La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Bayern Munich v Manchester United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Bayern Munich (Local)
Predicción 65.70%1.52momio equitativo
EV -3.42%
Ventaja -2.33%
Kelly -7.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.68%65.81%65.51%69.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.281.361.361.4778.13%73.57%73.53%68.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Manchester United (Visitante)
Predicción 15.69%6.38momio equitativo
EV +17.65%
Ventaja +2.35%
Kelly +2.71%
Crecimiento +0.479%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.65%15.68%15.81%16.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.206.246.057.5019.23%16.02%16.53%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 18.62%5.37momio equitativo
EV +0.527%
Ventaja +0.098%
Kelly +0.120%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.42%18.50%18.68%19.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.605.005.055.4021.74%19.99%19.80%18.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (28 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.77%EV -10.65%E -7.83%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.65%EV +17.65%E +2.35%K +2.71%G +0.479% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.57%EV +0.527%E +0.098%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 16:01 |
| Casumo | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.24%EV -11.97%E -8.93%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +9.80%E +1.40%K +1.63%G +0.160% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV -1.33%E -0.252%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 16:01 |
| Grosvenor | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.24%EV -11.97%E -8.93%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +9.80%E +1.40%K +1.63%G +0.160% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV -1.33%E -0.252%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 16:01 |
| Unibet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.24%EV -11.97%E -8.93%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +9.80%E +1.40%K +1.63%G +0.160% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV -1.33%E -0.252%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 16:01 |
| betPARX | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.24%EV -11.97%E -8.93%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +9.80%E +1.40%K +1.63%G +0.160% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV -1.33%E -0.252%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 16:01 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.24%EV -11.97%E -8.93%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +9.80%E +1.40%K +1.63%G +0.160% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV -1.33%E -0.252%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 16:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.24%EV -11.97%E -8.93%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +9.80%E +1.40%K +1.63%G +0.160% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV -1.33%E -0.252%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 16:01 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.41%EV -14.59%E -11.23%K -48.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV +9.80%E +1.40%K +1.63%G +0.160% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -5.06%E -0.992%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-01 16:01 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.42%EV -15.91%E -12.43%K -56.81%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.16%EV +5.88%E +0.871%K +1.02%G +0.060% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.42%EV -5.06%E -0.992%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-01 16:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.42%EV -15.91%E -12.43%K -56.81%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.16%EV +5.88%E +0.871%K +1.02%G +0.060% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.42%EV -5.06%E -0.992%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-01 16:01 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.86%EV -14.59%E -11.23%K -48.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV +1.96%E +0.302%K +0.356%G +0.007% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -11.57%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-01 16:19 |
| Pinnacle | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.31%EV -8.02%E -5.73%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 6.47I 15.46%NM 14.57%EV +1.49%E +0.230%K +0.272%G +0.004% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -3.20%E -0.615%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.32%EV -9.99%E -7.30%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.12%EV -4.31%E -0.707%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -2.27%E -0.432%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-01 16:18 |
| Betsson | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.09%EV -9.99%E -7.30%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -4.31%E -0.707%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.85%EV -4.13%E -0.801%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 14:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.98%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -5.88%E -0.980%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 16:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.05%E -4.23%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -5.88%E -0.980%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -2.27%E -0.432%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-01 16:34 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -8.02%E -5.73%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -5.88%E -0.980%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.64%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-01 16:33 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -10.65%E -7.83%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -5.88%E -0.980%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -11.57%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-01 15:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.70%EV -14.59%E -11.23%K -48.64%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.45%EV -5.88%E -0.980%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.85%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-01 16:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.32%EV -6.71%E -4.72%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -9.80%E -1.71%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.01%EV -8.02%E -5.73%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -9.80%E -1.71%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -11.57%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-01 16:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.88%EV -7.37%E -5.22%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -13.73%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.48%EV -7.85%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.81%EV -10.65%E -7.83%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -13.73%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.16%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.81%EV -10.65%E -7.83%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -13.73%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.16%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.81%EV -10.65%E -7.83%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -13.73%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.16%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-01 16:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.81%EV -10.65%E -7.83%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -13.73%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.16%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-01 16:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.68%EV -9.34%E -6.77%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.53%EV -15.29%E -2.83%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.79%EV -11.57%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.38%EV -11.31%E -8.38%K -32.31%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.97%EV -18.43%E -3.54%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.35% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.84% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81% | 0.3% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.51% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.75% | 0.6% | 2026-04-01 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.51% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.75% | 0.6% | 2026-04-01 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.51% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.75% | 0.6% | 2026-04-01 16:35 |