La scuola delle quote

FK Sutjeska Nikšić v FC Kairat

Inizio: 2026-07-15 19:00 UTC

Finale: FK Sutjeska Nikšić 0–2 FC Kairat

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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35 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

FK Sutjeska Nikšić (Casa)

Previsione 18.69%5.35quota equa
EV -1.89%
Vantaggio -0.360%
Kelly -0.445%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.34%18.62%18.65%19.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.404.814.755.2522.73%20.81%21.05%19.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Kairat (Trasferta)

Previsione 58.07%1.72quota equa
EV -3.02%
Vantaggio -1.81%
Kelly -4.51%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.67

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.72%58.22%58.10%60.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.621.621.6766.67%61.74%61.73%59.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.24%4.30quota equa
EV -2.39%
Vantaggio -0.569%
Kelly -0.747%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.54%23.16%23.24%24.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.903.904.2027.78%25.65%25.64%23.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
DraftKings5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -1.89%E -0.360%K -0.445%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.17%EV -6.50%E -4.04%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -2.39%E -0.569%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-15 18:13
Tipico (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -2.82%E -0.543%K -0.673%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.12%EV -12.89%E -8.59%K -25.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -7.04%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-15 14:45
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.19%EV -4.76%E -2.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -2.39%E -0.569%K -0.747%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-15 17:08
Neds5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.92%E -3.66%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.71%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-15 14:44
FanDuel5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.50%E -4.04%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.04%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-15 18:13
Marathon Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -7.08%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -5.88%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-15 18:04
BetOnline.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -7.67%E -4.82%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.04%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-15 14:45
LowVig.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -7.67%E -4.82%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.04%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-15 14:44
NordicBet4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -7.50%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -5.92%E -3.66%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -8.20%E -2.08%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-15 18:13
Betsson4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -7.50%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -5.92%E -3.66%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -8.20%E -2.08%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-15 18:13
BetUS4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV -8.43%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.10%EV -6.50%E -4.04%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -4.71%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-15 18:13
SportsBet4.90I 20.41%NM 18.84%EV -8.43%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.07%EV -7.67%E -4.82%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.04%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-15 18:13
Betr (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -10.30%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.27%EV -4.18%E -2.53%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.05%EV -4.71%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-15 14:44
888sport4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -10.30%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.08%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.36%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-15 18:05
Mr Green (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.30%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.50%E -4.04%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-15 17:10
888sport (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.30%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.50%E -4.04%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-15 17:09
Coolbet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -11.23%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -4.76%E -2.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.04%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-15 14:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.07%EV -11.23%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.70%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -9.36%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-15 18:13
PlayUp4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.23%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -7.08%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -14.01%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-15 18:04
Paddy Power4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -11.23%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.98%EV -11.15%E -7.29%K -21.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-15 18:04
Grosvenor4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -12.17%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -3.02%E -1.81%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-13 10:44
Unibet (NL)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -12.17%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -3.02%E -1.81%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-13 10:44
Unibet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -12.17%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -3.02%E -1.81%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-13 10:44
Casumo4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -12.17%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -3.02%E -1.81%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-13 10:44
TABtouch4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -12.17%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -3.02%E -1.81%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-13 10:44
LeoVegas (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -12.17%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -3.02%E -1.81%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-13 10:44
Unibet (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -12.17%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -3.02%E -1.81%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-13 10:45
betPARX4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -12.17%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -3.02%E -1.81%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-13 10:43
Svenska Spel4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -12.17%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -3.02%E -1.81%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-13 10:44
ATG (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -12.17%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -3.02%E -1.81%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-13 10:45
Unibet (FR)4.65I 21.51%NM 19.11%EV -13.10%E -2.82%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -11.15%E -7.29%K -21.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.79%EV -9.36%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-15 18:01
Bet Right4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -14.04%E -3.05%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -5.92%E -3.66%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.36%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-15 14:44
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -14.04%E -3.05%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.90%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%EV -12.85%E -3.43%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-13 10:45
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -14.04%E -3.05%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.90%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%EV -12.85%E -3.43%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-13 10:45
PMU (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 19.90%EV -17.77%E -4.04%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 55.77%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.32%EV -16.33%E -4.54%K -6.28%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-13 10:44
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.62%0.5%2026-07-15 18:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.8%2026-07-15 18:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-07-15 18:13