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PFC Levski Sofia v FC Kairat
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
PFC Levski Sofia (Local)
Predicción 58.43%1.71momio equitativo
EV -1.85%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -2.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.56%58.19%58.45%59.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.601.601.6866.67%62.59%62.50%59.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
FC Kairat (Visitante)
Predicción 15.64%6.40momio equitativo
EV -1.49%
Ventaja -0.237%
Kelly -0.281%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.07%15.72%15.58%16.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.405.825.756.3018.52%17.19%17.39%15.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.94%3.86momio equitativo
EV -0.655%
Ventaja -0.171%
Kelly -0.231%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.90%26.09%25.97%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.533.553.8330.30%28.34%28.17%26.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: PFC Levski Sofia (Local): 58.43%; FC Kairat (Visitante): 15.64%; Empate: 25.94%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.86. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.83, con un valor esperado de -0.655%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.88%EV -1.85%E -1.10%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.20%EV -7.75%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.92%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.88%EV -1.85%E -1.10%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.20%EV -7.75%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.92%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 17:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.60%EV -3.60%E -2.18%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.17I 16.21%NM 15.40%EV -3.52%E -0.571%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.70%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 17:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -3.60%E -2.18%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -14.00%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -14.40%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-04 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -3.60%E -2.18%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -14.00%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -14.40%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -3.60%E -2.18%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -14.00%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -14.40%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-04 17:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.05%EV -4.18%E -2.55%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -6.18%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV -5.32%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 17:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.19%EV -4.18%E -2.55%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -6.18%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -10.51%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 17:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.35%E -3.30%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -6.18%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.50%EV -5.94%E -3.69%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -6.18%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -5.32%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 17:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.81%EV -5.94%E -3.69%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -10.09%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.00%EV -7.14%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 17:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -6.18%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -10.09%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -10.09%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -10.09%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -10.09%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -10.09%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -10.09%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -10.09%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -10.09%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -10.09%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -10.09%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -10.09%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -10.51%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-04 16:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.54%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.45%EV -14.00%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -13.11%E -3.91%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-04 17:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.97%EV -7.10%E -4.47%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.14%EV -1.49%E -0.237%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.90%EV -0.655%E -0.171%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.97%EV -7.10%E -4.47%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.14%EV -1.49%E -0.237%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.90%EV -0.655%E -0.171%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.27%E -5.27%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -6.18%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 17:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -8.27%E -5.27%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -6.18%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-04 17:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.84%EV -8.27%E -5.27%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.22%EV -12.44%E -2.22%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.84%EV -8.27%E -5.27%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.22%EV -12.44%E -2.22%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -8.86%E -5.68%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -6.18%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-04 17:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -9.44%E -6.09%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -6.18%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-04 17:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -10.61%E -6.93%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -6.18%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-04 17:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.79%EV -10.61%E -6.93%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -9.31%E -1.61%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-04 17:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.01%EV -11.78%E -7.80%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.22%EV -15.56%E -2.88%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.76%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.35%EV -12.36%E -8.24%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -14.00%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.74%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-04 17:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.94% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.94% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.94% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 17:25 |