9.99%E -7.30%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.12%EV -4.31%E -0.707%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -2.27%E -0.432%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-01 16:18 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.09%EV -9.99%E -7.30%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -4.31%E -0.707%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.85%EV -4.13%E -0.801%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 14:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.98%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -5.88%E -0.980%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 16:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.05%E -4.23%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -5.88%E -0.980%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -2.27%E -0.432%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-01 16:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -8.02%E -5.73%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -5.88%E -0.980%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.64%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-01 16:33 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -10.65%E -7.83%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -5.88%E -0.980%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -11.57%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-01 15:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.70%EV -14.59%E -11.23%K -48.64%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.45%EV -5.88%E -0.980%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.85%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-01 16:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.32%EV -6.71%E -4.72%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -9.80%E -1.71%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.01%EV -8.02%E -5.73%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -9.80%E -1.71%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -11.57%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-01 16:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.88%EV -7.37%E -5.22%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -13.73%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.48%EV -7.85%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.81%EV -10.65%E -7.83%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -13.73%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.16%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.81%EV -10.65%E -7.83%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -13.73%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.16%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.81%EV -10.65%E -7.83%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -13.73%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.16%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-01 16:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.81%EV -10.65%E -7.83%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -13.73%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.16%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-01 16:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.68%EV -9.34%E -6.77%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.53%EV -15.29%E -2.83%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.79%EV -11.57%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.38%EV -11.31%E -8.38%K -32.31%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.97%EV -18.43%E -3.54%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.35% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.84% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81% | 0.3% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.51% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.75% | 0.6% | 2026-04-01 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.51% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.75% | 0.6% | 2026-04-01 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.51% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.75% | 0.6% | 2026-04-01 16:35 |