默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

SK Sturm Graz v Fenerbahce

2026-08-11 18:30 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

SK Sturm Graz (主队)

预测 24.53%4.08公平赔率
EV +3.01%
优势 +0.717%
Kelly +0.941%
增长率 +0.028%

假设最高赔率为 4.20

博彩公司预测分布
21.90%24.43%24.54%26.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.763.704.2028.57%26.60%27.03%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

Fenerbahce (客队)

预测 50.65%1.97公平赔率
EV -1.23%
优势 -0.632%
Kelly -1.30%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.95

博彩公司预测分布
47.98%50.77%50.40%52.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.751.851.831.9557.14%54.17%54.79%51.28%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.82%4.03公平赔率
EV -0.704%
优势 -0.176%
Kelly -0.235%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
22.91%24.80%25.06%26.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.723.704.0028.57%26.87%27.03%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:SK Sturm Graz (主队):24.53%;Fenerbahce (客队):50.65%;平局:24.82%。 对于“SK Sturm Graz (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.08。 有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为4.20,由此产生+3.01%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV +3.01%E +0.717%K +0.941%G +0.028%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -11.36%E -6.49%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-06 01:19
1xBet🎯4.08I 24.51%NM 23.88%EV +0.066%E +0.016%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.01%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 25.11%EV -3.68%E -0.949%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-06 01:29
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -1.90%E -0.474%K -0.632%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.83%E -4.91%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-06 01:05
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -1.90%E -0.474%K -0.632%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.83%E -4.91%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-06 01:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -1.90%E -0.474%K -0.632%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.83%E -4.91%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-06 01:05
Bovada🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -4.35%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 01:23
Marathon Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -4.35%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.31%E -3.99%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.08%EV -7.66%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 01:15
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.23%E -0.632%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 01:15
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.23%E -0.632%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 01:15
Betr (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -6.30%E -3.40%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -0.704%E -0.176%K -0.235%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 01:25
BetUS🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -1.23%E -0.632%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.11%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.40%EV -10.35%E -5.85%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-06 01:15
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.30%E -3.40%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -0.704%E -0.176%K -0.235%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 01:24
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -7.82%E -4.30%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -0.704%E -0.176%K -0.235%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-06 01:24
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.83%E -4.91%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -0.704%E -0.176%K -0.235%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-06 01:23
Bet Right🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.34%EV -7.82%E -4.30%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -3.19%E -0.817%K -1.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-06 01:25
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -8.83%E -4.91%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.67%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 01:28
PlayUp🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -5.28%E -2.83%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-06 01:14
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。