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預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)
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Lyon v Fenerbahce

開賽時間： 2026-08-26 19:00 UTC

最終賽果： Lyon 1–2 Fenerbahce

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

37 家博彩公司 (10 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Lyon (主隊)

預測 46.74%2.14公平賠率
EV -2.77%
優勢 -1.33%
Kelly -2.57%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.08

博彩公司預測分布
44.57%46.82%46.68%50.31%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.751.951.952.0857.14%51.22%51.28%48.08%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Fenerbahce (客隊)

預測 26.13%3.83公平賠率
EV +4.51%
優勢 +1.13%
Kelly +1.50%
成長率 +0.068%

假設最高賠率為 4.00

博彩公司預測分布
23.80%26.24%26.13%28.55%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.203.643.704.0031.25%27.46%27.03%25.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 27.13%3.69公平賠率
EV +0.375%
優勢 +0.101%
Kelly +0.139%
成長率 +0.001%

假設最高賠率為 3.70

博彩公司預測分布
24.90%26.94%27.19%27.85%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.253.473.503.7030.77%28.79%28.57%27.03%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Lyon (主隊)：46.74%；Fenerbahce (客隊)：26.13%；和局：27.13%。 對於「Fenerbahce (客隊)」，該估計相當於3.83的公平十進位賠率。 當時有6家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為4.00，對應+4.51%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (37 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.72%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV +4.51%E +1.13%K +1.50%G +0.068%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV -0.981%E -0.269%K -0.370%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-26 18:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.72%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV +4.51%E +1.13%K +1.50%G +0.068%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV -0.981%E -0.269%K -0.370%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-26 18:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -12.12%E -6.45%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV +1.89%E +0.486%K +0.653%G +0.012%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.899%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-26 18:44
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -12.12%E -6.45%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +1.89%E +0.486%K +0.653%G +0.012%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-26 18:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -12.12%E -6.45%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +1.89%E +0.486%K +0.653%G +0.012%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-26 18:44
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -12.12%E -6.45%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +1.89%E +0.486%K +0.653%G +0.012%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-26 18:44
Coolbet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.73%EV -6.04%E -3.01%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV -0.719%E -0.189%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.02%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-26 18:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -11.18%E -5.89%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -0.719%E -0.189%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.899%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-26 18:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -12.12%E -6.45%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -0.719%E -0.189%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-26 18:45
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -12.12%E -6.45%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -0.719%E -0.189%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-26 18:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -12.12%E -6.45%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -0.719%E -0.189%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-26 18:45
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.69%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -2.02%E -0.540%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 18:43
Marathon Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.80%EV -3.24%E -1.56%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.90%EV -2.29%E -0.611%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.29%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-26 18:54
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.85%E -4.54%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -3.33%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-26 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -13.52%E -7.31%K -15.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -3.33%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-26 18:45
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -13.52%E -7.31%K -15.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -3.33%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-26 18:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.00%EV -14.46%E -7.90%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -3.33%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-26 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.00%EV -14.46%E -7.90%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -3.33%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-26 18:44
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -18.20%E -10.40%K -24.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -3.33%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.89%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-26 18:45
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.20%EV -2.77%E -1.33%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.18%EV -4.12%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.61%EV -5.59%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-26 18:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.46%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.02%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.52%EV -6.14%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 18:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.46%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.02%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.52%EV -6.14%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 18:54
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.39%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-26 18:55
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -8.85%E -4.54%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-26 18:44
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.72%E -5.61%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.48%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-26 18:45
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.64%E -2.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.70%EV -6.99%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.70%EV -3.42%E -0.961%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-26 18:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV +0.375%E +0.101%K +0.139%G +0.001%5.6%2026-08-26 18:40
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-26 18:54
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.899%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-26 18:49
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -9.86%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -10.48%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-26 18:49
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -9.86%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -10.48%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-26 18:49
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -9.32%E -4.80%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-26 18:40
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.48%E -3.72%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.83%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-26 18:49
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -12.59%E -6.73%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.78%E -4.18%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.899%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-26 18:54
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -16.39%E -5.12%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-26 18:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -16.39%E -5.12%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-26 18:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -16.39%E -5.12%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-26 18:54
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-08-26 18:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.28%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.14%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-08-26 18:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.28%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.14%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-08-26 18:55