L’École des cotes

Górnik Zabrze v Fenerbahce

2026-07-29 18:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (8 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Górnik Zabrze (Local)

Prévision 14.98%6.68cote équitable
EV +1.84%
Avantage +0.271%
Kelly +0.318%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 6.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.50%14.86%15.03%16.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.106.106.8018.18%16.39%16.39%14.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Fenerbahce (Visiteur)

Prévision 62.96%1.59cote équitable
EV -4.93%
Avantage -3.26%
Kelly -9.67%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.91%62.97%63.03%64.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.461.471.5171.43%68.29%68.03%66.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.06%4.53cote équitable
EV -2.92%
Avantage -0.665%
Kelly -0.860%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.36%22.17%21.95%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.854.184.254.4025.97%23.94%23.53%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)6.80I 14.71%NM 13.50%EV +1.84%E +0.271%K +0.318%G +0.006%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -10.60%E -7.46%K -25.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -7.34%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 10:00
1xBet6.60I 15.15%NM 14.23%EV -1.15%E -0.175%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.45%E -5.07%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 21.89%EV -5.35%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 11:24
Marathon Bet6.55I 15.27%NM 14.23%EV -1.90%E -0.290%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.84%EV -8.08%E -5.53%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -6.23%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 11:20
BetUS6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.482%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -5.56%E -3.71%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -9.54%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 07:40
NordicBet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV -4.15%E -0.648%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.95%EV -5.56%E -3.71%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.85%E -3.25%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 11:25
Betsson6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV -4.15%E -0.648%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.95%EV -5.56%E -3.71%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.85%E -3.25%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 11:25
Bovada6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV -6.40%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.10%EV -4.93%E -3.26%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -2.92%E -0.665%K -0.860%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 06:59
Betr (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -6.40%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.57%EV -6.82%E -4.61%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -2.92%E -0.665%K -0.860%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 07:55
Coolbet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -6.40%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.25%EV -6.82%E -4.61%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -5.13%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 09:40
Unibet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV -8.64%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -7.45%E -5.07%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -6.23%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 16:10
Casumo6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV -8.64%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -7.45%E -5.07%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -6.23%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 16:10
Unibet (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV -8.64%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -7.45%E -5.07%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -6.23%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 16:10
Grosvenor6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV -8.64%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -7.45%E -5.07%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -6.23%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 16:10
TABtouch6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV -8.64%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -7.45%E -5.07%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -6.23%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 16:10
Unibet (NL)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV -8.64%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -7.45%E -5.07%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -6.23%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV -8.64%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -7.45%E -5.07%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -6.23%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 16:10
ATG (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV -8.64%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -7.45%E -5.07%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -6.23%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 16:10
betPARX6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV -8.64%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -7.45%E -5.07%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -6.23%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 16:10
Svenska Spel6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV -8.64%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -7.45%E -5.07%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -6.23%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 16:10
Neds6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -10.14%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -5.56%E -3.71%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.92%E -0.665%K -0.860%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 08:20
LowVig.ag6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -10.14%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -5.56%E -3.71%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.54%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 07:45
BetOnline.ag6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -10.14%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -5.56%E -3.71%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.54%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 07:44
SportsBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -10.14%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.18%EV -8.08%E -5.53%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -5.13%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 09:40
FanDuel6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -10.14%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -8.71%E -6.01%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -5.13%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 09:40
Bet Right6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -10.14%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.36%EV -7.45%E -5.07%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%EV -9.54%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 09:40
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -10.14%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -9.34%E -6.48%K -21.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -7.34%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 09:39
Virgin Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -10.14%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -9.34%E -6.48%K -21.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -7.34%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 16:10
LiveScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -10.14%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -9.34%E -6.48%K -21.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -7.34%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 16:10
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -10.14%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.34%E -6.48%K -21.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.75%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 07:44
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -10.14%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.34%E -6.48%K -21.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.75%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 07:45
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -10.14%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.34%E -6.48%K -21.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.75%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 07:45
PlayUp5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -13.88%E -2.41%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.91%EV -6.82%E -4.61%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -15.06%E -3.91%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-25 11:24
PMU (FR)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.36%EV -13.88%E -2.41%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.09%EV -11.86%E -8.47%K -29.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -9.54%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-25 16:10
Unibet (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.07%EV -17.63%E -3.21%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 61.82%EV -9.97%E -6.97%K -23.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -11.75%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-25 11:25
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -17.63%E -3.21%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -11.86%E -8.47%K -29.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -11.75%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-25 11:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%5.9%2026-07-26 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%5.9%2026-07-25 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%5.9%2026-07-25 23:45