L’École des cotesFrançais
Barcelona v Lyon
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Barcelona (Local)
Prévision 60.41%1.66cote équitable
EV -3.34%
Avantage -2.09%
Kelly -5.57%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.14%60.69%60.12%67.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.471.461.6072.46%67.83%68.73%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Lyon (Visiteur)
Prévision 17.94%5.57cote équitable
EV +13.05%
Avantage +2.07%
Kelly +2.46%
Croissance +0.321%
avec la cote maximale 6.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.12%17.88%18.05%21.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.335.245.406.3023.09%19.10%18.52%15.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 21.64%4.62cote équitable
EV +15.80%
Avantage +2.95%
Kelly +3.63%
Croissance +0.574%
avec la cote maximale 5.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.80%21.43%21.83%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.384.345.3525.00%22.82%23.04%18.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.08%EV -14.21%E -10.01%K -33.84%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.12%EV +13.05%E +2.07%K +2.46%G +0.321% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.80%EV +15.80%E +2.95%K +3.63%G +0.574% | 5.0% | 2026-05-23 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.60%EV -10.59%E -7.16%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV +3.18%E +0.552%K +0.669%G +0.021% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +1.73%E +0.368%K +0.467%G +0.008% | 6.2% | 2026-05-23 15:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.70%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.36%EV -21.59%E -4.94%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 19.94%EV +1.29%E +0.277%K +0.352%G +0.005% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 15:50 |
| Unibet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.37%EV -11.80%E -8.08%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.52%EV +0.485%E +0.087%K +0.105%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -0.437%E -0.095%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-23 15:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.53%EV -12.40%E -8.55%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV +0.485%E +0.087%K +0.105%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -0.437%E -0.095%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-23 15:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.53%EV -12.40%E -8.55%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV +0.485%E +0.087%K +0.105%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -0.437%E -0.095%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-23 15:50 |
| betPARX | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.53%EV -12.40%E -8.55%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV +0.485%E +0.087%K +0.105%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -0.437%E -0.095%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-23 15:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.53%EV -12.40%E -8.55%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV +0.485%E +0.087%K +0.105%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -0.437%E -0.095%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-23 15:50 |
| Casumo | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.53%EV -12.40%E -8.55%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV +0.485%E +0.087%K +0.105%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -0.437%E -0.095%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-23 15:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.54%EV -14.21%E -10.01%K -33.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -1.31%E -0.238%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -2.60%E -0.578%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-23 15:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.56%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -12.08%E -2.46%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -4.77%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-23 15:49 |
| Bovada | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -9.38%E -6.25%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.28%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -4.77%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-23 15:48 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.39%EV -15.42%E -11.02%K -38.56%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.44%EV -3.10%E -0.575%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.17%EV -4.77%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-23 15:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.39%EV -15.42%E -11.02%K -38.56%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.44%EV -3.10%E -0.575%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.17%EV -4.77%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-23 15:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.58%EV -16.63%E -12.05%K -43.77%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.25%EV -3.10%E -0.575%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.17%EV -5.85%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-23 15:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -9.38%E -6.25%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -14.77%E -3.11%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.84%EV -6.28%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-23 15:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.07%EV -9.38%E -6.25%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.46%EV -22.30%E -5.15%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.46%EV -6.28%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-23 15:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.80%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -6.93%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 15:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -9.38%E -6.25%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV +3.18%E +0.552%K +0.669%G +0.021% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.01%E -1.89%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-23 15:48 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.87%EV -13.01%E -9.03%K -29.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -13.87%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -9.09%E -2.17%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-23 15:40 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.87%EV -13.01%E -9.03%K -29.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -13.87%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -9.09%E -2.17%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-23 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.87%EV -13.01%E -9.03%K -29.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -13.87%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -9.09%E -2.17%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-23 15:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.87%EV -13.01%E -9.03%K -29.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -13.87%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -9.09%E -2.17%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-23 15:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.39%EV -13.01%E -9.03%K -29.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.90%EV -17.46%E -3.80%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -9.09%E -2.17%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-23 15:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.87%EV -10.59%E -7.16%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.06%EV +2.28%E +0.400%K +0.485%G +0.011% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.06%EV -10.18%E -2.45%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-23 15:49 |
| Betsson | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.87%EV -10.59%E -7.16%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.06%EV +2.28%E +0.400%K +0.485%G +0.011% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.06%EV -10.18%E -2.45%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-23 15:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.32%EV -11.19%E -7.62%K -23.82%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -3.10%E -0.575%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -11.26%E -2.75%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-23 15:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.21%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -19.25%E -4.28%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.99%EV -12.34%E -3.05%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-23 15:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.05%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -4.90%E -0.924%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.24%EV -12.56%E -3.11%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 15:38 |
| Betway | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -10.28%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -13.42%E -3.36%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-23 15:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.22% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.46% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.32% | 0.5% | 2026-05-23 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.03% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 0.8% | 2026-05-23 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.03% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 0.8% | 2026-05-23 15:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.91% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.58% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.51% | 1.6% | 2026-05-23 15:40 |