La escuela de los momiosEspañol
SK Sturm Graz v Hearts
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
SK Sturm Graz (Local)
Predicción 51.23%1.95momio equitativo
EV -5.22%
Ventaja -2.82%
Kelly -6.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.14%51.27%51.20%53.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.791.791.8559.52%55.97%55.87%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Hearts (Visitante)
Predicción 23.81%4.20momio equitativo
EV +7.36%
Ventaja +1.63%
Kelly +2.10%
Crecimiento +0.154%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.05%23.71%23.84%25.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.014.004.5127.78%24.93%25.00%22.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.96%4.01momio equitativo
EV -3.89%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.29%25.03%24.96%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.653.653.8529.41%27.40%27.40%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (32 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.63%EV -9.32%E -5.27%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.05%EV +7.36%E +1.63%K +2.10%G +0.154% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -6.38%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -8.81%E -4.95%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV +1.17%E +0.276%K +0.361%G +0.004% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -11.37%E -3.20%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -8.81%E -4.95%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV +1.17%E +0.276%K +0.361%G +0.004% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -11.37%E -3.20%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -8.30%E -4.64%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -0.018%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -8.88%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -8.30%E -4.64%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -0.018%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -8.88%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Casumo | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -8.30%E -4.64%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -0.018%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -8.88%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Unibet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -8.30%E -4.64%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -0.018%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -8.88%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -8.81%E -4.95%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -0.018%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.88%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -8.81%E -4.95%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -0.018%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.88%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -9.32%E -5.27%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -0.018%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Bovada | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.04%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -2.40%E -0.585%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%EV -3.89%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Neds | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -6.76%E -3.72%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.40%E -0.585%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.63%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.23%EV -10.86%E -6.24%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -2.40%E -0.585%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -11.37%E -3.20%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.23%EV -10.86%E -6.24%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -2.40%E -0.585%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -11.37%E -3.20%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -9.32%E -5.27%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -2.40%E -0.585%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -15.12%E -4.45%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -6.76%E -3.72%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.78%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -6.76%E -3.72%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -4.78%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.38%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -5.97%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -3.89%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.71%EV -13.42%E -7.94%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.55%EV -5.97%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.29%EV -13.93%E -8.29%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.24%EV -5.97%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -13.87%E -4.02%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -6.21%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -8.13%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| BetUS | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.36%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.04%EV -6.92%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.60%EV -4.63%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -7.16%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.63%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -10.35%E -5.91%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -7.16%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.62%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -7.79%E -4.33%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -8.88%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.79%E -4.33%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.63%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.39%EV -6.76%E -3.72%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -7.79%E -4.33%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -10.73%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -12.62%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.56%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.14%EV -11.44%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -3.89%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.56%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.14%EV -11.44%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -3.89%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -10.35%E -5.91%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -11.92%E -3.22%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -12.62%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.43%EV -12.91%E -7.59%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.29%EV -14.30%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.29%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.73% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91% | 0.4% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.20% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.20% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |