KF Egnatia v NK Celje

2026-07-22 19:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

29%

43%

28%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

KF Egnatia (Local)

Prediction 29.16%3.43fair odd

EV -5.24%

Edge -1.61%

Kelly -2.33%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

28.35%29.01%29.28%29.96%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.003.163.203.2533%32%31%31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

NK Celje (Visit)

Prediction 43.24%2.31fair odd

EV -4.88%

Edge -2.22%

Kelly -4.06%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

42.80%43.22%43.17%44.13%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.962.122.152.2051%47%47%45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.60%3.62fair odd

EV -6.15%

Edge -1.81%

Kelly -2.56%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.03%27.77%27.55%28.79%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.203.303.303.4031%30%30%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Betr (AU)	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -5.24%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -6.15%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-17 13:29
1xBet	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.24%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.15%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-17 18:44
Neds	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.24%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.15%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-17 18:39
Marathon Bet	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.24%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%	2.13I 46.95%NM 43.82%EV -7.90%E -3.71%K -6.99%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.15%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-17 18:45
888sport	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.24%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -11.67%E -3.65%K -5.30%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-07-17 18:40
888sport (SE)	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.24%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -11.67%E -3.65%K -5.30%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-07-17 18:39
Mr Green (SE)	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.24%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -11.67%E -3.65%K -5.30%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-07-17 18:40
Coolbet	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -6.69%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -6.17%E -2.84%K -5.28%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.15%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-17 13:54
Bet Right	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.15%E -2.59%K -3.79%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.91%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-07-17 13:29
SportsBet	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -7.53%E -2.25%K -3.20%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-07-17 13:29
FanDuel	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.20%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.91%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-07-17 13:29
PlayUp	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.20%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.29%E -3.17%K -4.57%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-07-17 13:49
Paddy Power	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.53%E -4.18%K -6.26%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.20%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.91%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-07-17 13:28
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.53%E -4.18%K -6.26%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.20%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.91%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-07-17 13:29
BoyleSports	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.53%E -4.18%K -6.26%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.36%E -5.54%K -10.82%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -11.67%E -3.65%K -5.30%G +0.000%	13.4%	2026-07-17 13:44
Unibet (FR)	3.00I 33.33%NM 28.83%EV -12.53%E -4.18%K -6.26%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 44.13%EV -15.25%E -7.78%K -15.89%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 27.03%EV -11.67%E -3.65%K -5.30%G +0.000%	15.6%	2026-07-17 19:14

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.