Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 5.25
assuming max odds 1.67
assuming max odds 4.20
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -1.89%E -0.360%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.17%EV -6.50%E -4.04%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -2.39%E -0.569%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-15 18:13 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -2.82%E -0.543%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.12%EV -12.89%E -8.59%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -7.04%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-15 14:45 |
| Bovada | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.19%EV -4.76%E -2.90%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -2.39%E -0.569%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-15 17:08 |
| Neds | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.92%E -3.66%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.71%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-15 14:44 |
| FanDuel | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.50%E -4.04%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.04%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-15 18:13 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -7.08%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -5.88%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-15 18:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -7.67%E -4.82%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.04%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-15 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -7.67%E -4.82%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.04%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-15 14:44 |
| NordicBet | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -7.50%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -5.92%E -3.66%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -8.20%E -2.08%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-15 18:13 |
| Betsson | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -7.50%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -5.92%E -3.66%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -8.20%E -2.08%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-15 18:13 |
| BetUS | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV -8.43%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.10%EV -6.50%E -4.04%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -4.71%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-15 18:13 |
| SportsBet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.84%EV -8.43%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.07%EV -7.67%E -4.82%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.04%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-15 18:13 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -10.30%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.27%EV -4.18%E -2.53%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.05%EV -4.71%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-15 14:44 |
| 888sport | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -10.30%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.08%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.36%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-15 18:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.30%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.50%E -4.04%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-15 17:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.30%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.50%E -4.04%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-15 17:09 |
| Coolbet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -11.23%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -4.76%E -2.90%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.04%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-15 14:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.07%EV -11.23%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.70%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -9.36%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-15 18:13 |
| PlayUp | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.23%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -7.08%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -14.01%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-15 18:04 |
| Paddy Power | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -11.23%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.98%EV -11.15%E -7.29%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-15 18:04 |
| Grosvenor | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -12.17%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -3.02%E -1.81%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-13 10:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -12.17%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -3.02%E -1.81%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-13 10:44 |
| Unibet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -12.17%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -3.02%E -1.81%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-13 10:44 |
| Casumo | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -12.17%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -3.02%E -1.81%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-13 10:44 |
| TABtouch | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -12.17%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -3.02%E -1.81%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-13 10:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -12.17%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -3.02%E -1.81%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-13 10:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -12.17%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -3.02%E -1.81%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-13 10:45 |
| betPARX | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -12.17%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -3.02%E -1.81%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-13 10:43 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -12.17%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -3.02%E -1.81%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-13 10:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -12.17%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -3.02%E -1.81%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-13 10:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.11%EV -13.10%E -2.82%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -11.15%E -7.29%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.79%EV -9.36%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-15 18:01 |
| Bet Right | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -14.04%E -3.05%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -5.92%E -3.66%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.36%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-15 14:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -14.04%E -3.05%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.90%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%EV -12.85%E -3.43%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-13 10:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -14.04%E -3.05%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.90%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%EV -12.85%E -3.43%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-13 10:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.90%EV -17.77%E -4.04%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.77%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.32%EV -16.33%E -4.54%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-13 10:44 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.62% | 0.5% | 2026-07-15 18:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.8% | 2026-07-15 18:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.62% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 0.9% | 2026-07-15 18:13 |