默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

NK Celje v FC Ararat-Armenia

2026-08-11 18:15 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

NK Celje (主队)

预测 61.86%1.62公平赔率
EV -4.11%
优势 -2.65%
Kelly -7.48%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.55

博彩公司预测分布
60.69%61.88%61.74%63.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.431.501.501.5569.93%66.86%66.67%64.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

FC Ararat-Armenia (客队)

预测 15.90%6.29公平赔率
EV +1.74%
优势 +0.272%
Kelly +0.323%
增长率 +0.006%

假设最高赔率为 6.40

博彩公司预测分布
14.99%15.87%16.07%16.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.505.835.756.4018.18%17.16%17.39%15.63%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 22.24%4.50公平赔率
EV +0.075%
优势 +0.017%
Kelly +0.021%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.50

博彩公司预测分布
21.37%22.25%22.20%23.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.854.124.134.5025.97%24.26%24.24%22.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:NK Celje (主队):61.86%;FC Ararat-Armenia (客队):15.90%;平局:22.24%。 对于“FC Ararat-Armenia (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.29。 有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为6.40,由此产生+1.74%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.89%EV -4.11%E -2.65%K -7.48%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.99%EV +1.74%E +0.272%K +0.323%G +0.006%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.12%EV -7.71%E -1.86%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 15:35
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.89%EV -4.11%E -2.65%K -7.48%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.99%EV +1.74%E +0.272%K +0.323%G +0.006%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.12%EV -7.71%E -1.86%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 15:33
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.98%EV -4.11%E -2.65%K -7.48%G +0.000%6.37I 15.70%NM 15.33%EV +1.27%E +0.199%K +0.236%G +0.003%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.69%EV +0.075%E +0.017%K +0.021%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-05 15:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.02%EV -8.44%E -5.70%K -17.59%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV -3.03%E -0.496%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -4.37%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 15:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.91%EV -5.97%E -3.93%K -11.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -4.62%E -0.769%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 15:40
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.04%EV -8.44%E -5.70%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.56%EV -6.20%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-05 15:35
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.04%EV -8.44%E -5.70%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.56%EV -6.20%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-05 15:40
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.49%EV -5.97%E -3.93%K -11.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -8.59%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 15:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.74%EV -7.20%E -4.80%K -14.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.11%EV -8.59%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.16%EV -7.04%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.74%EV -7.20%E -4.80%K -14.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.11%EV -8.59%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.16%EV -7.04%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 15:55
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.20%E -4.80%K -14.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.59%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-05 15:35
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.91%EV -8.44%E -5.70%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -8.59%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -14.38%E -3.74%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-05 15:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.34%EV -11.54%E -8.07%K -26.83%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.92%EV -10.97%E -1.96%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-05 20:05
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.20%E -4.80%K -14.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -12.56%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-05 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.20%E -4.80%K -14.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -12.56%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-05 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.20%E -4.80%K -14.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -12.56%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-05 16:25
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.92%E -7.58%K -24.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -12.56%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-05 15:59
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.92%E -7.58%K -24.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -12.56%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-05 15:35
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。