Langue:Français
Lyon v Fenerbahce
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Lyon (Local)
Prévision 46.74%2.14cote équitable
EV -2.77%
Avantage -1.33%
Kelly -2.57%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.08
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.57%46.82%46.68%50.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.751.951.952.0857.14%51.22%51.28%48.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Fenerbahce (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.13%3.83cote équitable
EV +4.51%
Avantage +1.13%
Kelly +1.50%
Croissance +0.068%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.80%26.24%26.13%28.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.643.704.0031.25%27.46%27.03%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 27.13%3.69cote équitable
EV +0.375%
Avantage +0.101%
Kelly +0.139%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 3.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.90%26.94%27.19%27.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.473.503.7030.77%28.79%28.57%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Lyon (Local) : 46.74% ; Fenerbahce (Visiteur) : 26.13% ; Match nul : 27.13%. Pour Fenerbahce (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.83. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.00, soit une espérance positive de +4.51%.
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.72%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV +4.51%E +1.13%K +1.50%G +0.068% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV -0.981%E -0.269%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-26 18:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.72%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV +4.51%E +1.13%K +1.50%G +0.068% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV -0.981%E -0.269%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-26 18:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -12.12%E -6.45%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV +1.89%E +0.486%K +0.653%G +0.012% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-26 18:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -12.12%E -6.45%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +1.89%E +0.486%K +0.653%G +0.012% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-26 18:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -12.12%E -6.45%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +1.89%E +0.486%K +0.653%G +0.012% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-26 18:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -12.12%E -6.45%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +1.89%E +0.486%K +0.653%G +0.012% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-26 18:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.73%EV -6.04%E -3.01%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV -0.719%E -0.189%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.02%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-26 18:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -11.18%E -5.89%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -0.719%E -0.189%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -12.12%E -6.45%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -0.719%E -0.189%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-26 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -12.12%E -6.45%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -0.719%E -0.189%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-26 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -12.12%E -6.45%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -0.719%E -0.189%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-26 18:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.69%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -2.02%E -0.540%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-26 18:43 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.80%EV -3.24%E -1.56%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.90%EV -2.29%E -0.611%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.29%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-26 18:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.85%E -4.54%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -3.33%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-26 18:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -13.52%E -7.31%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -3.33%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-26 18:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -13.52%E -7.31%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -3.33%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-26 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.00%EV -14.46%E -7.90%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -3.33%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-26 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.00%EV -14.46%E -7.90%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -3.33%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-26 18:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -18.20%E -10.40%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -3.33%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.89%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-26 18:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.20%EV -2.77%E -1.33%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.18%EV -4.12%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.61%EV -5.59%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-26 18:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.46%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.02%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.52%EV -6.14%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-26 18:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.46%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.02%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.52%EV -6.14%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-26 18:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.39%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-26 18:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -8.85%E -4.54%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-26 18:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.72%E -5.61%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.48%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-26 18:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.64%E -2.27%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.70%EV -6.99%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.70%EV -3.42%E -0.961%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-26 18:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV +0.375%E +0.101%K +0.139%G +0.001% | 5.6% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-26 18:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -9.86%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -10.48%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -9.86%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -10.48%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -9.32%E -4.80%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.48%E -3.72%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.83%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -12.59%E -6.73%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.78%E -4.18%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-26 18:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -16.39%E -5.12%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-26 18:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -16.39%E -5.12%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-26 18:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -16.39%E -5.12%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-26 18:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-26 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.28% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.14% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58% | 0.7% | 2026-08-26 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.28% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.14% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58% | 0.7% | 2026-08-26 18:55 |