La scuola delle quote

Riga FC v FC Ararat-Armenia

Inizio: 2026-07-14 17:00 UTC

Finale: Riga FC 3–2 FC Ararat-Armenia

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

36 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Riga FC (Casa)

Previsione 57.64%1.73quota equa
EV -2.01%
Vantaggio -1.18%
Kelly -2.87%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.50%57.60%58.00%60.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.631.621.7066.67%61.32%61.73%58.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Ararat-Armenia (Trasferta)

Previsione 18.49%5.41quota equa
EV -0.165%
Vantaggio -0.030%
Kelly -0.037%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.01%18.65%18.31%20.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.334.824.695.4023.09%20.73%21.32%18.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.87%4.19quota equa
EV +1.44%
Vantaggio +0.340%
Kelly +0.444%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.09%23.75%23.69%25.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.793.704.2528.57%26.39%27.03%23.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.94%EV -6.62%E -4.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -13.11%E -2.79%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.09%EV +1.44%E +0.340%K +0.444%G +0.006%6.5%2026-07-14 16:50
Coolbet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.13%EV -6.04%E -3.71%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -16.80%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV +0.250%E +0.060%K +0.078%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-14 16:49
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 57.13%EV -7.19%E -4.47%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -16.80%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -2.14%E -0.521%K -0.689%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-14 16:50
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 57.96%EV -5.47%E -3.33%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%EV -3.86%E -0.743%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -4.52%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-14 16:48
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -6.62%E -4.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -2.94%E -0.560%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.52%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-14 16:50
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.62%E -4.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.52%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-14 16:09
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.12%EV -13.54%E -9.02%K -27.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -3.86%E -0.743%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -4.52%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-14 16:50
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.82%EV -6.62%E -4.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.47%EV -6.27%E -1.24%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -5.72%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-14 16:50
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.28%EV -7.77%E -4.86%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.11%EV -4.79%E -0.929%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -5.72%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-14 16:50
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -7.19%E -4.47%K -11.80%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -5.71%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.91%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-14 16:48
SportsBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.35%EV -8.92%E -5.65%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%EV -2.01%E -0.380%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.30%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-14 16:49
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -9.50%E -6.05%K -16.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.49%E -2.80%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-14 16:50
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 56.14%EV -9.50%E -6.05%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -19.95%E -4.61%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -10.49%E -2.80%K -3.81%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-14 16:09
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 55.42%EV -3.74%E -2.24%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 19.77%EV -13.48%E -2.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.81%EV -10.97%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-13 19:10
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 55.42%EV -3.74%E -2.24%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 19.77%EV -13.48%E -2.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.81%EV -10.97%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-13 19:10
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.01%E -1.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -14.96%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -11.68%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 16:50
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.01%E -1.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -14.96%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -11.68%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.01%E -1.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -14.96%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -11.68%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 16:50
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.01%E -1.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -14.96%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -11.68%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 16:50
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.01%E -1.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -14.96%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -11.68%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 16:50
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.01%E -1.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -14.96%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -11.68%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 16:50
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.01%E -1.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -14.96%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -11.68%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 16:50
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.01%E -1.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -14.96%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -11.68%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 16:50
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.01%E -1.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -14.96%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -11.68%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 16:49
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.01%E -1.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -14.96%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -11.68%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 16:50
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.15%EV -8.92%E -5.65%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -0.165%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -11.68%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-14 16:09
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.15%EV -8.92%E -5.65%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -0.165%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -11.68%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-14 16:09
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -7.19%E -4.47%K -11.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.68%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-14 16:50
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -7.19%E -4.47%K -11.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.68%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-14 16:50
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -7.19%E -4.47%K -11.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.68%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-14 16:50
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -8.92%E -5.65%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -11.68%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-14 16:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.84%EV -10.65%E -6.87%K -19.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -11.68%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-14 16:50
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.05%EV -12.96%E -8.58%K -25.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -11.26%E -2.35%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%EV -11.68%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-14 16:49
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -3.74%E -2.24%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -16.80%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -14.07%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-14 16:50
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -3.74%E -2.24%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -16.80%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -14.07%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-14 16:50
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.77%EV -7.19%E -4.47%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.04%EV -18.65%E -4.24%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -16.46%E -4.70%K -6.58%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-14 16:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.36%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.74%0.3%2026-07-14 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.01%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%0.9%2026-07-14 16:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.01%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%0.9%2026-07-14 16:50