L’École des cotesSK Sturm Graz v Hearts
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
SK Sturm Graz (Local)
Prévision 51.23%1.95cote équitable
EV -5.22%
Avantage -2.82%
Kelly -6.15%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.14%51.27%51.20%53.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.791.791.8559.52%55.97%55.87%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Hearts (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.81%4.20cote équitable
EV +7.36%
Avantage +1.63%
Kelly +2.10%
Croissance +0.154%
avec la cote maximale 4.51
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.05%23.71%23.84%25.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.014.004.5127.78%24.93%25.00%22.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.96%4.01cote équitable
EV -3.89%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -1.36%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.29%25.03%24.96%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.653.653.8529.41%27.40%27.40%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (32 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.63%EV -9.32%E -5.27%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.05%EV +7.36%E +1.63%K +2.10%G +0.154% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -6.38%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -8.81%E -4.95%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV +1.17%E +0.276%K +0.361%G +0.004% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -11.37%E -3.20%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -8.81%E -4.95%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV +1.17%E +0.276%K +0.361%G +0.004% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -11.37%E -3.20%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -8.30%E -4.64%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -0.018%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -8.88%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -8.30%E -4.64%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -0.018%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -8.88%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Casumo | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -8.30%E -4.64%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -0.018%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -8.88%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Unibet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -8.30%E -4.64%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -0.018%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -8.88%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -8.81%E -4.95%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -0.018%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.88%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -8.81%E -4.95%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -0.018%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.88%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -9.32%E -5.27%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -0.018%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Bovada | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.04%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -2.40%E -0.585%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%EV -3.89%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Neds | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -6.76%E -3.72%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.40%E -0.585%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.63%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.23%EV -10.86%E -6.24%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -2.40%E -0.585%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -11.37%E -3.20%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.23%EV -10.86%E -6.24%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -2.40%E -0.585%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -11.37%E -3.20%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -9.32%E -5.27%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -2.40%E -0.585%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -15.12%E -4.45%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -6.76%E -3.72%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.78%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -6.76%E -3.72%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -4.78%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.38%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -5.97%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -3.89%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.71%EV -13.42%E -7.94%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.55%EV -5.97%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.29%EV -13.93%E -8.29%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.24%EV -5.97%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -13.87%E -4.02%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -6.21%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -8.13%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| BetUS | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.36%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.04%EV -6.92%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.60%EV -4.63%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -7.16%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.63%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -10.35%E -5.91%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -7.16%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.62%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -7.79%E -4.33%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -8.88%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.79%E -4.33%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.63%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.39%EV -6.76%E -3.72%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -7.79%E -4.33%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -10.73%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -12.62%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.56%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.14%EV -11.44%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -3.89%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.56%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.14%EV -11.44%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -3.89%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -10.35%E -5.91%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -11.92%E -3.22%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -12.62%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.43%EV -12.91%E -7.59%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.29%EV -14.30%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.29%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.73% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91% | 0.4% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.20% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.20% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |