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FK Kauno Žalgiris v Dinamo Zagreb
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FK Kauno Žalgiris (Local)
Predicción 14.85%6.73momio equitativo
EV +0.264%
Ventaja +0.039%
Kelly +0.046%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.10%15.07%14.82%16.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.506.196.206.7518.18%16.14%16.13%14.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Dinamo Zagreb (Visitante)
Predicción 63.49%1.58momio equitativo
EV -3.50%
Ventaja -2.30%
Kelly -6.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.79%63.41%63.51%65.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.361.461.451.5273.53%68.58%68.97%65.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 21.66%4.62momio equitativo
EV -0.372%
Ventaja -0.081%
Kelly -0.103%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.69%21.52%21.67%22.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.854.254.254.6025.97%23.54%23.53%21.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: FK Kauno Žalgiris (Local): 14.85%; Dinamo Zagreb (Visitante): 63.49%; Empate: 21.66%. Para FK Kauno Žalgiris (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.73. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.75, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.264%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (33 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.17%EV +0.264%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.05%EV -6.67%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.79%EV -0.372%E -0.081%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 16:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.16%EV +0.264%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.13%EV -5.40%E -3.63%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 16:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.16%EV +0.264%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.13%EV -5.40%E -3.63%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.10%EV +0.264%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.20%EV -7.31%E -5.01%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.372%E -0.081%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 16:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.10%EV +0.264%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.20%EV -7.31%E -5.01%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.372%E -0.081%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 16:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV -3.45%E -0.531%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.67%EV -3.50%E -2.30%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -9.04%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 16:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.62%EV -3.45%E -0.531%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.78%EV -5.40%E -3.63%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-11 16:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -3.45%E -0.531%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.09%EV -7.94%E -5.48%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -6.87%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 16:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -4.93%E -0.771%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -5.40%E -3.63%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -5.79%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -4.93%E -0.771%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -5.40%E -3.63%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -5.79%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -4.93%E -0.771%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.47%EV -6.67%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -7.95%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 16:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -4.93%E -0.771%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.47%EV -6.67%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -7.95%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 16:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -7.16%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -7.94%E -5.48%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.04%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-11 16:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -7.16%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -7.94%E -5.48%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.04%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-11 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -7.16%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -7.94%E -5.48%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.04%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-11 16:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -7.16%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -7.94%E -5.48%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.04%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-11 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV -7.91%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -7.94%E -5.48%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -9.04%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-11 16:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -9.39%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.16%EV -9.21%E -6.44%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -11.20%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-11 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -9.39%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.16%EV -9.21%E -6.44%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -11.20%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-11 16:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -10.88%E -1.81%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 15:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -10.88%E -1.81%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -7.94%E -5.48%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -6.87%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-11 16:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -10.88%E -1.81%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.04%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-11 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -10.88%E -1.81%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.01%EV -9.21%E -6.44%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -11.20%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-11 16:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.80%EV -10.88%E -1.81%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.99%EV -10.48%E -7.43%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-11 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.80%EV -10.88%E -1.81%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.99%EV -10.48%E -7.43%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-11 16:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -10.88%E -1.81%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -11.12%E -7.94%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-11 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -10.88%E -1.81%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -11.12%E -7.94%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-11 16:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -14.59%E -2.54%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.12%EV -3.50%E -2.30%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -14.59%E -2.54%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-11 16:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -14.59%E -2.54%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -7.94%E -5.48%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -11.20%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 14.88%EV -14.59%E -2.54%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 62.90%EV -13.66%E -10.04%K -37.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.22%EV -16.62%E -4.32%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-08-11 16:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.51%EV -16.08%E -2.85%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.79%EV -4.13%E -2.74%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.87%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 16:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -18.30%E -3.33%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.83%EV -6.04%E -4.08%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -7.95%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.27% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 64.02% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.71% | 0.1% | 2026-08-11 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.27% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 64.02% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.71% | 0.1% | 2026-08-11 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.27% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 64.02% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.71% | 0.1% | 2026-08-11 16:55 |