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FK Kauno Žalgiris v Dinamo Zagreb
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FK Kauno Žalgiris (Local)
Prediction 14.85%6.73fair odd
EV +0.264%
Edge +0.039%
Kelly +0.046%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.10%15.07%14.82%16.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.196.206.7518.18%16.14%16.13%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dinamo Zagreb (Visit)
Prediction 63.49%1.58fair odd
EV -3.50%
Edge -2.30%
Kelly -6.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.79%63.41%63.51%65.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.461.451.5273.53%68.58%68.97%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.66%4.62fair odd
EV -0.372%
Edge -0.081%
Kelly -0.103%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.69%21.52%21.67%22.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.254.254.6025.97%23.54%23.53%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FK Kauno Žalgiris (Local): 14.85%; Dinamo Zagreb (Visit): 63.49%; Draw: 21.66%. For FK Kauno Žalgiris (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.73. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.264%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.17%EV +0.264%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.05%EV -6.67%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.79%EV -0.372%E -0.081%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 16:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.16%EV +0.264%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.13%EV -5.40%E -3.63%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 16:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.16%EV +0.264%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.13%EV -5.40%E -3.63%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.10%EV +0.264%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.20%EV -7.31%E -5.01%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.372%E -0.081%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 16:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.10%EV +0.264%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.20%EV -7.31%E -5.01%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.372%E -0.081%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 16:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV -3.45%E -0.531%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.67%EV -3.50%E -2.30%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -9.04%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 16:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.62%EV -3.45%E -0.531%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.78%EV -5.40%E -3.63%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-11 16:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -3.45%E -0.531%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.09%EV -7.94%E -5.48%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -6.87%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 16:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -4.93%E -0.771%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -5.40%E -3.63%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -5.79%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -4.93%E -0.771%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -5.40%E -3.63%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -5.79%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -4.93%E -0.771%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.47%EV -6.67%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -7.95%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 16:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -4.93%E -0.771%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.47%EV -6.67%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -7.95%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 16:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -7.16%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -7.94%E -5.48%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.04%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-11 16:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -7.16%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -7.94%E -5.48%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.04%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-11 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -7.16%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -7.94%E -5.48%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.04%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-11 16:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -7.16%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -7.94%E -5.48%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.04%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-11 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV -7.91%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -7.94%E -5.48%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -9.04%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-11 16:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -9.39%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.16%EV -9.21%E -6.44%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -11.20%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-11 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -9.39%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.16%EV -9.21%E -6.44%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -11.20%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-11 16:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -10.88%E -1.81%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 15:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -10.88%E -1.81%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -7.94%E -5.48%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -6.87%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-11 16:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -10.88%E -1.81%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.04%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-11 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -10.88%E -1.81%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.01%EV -9.21%E -6.44%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -11.20%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-11 16:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.80%EV -10.88%E -1.81%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.99%EV -10.48%E -7.43%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-11 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.80%EV -10.88%E -1.81%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.99%EV -10.48%E -7.43%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-11 16:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -10.88%E -1.81%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -11.12%E -7.94%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-11 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -10.88%E -1.81%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -11.12%E -7.94%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-11 16:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -14.59%E -2.54%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.12%EV -3.50%E -2.30%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -14.59%E -2.54%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-11 16:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -14.59%E -2.54%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -7.94%E -5.48%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -11.20%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 14.88%EV -14.59%E -2.54%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 62.90%EV -13.66%E -10.04%K -37.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.22%EV -16.62%E -4.32%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-08-11 16:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.51%EV -16.08%E -2.85%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.79%EV -4.13%E -2.74%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.87%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 16:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -18.30%E -3.33%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.83%EV -6.04%E -4.08%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -7.95%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.27% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 64.02% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.71% | 0.1% | 2026-08-11 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.27% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 64.02% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.71% | 0.1% | 2026-08-11 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.27% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 64.02% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.71% | 0.1% | 2026-08-11 16:55 |