La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Barcelona v Lyon
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Barcelona (Local)
Predicción 60.41%1.66momio equitativo
EV -3.34%
Ventaja -2.09%
Kelly -5.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.14%60.69%60.12%67.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.471.461.6072.46%67.83%68.73%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Lyon (Visitante)
Predicción 17.94%5.57momio equitativo
EV +13.05%
Ventaja +2.07%
Kelly +2.46%
Crecimiento +0.321%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.12%17.88%18.05%21.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.335.245.406.3023.09%19.10%18.52%15.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.64%4.62momio equitativo
EV +15.80%
Ventaja +2.95%
Kelly +3.63%
Crecimiento +0.574%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.80%21.43%21.83%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.384.345.3525.00%22.82%23.04%18.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (30 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.08%EV -14.21%E -10.01%K -33.84%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.12%EV +13.05%E +2.07%K +2.46%G +0.321% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.80%EV +15.80%E +2.95%K +3.63%G +0.574% | 5.0% | 2026-05-23 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.60%EV -10.59%E -7.16%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV +3.18%E +0.552%K +0.669%G +0.021% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +1.73%E +0.368%K +0.467%G +0.008% | 6.2% | 2026-05-23 15:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.70%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.36%EV -21.59%E -4.94%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 19.94%EV +1.29%E +0.277%K +0.352%G +0.005% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 15:50 |
| Unibet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.37%EV -11.80%E -8.08%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.52%EV +0.485%E +0.087%K +0.105%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -0.437%E -0.095%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-23 15:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.53%EV -12.40%E -8.55%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV +0.485%E +0.087%K +0.105%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -0.437%E -0.095%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-23 15:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.53%EV -12.40%E -8.55%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV +0.485%E +0.087%K +0.105%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -0.437%E -0.095%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-23 15:50 |
| betPARX | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.53%EV -12.40%E -8.55%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV +0.485%E +0.087%K +0.105%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -0.437%E -0.095%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-23 15:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.53%EV -12.40%E -8.55%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV +0.485%E +0.087%K +0.105%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -0.437%E -0.095%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-23 15:50 |
| Casumo | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.53%EV -12.40%E -8.55%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV +0.485%E +0.087%K +0.105%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -0.437%E -0.095%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-23 15:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.54%EV -14.21%E -10.01%K -33.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -1.31%E -0.238%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -2.60%E -0.578%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-23 15:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.56%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -12.08%E -2.46%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -4.77%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-23 15:49 |
| Bovada | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -9.38%E -6.25%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.28%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -4.77%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-23 15:48 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.39%EV -15.42%E -11.02%K -38.56%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.44%EV -3.10%E -0.575%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.17%EV -4.77%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-23 15:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.39%EV -15.42%E -11.02%K -38.56%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.44%EV -3.10%E -0.575%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.17%EV -4.77%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-23 15:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.58%EV -16.63%E -12.05%K -43.77%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.25%EV -3.10%E -0.575%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.17%EV -5.85%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-23 15:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -9.38%E -6.25%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -14.77%E -3.11%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.84%EV -6.28%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-23 15:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.07%EV -9.38%E -6.25%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.46%EV -22.30%E -5.15%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.46%EV -6.28%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-23 15:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.80%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -6.93%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 15:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -9.38%E -6.25%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV +3.18%E +0.552%K +0.669%G +0.021% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.01%E -1.89%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-23 15:48 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.87%EV -13.01%E -9.03%K -29.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -13.87%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -9.09%E -2.17%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-23 15:40 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.87%EV -13.01%E -9.03%K -29.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -13.87%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -9.09%E -2.17%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-23 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.87%EV -13.01%E -9.03%K -29.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -13.87%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -9.09%E -2.17%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-23 15:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.87%EV -13.01%E -9.03%K -29.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -13.87%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -9.09%E -2.17%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-23 15:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.39%EV -13.01%E -9.03%K -29.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.90%EV -17.46%E -3.80%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -9.09%E -2.17%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-23 15:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.87%EV -10.59%E -7.16%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.06%EV +2.28%E +0.400%K +0.485%G +0.011% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.06%EV -10.18%E -2.45%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-23 15:49 |
| Betsson | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.87%EV -10.59%E -7.16%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.06%EV +2.28%E +0.400%K +0.485%G +0.011% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.06%EV -10.18%E -2.45%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-23 15:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.32%EV -11.19%E -7.62%K -23.82%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -3.10%E -0.575%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -11.26%E -2.75%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-23 15:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.21%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -19.25%E -4.28%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.99%EV -12.34%E -3.05%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-23 15:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.05%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -4.90%E -0.924%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.24%EV -12.56%E -3.11%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 15:38 |
| Betway | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -10.28%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -13.42%E -3.36%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-23 15:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.22% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.46% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.32% | 0.5% | 2026-05-23 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.03% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 0.8% | 2026-05-23 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.03% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 0.8% | 2026-05-23 15:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.91% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.58% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.51% | 1.6% | 2026-05-23 15:40 |