语言:简体中文
SK Sturm Graz v Fenerbahce
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
SK Sturm Graz (主队)
预测 23.07%4.33公平赔率
EV +1.98%
优势 +0.447%
Kelly +0.578%
增长率 +0.011%
假设最高赔率为 4.42
博彩公司预测分布
21.51%23.25%22.95%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.704.054.004.4227.03%24.67%25.00%22.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
Fenerbahce (客队)
预测 53.96%1.85公平赔率
EV -2.87%
优势 -1.60%
Kelly -3.59%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.80
博彩公司预测分布
51.72%53.72%54.08%55.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.671.731.731.8059.88%57.81%57.80%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 22.97%4.35公平赔率
EV -3.53%
优势 -0.841%
Kelly -1.10%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.20
博彩公司预测分布
22.32%23.03%22.97%24.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.553.903.854.2028.17%25.63%25.97%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：SK Sturm Graz (主队)：23.07%；Fenerbahce (客队)：53.96%；平局：22.97%。 对于“SK Sturm Graz (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.33。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.42，对应+1.98%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (36 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.51%EV +1.98%E +0.447%K +0.578%G +0.011% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.59%EV -7.73%E -4.52%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -4.68%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-11 18:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV +1.52%E +0.345%K +0.446%G +0.007% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.71%EV -4.49%E -2.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -11.57%E -3.01%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-11 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV +1.52%E +0.345%K +0.446%G +0.007% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.71%EV -4.49%E -2.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -11.57%E -3.01%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-11 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV +1.52%E +0.345%K +0.446%G +0.007% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.71%EV -4.49%E -2.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -11.57%E -3.01%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-11 18:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV +1.52%E +0.345%K +0.446%G +0.007% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.71%EV -4.49%E -2.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -11.57%E -3.01%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-11 17:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.61%EV -2.64%E -0.625%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.52%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.88%EV -4.22%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 18:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.61%EV -2.64%E -0.625%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.52%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.88%EV -4.22%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -3.10%E -0.738%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -6.65%E -3.84%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -13.87%E -3.70%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-11 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -3.10%E -0.738%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -6.65%E -3.84%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -13.87%E -3.70%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-11 18:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -3.10%E -0.738%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -6.65%E -3.84%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -13.87%E -3.70%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-11 18:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -5.41%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.49%E -2.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -5.83%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 18:03 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -5.41%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.22%EV -7.19%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -6.98%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -5.41%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.73%E -4.52%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -5.83%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-11 18:08 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -5.41%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%EV -8.27%E -4.86%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -16.17%E -4.43%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-11 18:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -5.41%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%EV -8.27%E -4.86%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -16.17%E -4.43%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-11 17:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -5.41%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%EV -8.27%E -4.86%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -16.17%E -4.43%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-11 18:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -7.71%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.09%EV -2.87%E -1.60%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03%EV -4.68%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 17:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.71%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.71%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.57%EV -4.49%E -2.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -11.57%E -3.01%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-11 17:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.71%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.73%E -4.52%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-11 18:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.71%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.27%E -4.86%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-11 17:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.71%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.65%E -3.84%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -13.87%E -3.70%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-11 18:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.71%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.65%E -3.84%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -13.87%E -3.70%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-11 18:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.71%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.65%E -3.84%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -13.87%E -3.70%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-11 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -7.71%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.97%EV -9.89%E -5.92%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.92%EV -18.46%E -5.20%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-11 17:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -7.71%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.97%EV -9.89%E -5.92%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.92%EV -18.46%E -5.20%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-11 17:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -8.87%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.91%EV -7.19%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -5.83%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-11 18:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -8.87%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.91%EV -7.19%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -5.83%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-11 18:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -10.02%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -7.19%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -10.42%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-11 18:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -10.02%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.87%EV -9.89%E -5.92%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -10.42%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-11 18:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.33%E -3.24%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -3.95%E -2.22%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.53%E -0.841%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-11 17:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.33%E -3.24%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -9.89%E -5.92%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.72%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-11 18:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.48%E -3.59%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -3.95%E -2.22%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -3.53%E -0.841%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 17:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -13.48%E -3.59%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -13.87%E -3.70%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-11 18:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -13.48%E -3.59%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.06%EV -9.89%E -5.92%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -12.72%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-11 17:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -14.63%E -3.96%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-11 17:35 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64% | 0.4% | 2026-08-11 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64% | 0.4% | 2026-08-11 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64% | 0.4% | 2026-08-11 18:15 |