The School of Odds
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FK Kauno Žalgiris v Dinamo Zagreb

2026-08-11 17:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FK Kauno Žalgiris (Local)

Prediction 12.88%7.76fair odd
EV +6.93%
Edge +0.835%
Kelly +0.949%
Growth +0.066%

assuming max odds 8.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.45%12.92%12.88%14.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.986.608.3016.67%14.33%15.15%12.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dinamo Zagreb (Visit)

Prediction 68.88%1.45fair odd
EV -4.94%
Edge -3.58%
Kelly -13.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.99%68.84%68.88%69.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.351.3876.92%74.37%74.07%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.23%5.48fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -0.634%
Kelly -0.782%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.24%18.25%18.23%20.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.045.005.3022.22%19.86%20.00%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FK Kauno Žalgiris (Local): 12.88%; Dinamo Zagreb (Visit): 68.88%; Draw: 18.23%. For FK Kauno Žalgiris (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.76. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 8.30, producing a positive expected value of +6.93%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯8.30I 12.05%NM 11.45%EV +6.93%E +0.835%K +0.949%G +0.066%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.36%EV -5.63%E -4.11%K -15.22%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.20%EV -9.74%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 00:04
Betsson🎯8.30I 12.05%NM 11.45%EV +6.93%E +0.835%K +0.949%G +0.066%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.36%EV -5.63%E -4.11%K -15.22%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.20%EV -9.74%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 00:05
Tipico (DE)🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV +0.489%E +0.063%K +0.072%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.51%EV -9.07%E -6.87%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -10.66%E -2.17%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-06 00:10
PlayUp🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -9.82%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.99%EV -7.01%E -5.19%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -17.95%E -3.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-06 00:10
Betr (AU)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV -13.04%E -1.93%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.15%EV -4.94%E -3.58%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -4.27%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 00:15
Unibet (FR)🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 13.52%EV -14.97%E -2.27%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.64%EV -10.45%E -8.04%K -34.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -8.83%E -1.77%K -2.21%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-06 00:15
Coolbet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -16.26%E -2.50%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -4.94%E -3.58%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -4.27%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 00:14
Bet Right🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -16.26%E -2.50%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -6.32%E -4.65%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -8.83%E -1.77%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-06 00:14
SportsBet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -16.26%E -2.50%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.70%EV -8.39%E -6.30%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.24%EV -3.36%E -0.634%K -0.782%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-06 00:10
FanDuel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -16.26%E -2.50%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.70%EV -8.39%E -6.30%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.24%EV -3.36%E -0.634%K -0.782%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-06 00:08
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -22.70%E -3.78%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 67.72%EV -10.45%E -8.04%K -34.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -8.83%E -1.77%K -2.21%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-06 00:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.