L’École des cotes

Riga FC v FC Ararat-Armenia

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-14 17:00 UTC

Score final : Riga FC 3–2 FC Ararat-Armenia

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Riga FC (Local)

Prévision 57.64%1.73cote équitable
EV -2.01%
Avantage -1.18%
Kelly -2.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.50%57.60%58.00%60.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.631.621.7066.67%61.32%61.73%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Ararat-Armenia (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.49%5.41cote équitable
EV -0.165%
Avantage -0.030%
Kelly -0.037%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.01%18.65%18.31%20.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.334.824.695.4023.09%20.73%21.32%18.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.87%4.19cote équitable
EV +1.44%
Avantage +0.340%
Kelly +0.444%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.09%23.75%23.69%25.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.793.704.2528.57%26.39%27.03%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.94%EV -6.62%E -4.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -13.11%E -2.79%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.09%EV +1.44%E +0.340%K +0.444%G +0.006%6.5%2026-07-14 16:50
Coolbet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.13%EV -6.04%E -3.71%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -16.80%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV +0.250%E +0.060%K +0.078%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-14 16:49
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 57.13%EV -7.19%E -4.47%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -16.80%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -2.14%E -0.521%K -0.689%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-14 16:50
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 57.96%EV -5.47%E -3.33%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%EV -3.86%E -0.743%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -4.52%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-14 16:48
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -6.62%E -4.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -2.94%E -0.560%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.52%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-14 16:50
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.62%E -4.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.52%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-14 16:09
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.12%EV -13.54%E -9.02%K -27.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -3.86%E -0.743%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -4.52%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-14 16:50
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.82%EV -6.62%E -4.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.47%EV -6.27%E -1.24%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -5.72%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-14 16:50
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.28%EV -7.77%E -4.86%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.11%EV -4.79%E -0.929%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -5.72%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-14 16:50
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -7.19%E -4.47%K -11.80%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -5.71%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.91%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-14 16:48
SportsBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.35%EV -8.92%E -5.65%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%EV -2.01%E -0.380%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.30%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-14 16:49
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -9.50%E -6.05%K -16.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.49%E -2.80%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-14 16:50
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 56.14%EV -9.50%E -6.05%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -19.95%E -4.61%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -10.49%E -2.80%K -3.81%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-14 16:09
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 55.42%EV -3.74%E -2.24%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 19.77%EV -13.48%E -2.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.81%EV -10.97%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-13 19:10
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 55.42%EV -3.74%E -2.24%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 19.77%EV -13.48%E -2.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.81%EV -10.97%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-13 19:10
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.01%E -1.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -14.96%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -11.68%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 16:50
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.01%E -1.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -14.96%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -11.68%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.01%E -1.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -14.96%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -11.68%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 16:50
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.01%E -1.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -14.96%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -11.68%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 16:50
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.01%E -1.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -14.96%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -11.68%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 16:50
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.01%E -1.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -14.96%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -11.68%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 16:50
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.01%E -1.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -14.96%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -11.68%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 16:50
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.01%E -1.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -14.96%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -11.68%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 16:50
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.01%E -1.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -14.96%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -11.68%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 16:49
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.01%E -1.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -14.96%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -11.68%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 16:50
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.15%EV -8.92%E -5.65%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -0.165%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -11.68%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-14 16:09
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.15%EV -8.92%E -5.65%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -0.165%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -11.68%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-14 16:09
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -7.19%E -4.47%K -11.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.68%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-14 16:50
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -7.19%E -4.47%K -11.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.68%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-14 16:50
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -7.19%E -4.47%K -11.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.68%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-14 16:50
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -8.92%E -5.65%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -11.68%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-14 16:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.84%EV -10.65%E -6.87%K -19.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -11.68%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-14 16:50
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.05%EV -12.96%E -8.58%K -25.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -11.26%E -2.35%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%EV -11.68%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-14 16:49
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -3.74%E -2.24%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -16.80%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -14.07%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-14 16:50
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -3.74%E -2.24%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -16.80%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -14.07%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-14 16:50
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.77%EV -7.19%E -4.47%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.04%EV -18.65%E -4.24%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -16.46%E -4.70%K -6.58%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-14 16:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.36%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.74%0.3%2026-07-14 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.01%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%0.9%2026-07-14 16:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.01%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%0.9%2026-07-14 16:50