La escuela de los momiosEspañol
KF Egnatia v NK Celje
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
KF Egnatia (Local)
Predicción 27.48%3.64momio equitativo
EV +3.04%
Ventaja +0.811%
Kelly +1.11%
Crecimiento +0.034%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.59%27.46%27.44%28.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.483.453.7532.26%28.72%28.99%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
NK Celje (Visitante)
Predicción 45.32%2.21momio equitativo
EV -4.84%
Ventaja -2.30%
Kelly -4.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.37%45.28%45.27%47.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.832.002.022.1054.64%50.02%49.50%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.21%3.68momio equitativo
EV -4.77%
Ventaja -1.36%
Kelly -1.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.86%27.26%27.29%28.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.373.353.5031.75%29.68%29.85%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (31 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV +3.04%E +0.811%K +1.11%G +0.034% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.70%EV -12.09%E -6.23%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-22 18:45 |
| TABtouch | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV +3.04%E +0.811%K +1.11%G +0.034% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.70%EV -12.09%E -6.23%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-22 18:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV +3.04%E +0.811%K +1.11%G +0.034% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.70%EV -12.09%E -6.23%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-22 18:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV +3.04%E +0.811%K +1.11%G +0.034% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.70%EV -12.09%E -6.23%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-22 18:44 |
| Casumo | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV +3.04%E +0.811%K +1.11%G +0.034% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.70%EV -12.09%E -6.23%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-22 18:35 |
| Grosvenor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV +3.04%E +0.811%K +1.11%G +0.034% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.70%EV -12.09%E -6.23%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-22 18:44 |
| Unibet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV +3.04%E +0.811%K +1.11%G +0.034% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.70%EV -12.09%E -6.23%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-22 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV +1.67%E +0.450%K +0.617%G +0.010% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -13.45%E -7.04%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-22 18:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV +1.67%E +0.450%K +0.617%G +0.010% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -13.45%E -7.04%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-22 18:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.59%EV -2.46%E -0.692%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.70%EV -17.07%E -9.33%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.71%EV -14.30%E -4.54%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-07-22 18:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.10%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-22 18:14 |
| 1xBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.22%EV -8.01%E -3.95%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.96%EV -5.32%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-22 18:14 |
| Neds | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.10%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-22 18:19 |
| Coolbet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.93%EV -8.01%E -3.95%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-22 18:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -4.38%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.20%EV -8.46%E -4.19%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.98%EV -5.86%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-22 18:04 |
| DraftKings | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -7.10%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-22 17:59 |
| BetUS | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -7.10%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-22 18:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.10%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.27%EV -6.68%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.10%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.27%EV -6.68%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 18:14 |
| Bet Right | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.37%E -4.68%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-22 18:14 |
| 888sport | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.10%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-22 18:20 |
| NordicBet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -5.74%E -2.76%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 18:24 |
| Betsson | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -5.74%E -2.76%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 18:25 |
| FanDuel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.84%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 18:13 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.10%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-22 18:19 |
| SportsBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -7.10%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-22 18:15 |
| PlayUp | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -8.46%E -4.19%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-22 18:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -9.37%E -4.68%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-22 18:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -10.28%E -5.19%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-22 18:44 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.37%E -4.68%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-22 18:14 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -14.82%E -4.78%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.86%EV -11.64%E -5.97%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-22 18:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.60% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23% | 0.6% | 2026-07-22 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-07-22 18:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-07-22 18:45 |