Langue:Français
Górnik Zabrze v Fenerbahce
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Górnik Zabrze (Local)
Prévision 17.89%5.59cote équitable
EV -1.63%
Avantage -0.297%
Kelly -0.362%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.07%17.95%17.83%19.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.605.014.905.5021.74%19.95%20.41%18.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Fenerbahce (Visiteur)
Prévision 59.13%1.69cote équitable
EV -4.20%
Avantage -2.59%
Kelly -6.78%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.62
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.69%59.04%59.17%60.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.491.571.571.6267.11%63.86%63.69%61.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 22.98%4.35cote équitable
EV +1.11%
Avantage +0.253%
Kelly +0.327%
Croissance +0.004%
avec la cote maximale 4.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.43%23.01%23.00%24.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.144.204.4026.32%24.16%23.81%22.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Górnik Zabrze (Local) : 17.89% ; Fenerbahce (Visiteur) : 59.13% ; Match nul : 22.98%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.35. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.40, soit une espérance positive de +1.11%.
Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neds🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -14.15%E -2.95%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.93%EV -5.38%E -3.37%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +1.11%E +0.253%K +0.327%G +0.004% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 17:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -10.57%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.80%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -1.19%E -0.276%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 17:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -12.36%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -1.19%E -0.276%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -12.36%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -1.19%E -0.276%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -12.36%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -1.19%E -0.276%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -12.36%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -1.19%E -0.276%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -12.36%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -1.19%E -0.276%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -12.36%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -1.19%E -0.276%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -12.36%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -1.19%E -0.276%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -12.36%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -7.75%E -4.97%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -1.19%E -0.276%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -12.36%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -7.75%E -4.97%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -1.19%E -0.276%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.76%EV -7.00%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.76%EV -10.11%E -6.65%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.48%EV -1.19%E -0.276%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.59%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.26%EV -5.38%E -3.37%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.15%EV -1.65%E -0.385%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 17:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.58%EV -3.42%E -0.633%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.08%EV -6.57%E -4.16%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -2.34%E -0.550%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.58%EV -3.42%E -0.633%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.08%EV -6.57%E -4.16%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -2.34%E -0.550%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 17:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -12.36%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.33%EV -7.75%E -4.97%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -2.34%E -0.550%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -1.63%E -0.297%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -8.34%E -5.38%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -3.48%E -0.830%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-29 17:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -1.63%E -0.297%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -8.34%E -5.38%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -3.48%E -0.830%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-29 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -15.04%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -8.93%E -5.80%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -3.48%E -0.830%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -15.04%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -8.93%E -5.80%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -3.48%E -0.830%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -7.00%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.78%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-29 17:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.20%EV -4.79%E -2.98%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -14.15%E -2.95%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -5.38%E -3.37%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -14.15%E -2.95%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -5.38%E -3.37%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -14.15%E -2.95%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -5.38%E -3.37%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -7.75%E -4.97%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-29 17:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -6.10%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -8.93%E -5.80%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-29 17:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -10.57%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -10.11%E -6.65%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -15.04%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -11.30%E -7.53%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-29 17:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.09%EV -17.73%E -3.85%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.95%EV -11.89%E -7.98%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.28%EV -5.38%E -3.37%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.43%EV -8.54%E -2.15%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -3.42%E -0.633%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -4.79%E -2.98%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.80%EV -8.77%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -9.23%E -2.34%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -15.04%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.81%EV -11.30%E -7.53%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -10.38%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -5.21%E -0.983%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -12.68%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.57%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.52%E -6.22%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.68%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.93% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61% | 0.5% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.93% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61% | 0.5% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.93% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61% | 0.5% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |