语言:简体中文
Lyon v Fenerbahce
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Lyon (主队)
预测 46.74%2.14公平赔率
EV -2.77%
优势 -1.33%
Kelly -2.57%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.08
博彩公司预测分布
44.57%46.82%46.68%50.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.751.951.952.0857.14%51.22%51.28%48.08%最小值均值中位数最大值
Fenerbahce (客队)
预测 26.13%3.83公平赔率
EV +4.51%
优势 +1.13%
Kelly +1.50%
增长率 +0.068%
假设最高赔率为 4.00
博彩公司预测分布
23.80%26.24%26.13%28.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.643.704.0031.25%27.46%27.03%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 27.13%3.69公平赔率
EV +0.375%
优势 +0.101%
Kelly +0.139%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 3.70
博彩公司预测分布
24.90%26.94%27.19%27.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.473.503.7030.77%28.79%28.57%27.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Lyon (主队)：46.74%；Fenerbahce (客队)：26.13%；平局：27.13%。 对于“Fenerbahce (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.83。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.00，对应+4.51%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.72%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV +4.51%E +1.13%K +1.50%G +0.068% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV -0.981%E -0.269%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-26 18:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.72%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV +4.51%E +1.13%K +1.50%G +0.068% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV -0.981%E -0.269%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-26 18:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -12.12%E -6.45%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV +1.89%E +0.486%K +0.653%G +0.012% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-26 18:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -12.12%E -6.45%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +1.89%E +0.486%K +0.653%G +0.012% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-26 18:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -12.12%E -6.45%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +1.89%E +0.486%K +0.653%G +0.012% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-26 18:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -12.12%E -6.45%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +1.89%E +0.486%K +0.653%G +0.012% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-26 18:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.73%EV -6.04%E -3.01%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV -0.719%E -0.189%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.02%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-26 18:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -11.18%E -5.89%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -0.719%E -0.189%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -12.12%E -6.45%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -0.719%E -0.189%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-26 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -12.12%E -6.45%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -0.719%E -0.189%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-26 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -12.12%E -6.45%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -0.719%E -0.189%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-26 18:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.69%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -2.02%E -0.540%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-26 18:43 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.80%EV -3.24%E -1.56%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.90%EV -2.29%E -0.611%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.29%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-26 18:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.85%E -4.54%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -3.33%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-26 18:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -13.52%E -7.31%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -3.33%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-26 18:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -13.52%E -7.31%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -3.33%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-26 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.00%EV -14.46%E -7.90%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -3.33%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-26 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.00%EV -14.46%E -7.90%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -3.33%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-26 18:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -18.20%E -10.40%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -3.33%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.89%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-26 18:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.20%EV -2.77%E -1.33%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.18%EV -4.12%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.61%EV -5.59%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-26 18:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.46%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.02%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.52%EV -6.14%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-26 18:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.46%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.02%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.52%EV -6.14%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-26 18:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.39%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-26 18:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -8.85%E -4.54%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-26 18:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.72%E -5.61%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.48%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-26 18:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.64%E -2.27%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.70%EV -6.99%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.70%EV -3.42%E -0.961%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-26 18:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV +0.375%E +0.101%K +0.139%G +0.001% | 5.6% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-26 18:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -9.86%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -10.48%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -9.86%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -10.48%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -9.32%E -4.80%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.48%E -3.72%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.83%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -12.59%E -6.73%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.78%E -4.18%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-26 18:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -16.39%E -5.12%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-26 18:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -16.39%E -5.12%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-26 18:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -16.39%E -5.12%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-26 18:54 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-26 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.28% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.14% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58% | 0.7% | 2026-08-26 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.28% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.14% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58% | 0.7% | 2026-08-26 18:55 |