Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

PFC Levski Sofia v FC Kairat

Inizio: 2026-08-04 17:30 UTC

Finale: PFC Levski Sofia 1–0 FC Kairat

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

36 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

PFC Levski Sofia (Casa)

Previsione 58.43%1.71quota equa
EV -1.85%
Vantaggio -1.10%
Kelly -2.71%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.56%58.19%58.45%59.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.601.601.6866.67%62.59%62.50%59.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

FC Kairat (Trasferta)

Previsione 15.64%6.40quota equa
EV -1.49%
Vantaggio -0.237%
Kelly -0.281%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.07%15.72%15.58%16.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.405.825.756.3018.52%17.19%17.39%15.87%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.94%3.86quota equa
EV -0.655%
Vantaggio -0.171%
Kelly -0.231%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.90%26.09%25.97%27.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.533.553.8330.30%28.34%28.17%26.11%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: PFC Levski Sofia (Casa): 58.43%; FC Kairat (Trasferta): 15.64%; Pareggio: 25.94%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.86. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.83, con un valore atteso del -0.655%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.88%EV -1.85%E -1.10%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.20%EV -7.75%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.92%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 17:25
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.88%EV -1.85%E -1.10%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.20%EV -7.75%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.92%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 17:25
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.60%EV -3.60%E -2.18%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.17I 16.21%NM 15.40%EV -3.52%E -0.571%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.70%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 17:20
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -3.60%E -2.18%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -14.00%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -14.40%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-04 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -3.60%E -2.18%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -14.00%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -14.40%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-04 17:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -3.60%E -2.18%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -14.00%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -14.40%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-04 17:19
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.05%EV -4.18%E -2.55%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -6.18%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV -5.32%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 17:09
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.19%EV -4.18%E -2.55%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -6.18%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -10.51%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 17:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.35%E -3.30%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -6.18%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 16:50
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.50%EV -5.94%E -3.69%K -9.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -6.18%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -5.32%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 17:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.81%EV -5.94%E -3.69%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -10.09%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.00%EV -7.14%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 17:20
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -6.18%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 17:00
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -10.09%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 17:15
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -10.09%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 17:15
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -10.09%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 17:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -10.09%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -10.09%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 17:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -10.09%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 17:15
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -10.09%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 17:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -10.09%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 17:15
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -10.09%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 17:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -10.09%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 17:15
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -10.09%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -10.51%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-04 16:59
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.54%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.45%EV -14.00%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -13.11%E -3.91%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-04 17:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.97%EV -7.10%E -4.47%K -12.04%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.14%EV -1.49%E -0.237%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.90%EV -0.655%E -0.171%K -0.231%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.97%EV -7.10%E -4.47%K -12.04%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.14%EV -1.49%E -0.237%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.90%EV -0.655%E -0.171%K -0.231%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 16:45
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.27%E -5.27%K -14.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -6.18%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 17:20
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -8.27%E -5.27%K -14.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -6.18%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-04 17:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.84%EV -8.27%E -5.27%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.22%EV -12.44%E -2.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-04 17:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.84%EV -8.27%E -5.27%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.22%EV -12.44%E -2.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-04 17:15
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -8.86%E -5.68%K -15.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -6.18%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-04 17:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -9.44%E -6.09%K -17.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -6.18%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-04 17:09
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -10.61%E -6.93%K -20.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -6.18%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-04 17:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.79%EV -10.61%E -6.93%K -20.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -9.31%E -1.61%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-04 17:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.01%EV -11.78%E -7.80%K -23.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.22%EV -15.56%E -2.88%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.76%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-04 17:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.35%EV -12.36%E -8.24%K -24.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -14.00%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.74%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-04 17:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.94%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84%0.5%2026-08-04 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.94%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84%0.5%2026-08-04 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.94%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84%0.5%2026-08-04 17:25