Riga FC v FC Ararat-Armenia

2026-07-14 17:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

58%

20%

22%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Riga FC (Local)

Prediction 57.72%1.73fair odd

EV -6.50%

Edge -4.01%

Kelly -10.48%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

56.58%57.62%57.72%58.17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.491.591.601.6267%63%63%62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

FC Ararat-Armenia (Visit)

Prediction 20.07%4.98fair odd

EV +2.36%

Edge +0.463%

Kelly +0.576%

Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

18.18%20.04%20.07%20.68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

4.404.824.815.1023%21%21%20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 22.21%4.50fair odd

EV -2.27%

Edge -0.515%

Kelly -0.667%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

21.15%22.34%22.21%23.92%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.704.003.904.4027%25%26%23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Draw	Margin	Updated
Unibet	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -7.08%E -4.39%K -11.60%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV +2.36%E +0.463%K +0.576%G +0.014%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-10 05:14
Grosvenor	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -7.08%E -4.39%K -11.60%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV +2.36%E +0.463%K +0.576%G +0.014%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-10 05:15
LeoVegas (SE)	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -7.08%E -4.39%K -11.60%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV +2.36%E +0.463%K +0.576%G +0.014%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-10 05:15
Casumo	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -7.08%E -4.39%K -11.60%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV +2.36%E +0.463%K +0.576%G +0.014%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-10 05:14
Unibet (SE)	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -7.08%E -4.39%K -11.60%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV +2.36%E +0.463%K +0.576%G +0.014%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-10 05:14
Unibet (NL)	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -7.08%E -4.39%K -11.60%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV +2.36%E +0.463%K +0.576%G +0.014%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-10 05:14
TABtouch	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -7.08%E -4.39%K -11.60%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV +2.36%E +0.463%K +0.576%G +0.014%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-10 05:14
ATG (SE)	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -7.08%E -4.39%K -11.60%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV +2.36%E +0.463%K +0.576%G +0.014%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-10 05:14
Svenska Spel	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -7.08%E -4.39%K -11.60%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV +2.36%E +0.463%K +0.576%G +0.014%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-10 05:14
betPARX	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -7.08%E -4.39%K -11.60%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV +2.36%E +0.463%K +0.576%G +0.014%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-10 05:14
LiveScore Bet	1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -9.38%E -5.98%K -16.46%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV +0.356%E +0.071%K +0.089%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -15.60%E -4.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-07-10 05:14
Virgin Bet	1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -9.38%E -5.98%K -16.46%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV +0.356%E +0.071%K +0.089%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -15.60%E -4.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-07-10 05:15
1xBet	1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -8.23%E -5.18%K -13.95%G +0.000%	4.83I 20.70%NM 19.11%EV -3.06%E -0.633%K -0.798%G +0.000%	4.04I 24.75%NM 22.85%EV -10.26%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-07-10 04:45
LowVig.ag	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -7.65%E -4.78%K -12.75%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -3.66%E -0.762%K -0.963%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-07-10 04:44
BetOnline.ag	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -7.65%E -4.78%K -12.75%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -3.66%E -0.762%K -0.963%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-07-10 04:45
PMU (FR)	1.51I 66.23%NM 58.05%EV -12.85%E -8.51%K -25.19%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -3.66%E -0.762%K -0.963%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%EV -17.82%E -4.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%	14.1%	2026-07-10 05:14
Betr (AU)	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.13%EV -6.50%E -4.01%K -10.48%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -7.67%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -2.27%E -0.515%K -0.667%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-10 05:35
Neds	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.13%EV -6.50%E -4.01%K -10.48%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -7.67%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -2.27%E -0.515%K -0.667%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-10 06:45
PlayUp	1.58I 63.29%NM 57.02%EV -8.81%E -5.57%K -15.18%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -7.67%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 23.40%EV -14.48%E -3.76%K -5.08%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-07-10 06:50
Coolbet	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.17%EV -7.65%E -4.78%K -12.75%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -9.68%E -2.15%K -2.77%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -2.27%E -0.515%K -0.667%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-10 06:30
SportsBet	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.88%EV -7.65%E -4.78%K -12.75%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -9.68%E -2.15%K -2.77%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -4.49%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-07-10 05:35
FanDuel	1.59I 62.89%NM 58.03%EV -8.23%E -5.18%K -13.95%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -9.68%E -2.15%K -2.77%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -4.49%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-07-10 05:35
Bet Right	1.58I 63.29%NM 58.04%EV -8.81%E -5.57%K -15.18%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.68%E -2.15%K -2.77%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-07-10 05:39
BoyleSports	1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -9.38%E -5.98%K -16.46%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -9.68%E -2.15%K -2.77%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -16.71%E -4.45%K -6.07%G +0.000%	12.6%	2026-07-10 04:44
Unibet (FR)	1.49I 67.11%NM 57.91%EV -14.00%E -9.40%K -28.57%G +0.000%	4.45I 22.47%NM 19.39%EV -10.68%E -2.40%K -3.10%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 22.71%EV -15.60%E -4.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%	15.9%	2026-07-10 06:45
Paddy Power	1.57I 63.69%NM 57.78%EV -9.38%E -5.98%K -16.46%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -11.69%E -2.66%K -3.44%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-07-10 05:34

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.