L’École des cotesFrançais
Bayern Munich v Barcelona
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Bayern Munich (Local)
Prévision 10.52%9.51cote équitable
EV +47.28%
Avantage +3.38%
Kelly +3.64%
Croissance +1.72%
avec la cote maximale 14.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.80%10.46%10.49%12.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.008.688.6314.0014.29%11.52%11.59%7.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Barcelona (Visiteur)
Prévision 74.60%1.34cote équitable
EV -5.26%
Avantage -4.14%
Kelly -19.47%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.27
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.10%74.73%74.53%80.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.161.231.231.2786.21%81.41%81.30%78.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 14.88%6.72cote équitable
EV +7.87%
Avantage +1.09%
Kelly +1.26%
Croissance +0.099%
avec la cote maximale 7.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.14%14.81%14.97%15.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.026.007.2518.18%16.61%16.67%13.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.80%EV +47.28%E +3.38%K +3.64%G +1.72% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.06%EV -11.22%E -9.43%K -59.08%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.14%EV +7.87%E +1.09%K +1.26%G +0.099% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.96%EV -0.063%E -0.007%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.52%EV -5.26%E -4.14%K -19.47%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.52%EV -9.24%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-22 22:00 |
| Paddy Power | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -0.063%E -0.007%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.71%EV -11.97%E -10.14%K -66.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -10.73%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-23 18:59 |
| DraftKings | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -5.32%E -0.591%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.27%EV -7.49%E -6.04%K -31.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -3.29%E -0.506%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 06:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -5.32%E -0.591%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.00%E -4.76%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.73%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 22:00 |
| Grosvenor | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -5.32%E -0.591%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.00%E -4.76%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.73%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 22:05 |
| Casumo | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -5.32%E -0.591%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.00%E -4.76%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.73%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 22:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -5.32%E -0.591%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.00%E -4.76%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.73%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 22:04 |
| betPARX | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -5.32%E -0.591%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.00%E -4.76%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.73%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 22:04 |
| Unibet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -5.32%E -0.591%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.00%E -4.76%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.73%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 22:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -5.32%E -0.591%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.75%E -5.40%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -10.73%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 12:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.32%E -0.591%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.25%EV -8.24%E -6.70%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -4.77%E -0.746%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Bet Victor | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -5.32%E -0.591%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -8.99%E -7.37%K -40.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -10.73%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| Pinnacle | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.48%EV -7.43%E -0.844%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.01%EV -8.24%E -6.70%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 6.36I 15.72%NM 14.51%EV -5.37%E -0.844%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 07:04 |
| Bovada | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.38%EV -7.95%E -0.909%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.47%EV -8.99%E -7.37%K -40.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -10.73%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| Betway | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -10.58%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -8.99%E -7.37%K -40.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.73%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-23 10:14 |
| LeoVegas | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -10.58%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.86%EV -8.99%E -7.37%K -40.85%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.54%EV -13.70%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-22 22:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.52%EV -10.58%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.92%EV -9.73%E -8.04%K -46.34%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.56%EV -14.45%E -2.51%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-22 22:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.52%EV -10.58%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.92%EV -9.73%E -8.04%K -46.34%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.56%EV -14.45%E -2.51%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-22 22:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.42%EV -10.58%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.78%EV -10.48%E -8.73%K -52.39%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.81%EV -16.68%E -2.98%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-22 22:00 |
| SportsBet | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.13%EV -10.58%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 74.22%EV -13.46%E -11.61%K -84.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.65%EV -18.17%E -3.30%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-23 18:59 |
| NordicBet | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.86%EV -11.63%E -1.39%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.18%EV -8.24%E -6.70%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -9.24%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| Betsson | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.86%EV -11.63%E -1.39%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.18%EV -8.24%E -6.70%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -9.24%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 8.30I 12.05%NM 10.75%EV -12.69%E -1.53%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.37%EV -10.48%E -8.73%K -52.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.87%EV -10.73%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 8.25I 12.12%NM 10.65%EV -13.21%E -1.60%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 74.46%EV -11.97%E -10.14%K -66.50%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.89%EV -12.21%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-23 08:30 |
| BoyleSports | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.61%EV -21.10%E -2.81%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.56%EV -10.48%E -8.73%K -52.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.83%EV -18.17%E -3.30%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-23 07:00 |
| 888sport | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -26.36%E -3.77%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.10%EV -6.75%E -5.40%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -10.73%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-22 13:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -26.36%E -3.77%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.10%EV -6.75%E -5.40%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -10.73%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-22 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -26.36%E -3.77%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.10%EV -6.75%E -5.40%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -10.73%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-22 13:54 |
| William Hill | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -26.36%E -3.77%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.10%EV -6.75%E -5.40%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -10.73%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-22 14:36 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.22% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.65% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.13% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 6.83% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 43.03% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 50.14% | 83.0% | 2026-04-23 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 6.83% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 43.03% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 50.14% | 83.0% | 2026-04-23 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 6.57% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 41.39% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 52.04% | 90.3% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |