语言:简体中文
Górnik Zabrze v Fenerbahce
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Górnik Zabrze (主队)
预测 17.89%5.59公平赔率
EV -1.63%
优势 -0.297%
Kelly -0.362%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 5.50
博彩公司预测分布
17.07%17.95%17.83%19.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.605.014.905.5021.74%19.95%20.41%18.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
Fenerbahce (客队)
预测 59.13%1.69公平赔率
EV -4.20%
优势 -2.59%
Kelly -6.78%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.62
博彩公司预测分布
57.69%59.04%59.17%60.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.491.571.571.6267.11%63.86%63.69%61.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 22.98%4.35公平赔率
EV +1.11%
优势 +0.253%
Kelly +0.327%
增长率 +0.004%
假设最高赔率为 4.40
博彩公司预测分布
21.43%23.01%23.00%24.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.804.144.204.4026.32%24.16%23.81%22.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Górnik Zabrze (主队)：17.89%；Fenerbahce (客队)：59.13%；平局：22.98%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.35。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.40，对应+1.11%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (36 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neds🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -14.15%E -2.95%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.93%EV -5.38%E -3.37%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +1.11%E +0.253%K +0.327%G +0.004% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 17:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -10.57%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.80%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -1.19%E -0.276%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 17:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -12.36%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -1.19%E -0.276%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -12.36%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -1.19%E -0.276%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -12.36%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -1.19%E -0.276%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -12.36%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -1.19%E -0.276%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -12.36%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -1.19%E -0.276%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -12.36%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -1.19%E -0.276%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -12.36%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -1.19%E -0.276%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -12.36%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -7.75%E -4.97%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -1.19%E -0.276%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -12.36%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -7.75%E -4.97%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -1.19%E -0.276%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.76%EV -7.00%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.76%EV -10.11%E -6.65%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.48%EV -1.19%E -0.276%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.59%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.26%EV -5.38%E -3.37%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.15%EV -1.65%E -0.385%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 17:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.58%EV -3.42%E -0.633%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.08%EV -6.57%E -4.16%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -2.34%E -0.550%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.58%EV -3.42%E -0.633%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.08%EV -6.57%E -4.16%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -2.34%E -0.550%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 17:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -12.36%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.33%EV -7.75%E -4.97%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -2.34%E -0.550%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -1.63%E -0.297%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -8.34%E -5.38%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -3.48%E -0.830%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-29 17:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -1.63%E -0.297%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -8.34%E -5.38%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -3.48%E -0.830%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-29 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -15.04%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -8.93%E -5.80%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -3.48%E -0.830%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -15.04%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -8.93%E -5.80%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -3.48%E -0.830%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -7.00%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.78%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-29 17:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.20%EV -4.79%E -2.98%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -14.15%E -2.95%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -5.38%E -3.37%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -14.15%E -2.95%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -5.38%E -3.37%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -14.15%E -2.95%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -5.38%E -3.37%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -7.75%E -4.97%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-29 17:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -6.10%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -8.93%E -5.80%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-29 17:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -10.57%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -10.11%E -6.65%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -15.04%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -11.30%E -7.53%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-29 17:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.09%EV -17.73%E -3.85%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.95%EV -11.89%E -7.98%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.28%EV -5.38%E -3.37%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.43%EV -8.54%E -2.15%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -3.42%E -0.633%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -4.79%E -2.98%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.80%EV -8.77%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -9.23%E -2.34%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -15.04%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.81%EV -11.30%E -7.53%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -10.38%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -5.21%E -0.983%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -12.68%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.57%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.52%E -6.22%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.68%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.93% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61% | 0.5% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.93% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61% | 0.5% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.93% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61% | 0.5% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |