Language:English
PFC Levski Sofia v FC Kairat
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
PFC Levski Sofia (Local)
Prediction 58.43%1.71fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -2.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.56%58.19%58.45%59.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.601.601.6866.67%62.59%62.50%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Kairat (Visit)
Prediction 15.64%6.40fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.237%
Kelly -0.281%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.07%15.72%15.58%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.405.825.756.3018.52%17.19%17.39%15.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.94%3.86fair odd
EV -0.655%
Edge -0.171%
Kelly -0.231%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.90%26.09%25.97%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.533.553.8330.30%28.34%28.17%26.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: PFC Levski Sofia (Local): 58.43%; FC Kairat (Visit): 15.64%; Draw: 25.94%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.86. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.83, with an expected value of -0.655%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.88%EV -1.85%E -1.10%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.20%EV -7.75%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.92%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.88%EV -1.85%E -1.10%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.20%EV -7.75%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.92%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 17:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.60%EV -3.60%E -2.18%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.17I 16.21%NM 15.40%EV -3.52%E -0.571%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.70%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 17:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -3.60%E -2.18%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -14.00%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -14.40%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-04 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -3.60%E -2.18%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -14.00%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -14.40%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -3.60%E -2.18%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -14.00%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -14.40%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-04 17:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.05%EV -4.18%E -2.55%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -6.18%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV -5.32%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 17:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.19%EV -4.18%E -2.55%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -6.18%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -10.51%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 17:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.35%E -3.30%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -6.18%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.50%EV -5.94%E -3.69%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -6.18%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -5.32%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 17:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.81%EV -5.94%E -3.69%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -10.09%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.00%EV -7.14%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 17:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -6.18%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -10.09%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -10.09%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -10.09%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -10.09%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -10.09%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -10.09%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -10.09%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -10.09%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -10.09%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -10.09%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -10.09%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -10.51%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-04 16:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.54%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.45%EV -14.00%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -13.11%E -3.91%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-04 17:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.97%EV -7.10%E -4.47%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.14%EV -1.49%E -0.237%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.90%EV -0.655%E -0.171%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.97%EV -7.10%E -4.47%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.14%EV -1.49%E -0.237%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.90%EV -0.655%E -0.171%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.27%E -5.27%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -6.18%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 17:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -8.27%E -5.27%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -6.18%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-04 17:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.84%EV -8.27%E -5.27%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.22%EV -12.44%E -2.22%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.84%EV -8.27%E -5.27%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.22%EV -12.44%E -2.22%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -8.86%E -5.68%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -6.18%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-04 17:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -9.44%E -6.09%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -6.18%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-04 17:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -10.61%E -6.93%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -6.18%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-04 17:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.79%EV -10.61%E -6.93%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -9.31%E -1.61%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-04 17:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.01%EV -11.78%E -7.80%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.22%EV -15.56%E -2.88%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.76%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.35%EV -12.36%E -8.24%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -14.00%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.74%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-04 17:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.94% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.94% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.94% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 17:25 |
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