A Escola das Odds

SK Sturm Graz v Hearts

Início: 2026-07-21 18:30 UTC

Final: SK Sturm Graz 4–0 Hearts

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

32 casas de apostas (9 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

SK Sturm Graz (Local)

Previsão 51.23%1.95odd justa
EV -5.22%
Vantagem -2.82%
Kelly -6.15%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.14%51.27%51.20%53.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.681.791.791.8559.52%55.97%55.87%54.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Hearts (Visitante)

Previsão 23.81%4.20odd justa
EV +7.36%
Vantagem +1.63%
Kelly +2.10%
Crescimento +0.154%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.05%23.71%23.84%25.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.604.014.004.5127.78%24.93%25.00%22.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.96%4.01odd justa
EV -3.89%
Vantagem -1.01%
Kelly -1.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.29%25.03%24.96%26.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.403.653.653.8529.41%27.40%27.40%25.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (32 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.63%EV -9.32%E -5.27%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.05%EV +7.36%E +1.63%K +2.10%G +0.154%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -6.38%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 18:25
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -8.81%E -4.95%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV +1.17%E +0.276%K +0.361%G +0.004%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -11.37%E -3.20%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 18:25
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -8.81%E -4.95%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV +1.17%E +0.276%K +0.361%G +0.004%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -11.37%E -3.20%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 18:25
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -8.30%E -4.64%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -0.018%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -8.88%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 18:25
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -8.30%E -4.64%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -0.018%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -8.88%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 18:25
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -8.30%E -4.64%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -0.018%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -8.88%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 18:25
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -8.30%E -4.64%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -0.018%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -8.88%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 18:25
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -8.81%E -4.95%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -0.018%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.88%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-21 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -8.81%E -4.95%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -0.018%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.88%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-21 18:25
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -9.32%E -5.27%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -0.018%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 18:25
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.04%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -2.40%E -0.585%K -0.774%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%EV -3.89%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 18:25
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -6.76%E -3.72%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.40%E -0.585%K -0.774%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.63%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 18:25
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.23%EV -10.86%E -6.24%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -2.40%E -0.585%K -0.774%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -11.37%E -3.20%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-21 18:25
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.23%EV -10.86%E -6.24%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -2.40%E -0.585%K -0.774%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -11.37%E -3.20%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-21 18:25
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -9.32%E -5.27%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -2.40%E -0.585%K -0.774%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -15.12%E -4.45%K -6.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-21 18:25
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -6.76%E -3.72%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.78%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-21 18:25
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -6.76%E -3.72%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -4.78%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.38%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 18:25
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -5.97%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -3.89%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 18:25
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 52.71%EV -13.42%E -7.94%K -19.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.55%EV -5.97%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-21 18:25
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.29%EV -13.93%E -8.29%K -20.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.24%EV -5.97%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -13.87%E -4.02%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-21 18:25
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -6.21%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -8.13%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 18:25
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.36%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.04%EV -6.92%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.60%EV -4.63%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 18:25
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -7.16%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.63%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-21 18:25
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -10.35%E -5.91%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -7.16%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.62%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-21 18:25
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -7.79%E -4.33%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -8.88%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-21 18:25
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.79%E -4.33%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.63%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-21 18:25
SportsBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.39%EV -6.76%E -3.72%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-21 18:25
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -7.79%E -4.33%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -10.73%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -12.62%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 18:25
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.56%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.14%EV -11.44%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -3.89%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-21 18:25
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.56%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.14%EV -11.44%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -3.89%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-21 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -10.35%E -5.91%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -11.92%E -3.22%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -12.62%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-21 18:25
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 51.43%EV -12.91%E -7.59%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.29%EV -14.30%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.29%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-21 18:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.73%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.4%2026-07-21 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-07-21 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-07-21 18:25