Langue:Français
SK Sturm Graz v Fenerbahce
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
SK Sturm Graz (Local)
Prévision 23.07%4.33cote équitable
EV +1.98%
Avantage +0.447%
Kelly +0.578%
Croissance +0.011%
avec la cote maximale 4.42
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.51%23.25%22.95%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.704.054.004.4227.03%24.67%25.00%22.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Fenerbahce (Visiteur)
Prévision 53.96%1.85cote équitable
EV -2.87%
Avantage -1.60%
Kelly -3.59%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.72%53.72%54.08%55.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.671.731.731.8059.88%57.81%57.80%55.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 22.97%4.35cote équitable
EV -3.53%
Avantage -0.841%
Kelly -1.10%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.32%23.03%22.97%24.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.553.903.854.2028.17%25.63%25.97%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : SK Sturm Graz (Local) : 23.07% ; Fenerbahce (Visiteur) : 53.96% ; Match nul : 22.97%. Pour SK Sturm Graz (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.33. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.42, soit une espérance positive de +1.98%.
Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.51%EV +1.98%E +0.447%K +0.578%G +0.011% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.59%EV -7.73%E -4.52%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -4.68%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-11 18:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV +1.52%E +0.345%K +0.446%G +0.007% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.71%EV -4.49%E -2.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -11.57%E -3.01%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-11 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV +1.52%E +0.345%K +0.446%G +0.007% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.71%EV -4.49%E -2.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -11.57%E -3.01%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-11 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV +1.52%E +0.345%K +0.446%G +0.007% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.71%EV -4.49%E -2.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -11.57%E -3.01%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-11 18:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV +1.52%E +0.345%K +0.446%G +0.007% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.71%EV -4.49%E -2.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -11.57%E -3.01%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-11 17:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.61%EV -2.64%E -0.625%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.52%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.88%EV -4.22%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 18:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.61%EV -2.64%E -0.625%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.52%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.88%EV -4.22%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -3.10%E -0.738%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -6.65%E -3.84%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -13.87%E -3.70%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-11 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -3.10%E -0.738%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -6.65%E -3.84%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -13.87%E -3.70%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-11 18:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -3.10%E -0.738%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -6.65%E -3.84%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -13.87%E -3.70%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-11 18:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -5.41%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.49%E -2.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -5.83%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 18:03 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -5.41%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.22%EV -7.19%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -6.98%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -5.41%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.73%E -4.52%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -5.83%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-11 18:08 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -5.41%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%EV -8.27%E -4.86%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -16.17%E -4.43%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-11 18:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -5.41%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%EV -8.27%E -4.86%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -16.17%E -4.43%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-11 17:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -5.41%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%EV -8.27%E -4.86%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -16.17%E -4.43%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-11 18:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -7.71%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.09%EV -2.87%E -1.60%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03%EV -4.68%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 17:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.71%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.71%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.57%EV -4.49%E -2.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -11.57%E -3.01%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-11 17:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.71%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.73%E -4.52%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-11 18:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.71%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.27%E -4.86%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-11 17:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.71%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.65%E -3.84%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -13.87%E -3.70%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-11 18:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.71%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.65%E -3.84%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -13.87%E -3.70%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-11 18:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.71%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.65%E -3.84%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -13.87%E -3.70%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-11 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -7.71%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.97%EV -9.89%E -5.92%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.92%EV -18.46%E -5.20%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-11 17:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -7.71%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.97%EV -9.89%E -5.92%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.92%EV -18.46%E -5.20%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-11 17:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -8.87%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.91%EV -7.19%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -5.83%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-11 18:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -8.87%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.91%EV -7.19%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -5.83%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-11 18:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -10.02%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -7.19%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -10.42%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-11 18:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -10.02%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.87%EV -9.89%E -5.92%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -10.42%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-11 18:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.33%E -3.24%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -3.95%E -2.22%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.53%E -0.841%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-11 17:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.33%E -3.24%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -9.89%E -5.92%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.72%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-11 18:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.48%E -3.59%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -3.95%E -2.22%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -3.53%E -0.841%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 17:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -13.48%E -3.59%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -13.87%E -3.70%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-11 18:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -13.48%E -3.59%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.06%EV -9.89%E -5.92%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -12.72%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-11 17:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -14.63%E -3.96%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-11 17:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64% | 0.4% | 2026-08-11 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64% | 0.4% | 2026-08-11 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64% | 0.4% | 2026-08-11 18:15 |