L’École des cotesFrançais
KF Egnatia v NK Celje
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
KF Egnatia (Local)
Prévision 27.48%3.64cote équitable
EV +3.04%
Avantage +0.811%
Kelly +1.11%
Croissance +0.034%
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.59%27.46%27.44%28.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.483.453.7532.26%28.72%28.99%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
NK Celje (Visiteur)
Prévision 45.32%2.21cote équitable
EV -4.84%
Avantage -2.30%
Kelly -4.40%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.37%45.28%45.27%47.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.832.002.022.1054.64%50.02%49.50%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.21%3.68cote équitable
EV -4.77%
Avantage -1.36%
Kelly -1.91%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.86%27.26%27.29%28.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.373.353.5031.75%29.68%29.85%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV +3.04%E +0.811%K +1.11%G +0.034% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.70%EV -12.09%E -6.23%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-22 18:45 |
| TABtouch | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV +3.04%E +0.811%K +1.11%G +0.034% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.70%EV -12.09%E -6.23%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-22 18:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV +3.04%E +0.811%K +1.11%G +0.034% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.70%EV -12.09%E -6.23%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-22 18:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV +3.04%E +0.811%K +1.11%G +0.034% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.70%EV -12.09%E -6.23%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-22 18:44 |
| Casumo | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV +3.04%E +0.811%K +1.11%G +0.034% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.70%EV -12.09%E -6.23%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-22 18:35 |
| Grosvenor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV +3.04%E +0.811%K +1.11%G +0.034% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.70%EV -12.09%E -6.23%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-22 18:44 |
| Unibet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV +3.04%E +0.811%K +1.11%G +0.034% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.70%EV -12.09%E -6.23%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-22 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV +1.67%E +0.450%K +0.617%G +0.010% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -13.45%E -7.04%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-22 18:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV +1.67%E +0.450%K +0.617%G +0.010% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -13.45%E -7.04%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-22 18:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.59%EV -2.46%E -0.692%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.70%EV -17.07%E -9.33%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.71%EV -14.30%E -4.54%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-07-22 18:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.10%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-22 18:14 |
| 1xBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.22%EV -8.01%E -3.95%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.96%EV -5.32%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-22 18:14 |
| Neds | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.10%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-22 18:19 |
| Coolbet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.93%EV -8.01%E -3.95%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-22 18:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -4.38%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.20%EV -8.46%E -4.19%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.98%EV -5.86%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-22 18:04 |
| DraftKings | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -7.10%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-22 17:59 |
| BetUS | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -7.10%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-22 18:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.10%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.27%EV -6.68%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.10%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.27%EV -6.68%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 18:14 |
| Bet Right | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.37%E -4.68%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-22 18:14 |
| 888sport | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.10%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-22 18:20 |
| NordicBet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -5.74%E -2.76%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 18:24 |
| Betsson | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -5.74%E -2.76%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 18:25 |
| FanDuel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.84%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 18:13 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.10%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-22 18:19 |
| SportsBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -7.10%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-22 18:15 |
| PlayUp | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -8.46%E -4.19%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-22 18:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -9.37%E -4.68%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-22 18:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -10.28%E -5.19%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-22 18:44 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.37%E -4.68%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-22 18:14 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -14.82%E -4.78%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.86%EV -11.64%E -5.97%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-22 18:44 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.60% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23% | 0.6% | 2026-07-22 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-07-22 18:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-07-22 18:45 |