Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

NK Celje v FC Ararat-Armenia

Inizio: 2026-08-11 18:15 UTC

Finale: NK Celje 2–0 FC Ararat-Armenia

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

37 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

NK Celje (Casa)

Previsione 64.65%1.55quota equa
EV -3.03%
Vantaggio -2.02%
Kelly -6.05%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.66%64.63%64.59%66.79%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.291.421.431.5077.52%70.56%69.93%66.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

FC Ararat-Armenia (Trasferta)

Previsione 14.38%6.96quota equa
EV +3.37%
Vantaggio +0.468%
Kelly +0.544%
Crescita +0.018%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.19

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.17%14.38%14.33%16.14%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.506.546.507.1918.18%15.29%15.38%13.91%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 20.97%4.77quota equa
EV -1.42%
Vantaggio -0.303%
Kelly -0.385%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.88%21.00%21.08%22.20%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.464.504.7025.00%22.42%22.22%21.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: NK Celje (Casa): 64.65%; FC Ararat-Armenia (Trasferta): 14.38%; Pareggio: 20.97%. Per FC Ararat-Armenia (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.96. 13 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 7.19, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.37%.

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.14%EV -6.90%E -4.79%K -15.69%G +0.000%7.19I 13.91%NM 13.25%EV +3.37%E +0.468%K +0.544%G +0.018%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.61%EV -3.10%E -0.671%K -0.857%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.14%EV -6.90%E -4.79%K -15.69%G +0.000%7.19I 13.91%NM 13.25%EV +3.37%E +0.468%K +0.544%G +0.018%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.61%EV -3.10%E -0.671%K -0.857%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 17:54
BetUS🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.14%EV -6.90%E -4.79%K -15.69%G +0.000%7.19I 13.91%NM 13.25%EV +3.37%E +0.468%K +0.544%G +0.018%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.61%EV -3.10%E -0.671%K -0.857%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 18:00
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -10.78%E -7.81%K -28.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +0.636%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -3.52%E -0.765%K -0.978%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-11 17:40
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -10.78%E -7.81%K -28.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +0.636%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -3.52%E -0.765%K -0.978%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-11 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -10.78%E -7.81%K -28.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +0.636%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -3.52%E -0.765%K -0.978%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-11 17:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -10.78%E -7.81%K -28.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +0.636%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -3.52%E -0.765%K -0.978%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-11 17:39
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -10.78%E -7.81%K -28.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +0.636%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -3.52%E -0.765%K -0.978%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-11 17:39
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -10.78%E -7.81%K -28.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +0.636%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -3.52%E -0.765%K -0.978%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-11 17:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -10.78%E -7.81%K -28.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +0.636%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -3.52%E -0.765%K -0.978%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-11 17:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -10.78%E -7.81%K -28.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +0.636%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -3.52%E -0.765%K -0.978%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-11 17:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -10.78%E -7.81%K -28.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +0.636%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -3.52%E -0.765%K -0.978%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-11 17:39
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -10.78%E -7.81%K -28.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +0.636%E +0.091%K +0.106%G +0.001%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -3.52%E -0.765%K -0.978%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-11 17:39
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.82%EV -3.03%E -2.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.99%EV -0.083%E -0.012%K -0.014%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 21.18%EV -3.73%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-11 18:05
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.48%EV -4.96%E -3.38%K -10.56%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.74%EV -0.802%E -0.116%K -0.136%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV -8.76%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-11 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.53%EV -13.37%E -9.98%K -39.32%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.21%EV -2.96%E -0.438%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -7.72%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-11 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.53%EV -13.37%E -9.98%K -39.32%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.21%EV -2.96%E -0.438%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -7.72%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-11 18:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.77%EV -6.90%E -4.79%K -15.69%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.03%EV -4.40%E -0.661%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.72%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 18:03
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.40%EV -4.96%E -3.38%K -10.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.04%EV -5.62%E -1.25%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-11 17:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -6.26%E -4.32%K -13.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.62%E -1.25%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 18:05
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -8.20%E -5.77%K -19.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -3.52%E -0.765%K -0.978%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-11 17:59
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -9.49%E -6.78%K -23.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -5.62%E -1.25%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-11 17:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 66.58%EV -16.60%E -12.87%K -57.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.21%EV -6.55%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.21%EV -10.86%E -2.56%K -3.34%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-11 18:05
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -3.67%E -2.46%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -7.99%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -8.76%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-11 18:10
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -6.26%E -4.32%K -13.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -10.15%E -1.62%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.62%E -1.25%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 18:04
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.14%EV -9.49%E -6.78%K -23.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -10.15%E -1.62%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -5.62%E -1.25%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-11 17:59
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.04%EV -4.32%E -2.92%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -1.42%E -0.303%K -0.385%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-11 18:08
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -4.32%E -2.92%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -3.52%E -0.765%K -0.978%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 18:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -6.26%E -4.32%K -13.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -9.81%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-11 18:05
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.97%EV -7.55%E -5.28%K -17.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -7.72%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-11 18:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.87%EV -8.84%E -6.27%K -21.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -3.52%E -0.765%K -0.978%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-11 18:10
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.90%E -4.79%K -15.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -11.91%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-11 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.90%E -4.79%K -15.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -11.91%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-11 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.90%E -4.79%K -15.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -11.91%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-11 18:10
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -6.26%E -4.32%K -13.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -13.74%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -14.01%E -3.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-11 18:00
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -6.90%E -4.79%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -20.93%E -3.81%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -16.11%E -4.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-11 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -9.49%E -6.78%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -20.93%E -3.81%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -16.11%E -4.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-11 18:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-08-11 18:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-08-11 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-08-11 18:10