语言:简体中文
NK Celje v FC Ararat-Armenia
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
NK Celje (主队)
预测 64.65%1.55公平赔率
EV -3.03%
优势 -2.02%
Kelly -6.05%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.50
博彩公司预测分布
61.66%64.63%64.59%66.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.291.421.431.5077.52%70.56%69.93%66.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
FC Ararat-Armenia (客队)
预测 14.38%6.96公平赔率
EV +3.37%
优势 +0.468%
Kelly +0.544%
增长率 +0.018%
假设最高赔率为 7.19
博彩公司预测分布
13.17%14.38%14.33%16.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.506.546.507.1918.18%15.29%15.38%13.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 20.97%4.77公平赔率
EV -1.42%
优势 -0.303%
Kelly -0.385%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.70
博彩公司预测分布
19.88%21.00%21.08%22.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.464.504.7025.00%22.42%22.22%21.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：NK Celje (主队)：64.65%；FC Ararat-Armenia (客队)：14.38%；平局：20.97%。 对于“FC Ararat-Armenia (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.96。 当时有13家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为7.19，对应+3.37%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.14%EV -6.90%E -4.79%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 7.19I 13.91%NM 13.25%EV +3.37%E +0.468%K +0.544%G +0.018% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.61%EV -3.10%E -0.671%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.14%EV -6.90%E -4.79%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 7.19I 13.91%NM 13.25%EV +3.37%E +0.468%K +0.544%G +0.018% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.61%EV -3.10%E -0.671%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 17:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.14%EV -6.90%E -4.79%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 7.19I 13.91%NM 13.25%EV +3.37%E +0.468%K +0.544%G +0.018% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.61%EV -3.10%E -0.671%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 18:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -10.78%E -7.81%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +0.636%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -3.52%E -0.765%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-11 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -10.78%E -7.81%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +0.636%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -3.52%E -0.765%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-11 17:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -10.78%E -7.81%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +0.636%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -3.52%E -0.765%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-11 17:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -10.78%E -7.81%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +0.636%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -3.52%E -0.765%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-11 17:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -10.78%E -7.81%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +0.636%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -3.52%E -0.765%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-11 17:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -10.78%E -7.81%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +0.636%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -3.52%E -0.765%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-11 17:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -10.78%E -7.81%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +0.636%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -3.52%E -0.765%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-11 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -10.78%E -7.81%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +0.636%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -3.52%E -0.765%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-11 17:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -10.78%E -7.81%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +0.636%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -3.52%E -0.765%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-11 17:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -10.78%E -7.81%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +0.636%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -3.52%E -0.765%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-11 17:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.82%EV -3.03%E -2.02%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.99%EV -0.083%E -0.012%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 21.18%EV -3.73%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.48%EV -4.96%E -3.38%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.74%EV -0.802%E -0.116%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV -8.76%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-11 17:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.53%EV -13.37%E -9.98%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.21%EV -2.96%E -0.438%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -7.72%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.53%EV -13.37%E -9.98%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.21%EV -2.96%E -0.438%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -7.72%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.77%EV -6.90%E -4.79%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.03%EV -4.40%E -0.661%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.72%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 18:03 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.40%EV -4.96%E -3.38%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.04%EV -5.62%E -1.25%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-11 17:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -6.26%E -4.32%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.62%E -1.25%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -8.20%E -5.77%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -3.52%E -0.765%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-11 17:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -9.49%E -6.78%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -5.62%E -1.25%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-11 17:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 66.58%EV -16.60%E -12.87%K -57.25%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.21%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.21%EV -10.86%E -2.56%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -3.67%E -2.46%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -7.99%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -8.76%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 18:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -6.26%E -4.32%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -10.15%E -1.62%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.62%E -1.25%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 18:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.14%EV -9.49%E -6.78%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -10.15%E -1.62%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -5.62%E -1.25%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-11 17:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.04%EV -4.32%E -2.92%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -1.42%E -0.303%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-11 18:08 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -4.32%E -2.92%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -3.52%E -0.765%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -6.26%E -4.32%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -9.81%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.97%EV -7.55%E -5.28%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -7.72%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.87%EV -8.84%E -6.27%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -3.52%E -0.765%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-11 18:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.90%E -4.79%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -11.91%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.90%E -4.79%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -11.91%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.90%E -4.79%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -11.91%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-11 18:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -6.26%E -4.32%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -14.01%E -3.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-11 18:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -6.90%E -4.79%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -20.93%E -3.81%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -16.11%E -4.03%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-11 18:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -9.49%E -6.78%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -20.93%E -3.81%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -16.11%E -4.03%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-11 18:10 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17% | 0.5% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17% | 0.5% | 2026-08-11 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-08-11 18:10 |