Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Górnik Zabrze v Fenerbahce

Inizio: 2026-07-29 18:00 UTC

Finale: Górnik Zabrze 1–1 Fenerbahce

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

36 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Górnik Zabrze (Casa)

Previsione 17.89%5.59quota equa
EV -1.63%
Vantaggio -0.297%
Kelly -0.362%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.07%17.95%17.83%19.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.605.014.905.5021.74%19.95%20.41%18.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Fenerbahce (Trasferta)

Previsione 59.13%1.69quota equa
EV -4.20%
Vantaggio -2.59%
Kelly -6.78%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.69%59.04%59.17%60.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.491.571.571.6267.11%63.86%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 22.98%4.35quota equa
EV +1.11%
Vantaggio +0.253%
Kelly +0.327%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.43%23.01%23.00%24.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.804.144.204.4026.32%24.16%23.81%22.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Górnik Zabrze (Casa): 17.89%; Fenerbahce (Trasferta): 59.13%; Pareggio: 22.98%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.35. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 4.40, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.11%.

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Neds🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -14.15%E -2.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.93%EV -5.38%E -3.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +1.11%E +0.253%K +0.327%G +0.004%6.1%2026-07-29 17:50
Bovada🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -10.57%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.80%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -1.19%E -0.276%K -0.360%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 17:54
Unibet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -12.36%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -1.19%E -0.276%K -0.360%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-29 17:45
Casumo🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -12.36%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -1.19%E -0.276%K -0.360%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-29 17:45
Unibet (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -12.36%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -1.19%E -0.276%K -0.360%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-29 17:45
Unibet (NL)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -12.36%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -1.19%E -0.276%K -0.360%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-29 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -12.36%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -1.19%E -0.276%K -0.360%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-29 17:45
betPARX🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -12.36%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -1.19%E -0.276%K -0.360%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-29 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -12.36%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -1.19%E -0.276%K -0.360%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-29 17:45
TABtouch🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -12.36%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -7.75%E -4.97%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -1.19%E -0.276%K -0.360%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-29 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -12.36%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -7.75%E -4.97%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -1.19%E -0.276%K -0.360%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-29 17:45
Unibet (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.76%EV -7.00%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.76%EV -10.11%E -6.65%K -19.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.48%EV -1.19%E -0.276%K -0.360%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 17:45
1xBet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.59%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.26%EV -5.38%E -3.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.15%EV -1.65%E -0.385%K -0.502%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 17:50
NordicBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.58%EV -3.42%E -0.633%K -0.777%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.08%EV -6.57%E -4.16%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -2.34%E -0.550%K -0.719%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 17:55
Betsson🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.58%EV -3.42%E -0.633%K -0.777%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.08%EV -6.57%E -4.16%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -2.34%E -0.550%K -0.719%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 17:54
Grosvenor🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -12.36%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.33%EV -7.75%E -4.97%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -2.34%E -0.550%K -0.719%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-29 17:45
Betr (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -1.63%E -0.297%K -0.362%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -8.34%E -5.38%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -3.48%E -0.830%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-29 17:40
Coolbet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -1.63%E -0.297%K -0.362%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -8.34%E -5.38%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -3.48%E -0.830%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-29 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -15.04%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -8.93%E -5.80%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -3.48%E -0.830%K -1.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-29 17:45
LiveScore Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -15.04%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -8.93%E -5.80%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -3.48%E -0.830%K -1.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-29 17:45
FanDuel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -7.00%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.78%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-29 17:44
BetUS🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.20%EV -4.79%E -2.98%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 17:55
888sport🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -14.15%E -2.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -5.38%E -3.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -14.15%E -2.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -5.38%E -3.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -14.15%E -2.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -5.38%E -3.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 17:55
SportsBet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -7.75%E -4.97%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-29 17:44
Bet Right🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -6.10%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -8.93%E -5.80%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-29 17:40
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -10.57%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -10.11%E -6.65%K -19.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-29 17:55
BoyleSports🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -15.04%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -11.30%E -7.53%K -22.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-29 17:44
PMU (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.09%EV -17.73%E -3.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 58.95%EV -11.89%E -7.98%K -24.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-29 17:45
Marathon Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.28%EV -5.38%E -3.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.43%EV -8.54%E -2.15%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-29 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -3.42%E -0.633%K -0.777%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -4.79%E -2.98%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.80%EV -8.77%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -9.23%E -2.34%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -15.04%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.81%EV -11.30%E -7.53%K -22.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -10.38%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-29 17:45
Tipico (DE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -5.21%E -0.983%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -12.68%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-29 17:55
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.57%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.52%E -6.22%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.68%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-29 17:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.93%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61%0.5%2026-07-29 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.93%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61%0.5%2026-07-29 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.93%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61%0.5%2026-07-29 17:55