La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Bayern Munich v Barcelona
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Bayern Munich (Casa)
Previsione 10.52%9.51quota equa
EV +47.28%
Vantaggio +3.38%
Kelly +3.64%
Crescita +1.72%
ipotizzando la quota massima 14.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
6.80%10.46%10.49%12.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
7.008.688.6314.0014.29%11.52%11.59%7.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Barcelona (Trasferta)
Previsione 74.60%1.34quota equa
EV -5.26%
Vantaggio -4.14%
Kelly -19.47%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.27
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
72.10%74.73%74.53%80.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.161.231.231.2786.21%81.41%81.30%78.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 14.88%6.72quota equa
EV +7.87%
Vantaggio +1.09%
Kelly +1.26%
Crescita +0.099%
ipotizzando la quota massima 7.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.14%14.81%14.97%15.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.506.026.007.2518.18%16.61%16.67%13.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.80%EV +47.28%E +3.38%K +3.64%G +1.72% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.06%EV -11.22%E -9.43%K -59.08%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.14%EV +7.87%E +1.09%K +1.26%G +0.099% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.96%EV -0.063%E -0.007%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.52%EV -5.26%E -4.14%K -19.47%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.52%EV -9.24%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-22 22:00 |
| Paddy Power | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -0.063%E -0.007%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.71%EV -11.97%E -10.14%K -66.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -10.73%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-23 18:59 |
| DraftKings | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -5.32%E -0.591%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.27%EV -7.49%E -6.04%K -31.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -3.29%E -0.506%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 06:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -5.32%E -0.591%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.00%E -4.76%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.73%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 22:00 |
| Grosvenor | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -5.32%E -0.591%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.00%E -4.76%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.73%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 22:05 |
| Casumo | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -5.32%E -0.591%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.00%E -4.76%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.73%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 22:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -5.32%E -0.591%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.00%E -4.76%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.73%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 22:04 |
| betPARX | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -5.32%E -0.591%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.00%E -4.76%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.73%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 22:04 |
| Unibet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -5.32%E -0.591%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.00%E -4.76%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.73%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 22:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -5.32%E -0.591%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.75%E -5.40%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -10.73%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 12:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.32%E -0.591%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.25%EV -8.24%E -6.70%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -4.77%E -0.746%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Bet Victor | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -5.32%E -0.591%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -8.99%E -7.37%K -40.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -10.73%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| Pinnacle | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.48%EV -7.43%E -0.844%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.01%EV -8.24%E -6.70%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 6.36I 15.72%NM 14.51%EV -5.37%E -0.844%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 07:04 |
| Bovada | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.38%EV -7.95%E -0.909%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.47%EV -8.99%E -7.37%K -40.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -10.73%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| Betway | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -10.58%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -8.99%E -7.37%K -40.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.73%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-23 10:14 |
| LeoVegas | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -10.58%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.86%EV -8.99%E -7.37%K -40.85%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.54%EV -13.70%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-22 22:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.52%EV -10.58%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.92%EV -9.73%E -8.04%K -46.34%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.56%EV -14.45%E -2.51%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-22 22:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.52%EV -10.58%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.92%EV -9.73%E -8.04%K -46.34%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.56%EV -14.45%E -2.51%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-22 22:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.42%EV -10.58%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.78%EV -10.48%E -8.73%K -52.39%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.81%EV -16.68%E -2.98%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-22 22:00 |
| SportsBet | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.13%EV -10.58%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 74.22%EV -13.46%E -11.61%K -84.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.65%EV -18.17%E -3.30%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-23 18:59 |
| NordicBet | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.86%EV -11.63%E -1.39%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.18%EV -8.24%E -6.70%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -9.24%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| Betsson | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.86%EV -11.63%E -1.39%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.18%EV -8.24%E -6.70%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -9.24%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 8.30I 12.05%NM 10.75%EV -12.69%E -1.53%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.37%EV -10.48%E -8.73%K -52.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.87%EV -10.73%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 8.25I 12.12%NM 10.65%EV -13.21%E -1.60%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 74.46%EV -11.97%E -10.14%K -66.50%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.89%EV -12.21%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-23 08:30 |
| BoyleSports | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.61%EV -21.10%E -2.81%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.56%EV -10.48%E -8.73%K -52.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.83%EV -18.17%E -3.30%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-23 07:00 |
| 888sport | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -26.36%E -3.77%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.10%EV -6.75%E -5.40%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -10.73%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-22 13:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -26.36%E -3.77%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.10%EV -6.75%E -5.40%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -10.73%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-22 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -26.36%E -3.77%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.10%EV -6.75%E -5.40%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -10.73%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-22 13:54 |
| William Hill | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -26.36%E -3.77%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.10%EV -6.75%E -5.40%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -10.73%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-22 14:36 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.22% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.65% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.13% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 6.83% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 43.03% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 50.14% | 83.0% | 2026-04-23 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 6.83% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 43.03% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 50.14% | 83.0% | 2026-04-23 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 6.57% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 41.39% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 52.04% | 90.3% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |