L’École des cotesFrançais
FK Sutjeska Nikšić v FC Kairat
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
FK Sutjeska Nikšić (Local)
Prévision 18.69%5.35cote équitable
EV -1.89%
Avantage -0.360%
Kelly -0.445%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.34%18.62%18.65%19.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.404.814.755.2522.73%20.81%21.05%19.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
FC Kairat (Visiteur)
Prévision 58.07%1.72cote équitable
EV -3.02%
Avantage -1.81%
Kelly -4.51%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.67
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.72%58.22%58.10%60.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.621.621.6766.67%61.74%61.73%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 23.24%4.30cote équitable
EV -2.39%
Avantage -0.569%
Kelly -0.747%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.54%23.16%23.24%24.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.903.904.2027.78%25.65%25.64%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -1.89%E -0.360%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.17%EV -6.50%E -4.04%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -2.39%E -0.569%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-15 18:13 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -2.82%E -0.543%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.12%EV -12.89%E -8.59%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -7.04%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-15 14:45 |
| Bovada | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.19%EV -4.76%E -2.90%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -2.39%E -0.569%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-15 17:08 |
| Neds | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.92%E -3.66%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.71%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-15 14:44 |
| FanDuel | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.50%E -4.04%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.04%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-15 18:13 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -7.08%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -5.88%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-15 18:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -7.67%E -4.82%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.04%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-15 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -7.67%E -4.82%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.04%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-15 14:44 |
| NordicBet | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -7.50%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -5.92%E -3.66%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -8.20%E -2.08%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-15 18:13 |
| Betsson | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -7.50%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -5.92%E -3.66%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -8.20%E -2.08%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-15 18:13 |
| BetUS | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV -8.43%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.10%EV -6.50%E -4.04%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -4.71%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-15 18:13 |
| SportsBet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.84%EV -8.43%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.07%EV -7.67%E -4.82%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.04%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-15 18:13 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -10.30%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.27%EV -4.18%E -2.53%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.05%EV -4.71%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-15 14:44 |
| 888sport | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -10.30%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.08%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.36%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-15 18:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.30%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.50%E -4.04%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-15 17:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.30%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.50%E -4.04%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-15 17:09 |
| Coolbet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -11.23%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -4.76%E -2.90%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.04%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-15 14:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.07%EV -11.23%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.70%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -9.36%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-15 18:13 |
| PlayUp | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.23%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -7.08%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -14.01%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-15 18:04 |
| Paddy Power | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -11.23%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.98%EV -11.15%E -7.29%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-15 18:04 |
| Grosvenor | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -12.17%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -3.02%E -1.81%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-13 10:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -12.17%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -3.02%E -1.81%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-13 10:44 |
| Unibet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -12.17%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -3.02%E -1.81%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-13 10:44 |
| Casumo | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -12.17%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -3.02%E -1.81%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-13 10:44 |
| TABtouch | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -12.17%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -3.02%E -1.81%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-13 10:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -12.17%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -3.02%E -1.81%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-13 10:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -12.17%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -3.02%E -1.81%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-13 10:45 |
| betPARX | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -12.17%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -3.02%E -1.81%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-13 10:43 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -12.17%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -3.02%E -1.81%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-13 10:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -12.17%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -3.02%E -1.81%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-13 10:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.11%EV -13.10%E -2.82%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -11.15%E -7.29%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.79%EV -9.36%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-15 18:01 |
| Bet Right | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -14.04%E -3.05%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -5.92%E -3.66%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.36%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-15 14:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -14.04%E -3.05%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.90%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%EV -12.85%E -3.43%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-13 10:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -14.04%E -3.05%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.90%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%EV -12.85%E -3.43%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-13 10:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.90%EV -17.77%E -4.04%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.77%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.32%EV -16.33%E -4.54%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-13 10:44 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.62% | 0.5% | 2026-07-15 18:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.8% | 2026-07-15 18:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.62% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 0.9% | 2026-07-15 18:13 |