Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

FK Kauno Žalgiris v Dinamo Zagreb

Inizio: 2026-08-11 17:00 UTC

Finale: FK Kauno Žalgiris 1–2 Dinamo Zagreb

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

33 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

FK Kauno Žalgiris (Casa)

Previsione 14.85%6.73quota equa
EV +0.264%
Vantaggio +0.039%
Kelly +0.046%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.10%15.07%14.82%16.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.506.196.206.7518.18%16.14%16.13%14.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Dinamo Zagreb (Trasferta)

Previsione 63.49%1.58quota equa
EV -3.50%
Vantaggio -2.30%
Kelly -6.73%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.52

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.79%63.41%63.51%65.20%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.461.451.5273.53%68.58%68.97%65.79%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 21.66%4.62quota equa
EV -0.372%
Vantaggio -0.081%
Kelly -0.103%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.69%21.52%21.67%22.68%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.854.254.254.6025.97%23.54%23.53%21.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: FK Kauno Žalgiris (Casa): 14.85%; Dinamo Zagreb (Trasferta): 63.49%; Pareggio: 21.66%. Per FK Kauno Žalgiris (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.73. 5 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 6.75, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.264%.

Quote dei bookmaker (33 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
BetUS🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.17%EV +0.264%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.05%EV -6.67%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.79%EV -0.372%E -0.081%K -0.103%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 16:49
Svenska Spel🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.16%EV +0.264%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.13%EV -5.40%E -3.63%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 16:45
ATG (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.16%EV +0.264%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.13%EV -5.40%E -3.63%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.10%EV +0.264%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.20%EV -7.31%E -5.01%K -15.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.372%E -0.081%K -0.103%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.10%EV +0.264%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.20%EV -7.31%E -5.01%K -15.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.372%E -0.081%K -0.103%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 16:49
Bovada🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV -3.45%E -0.531%K -0.627%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.67%EV -3.50%E -2.30%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -9.04%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 16:54
DraftKings🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.62%EV -3.45%E -0.531%K -0.627%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.78%EV -5.40%E -3.63%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 16:54
FanDuel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -3.45%E -0.531%K -0.627%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.09%EV -7.94%E -5.48%K -17.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -6.87%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 16:44
NordicBet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -4.93%E -0.771%K -0.914%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -5.40%E -3.63%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -5.79%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-11 16:25
Betsson🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -4.93%E -0.771%K -0.914%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -5.40%E -3.63%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -5.79%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-11 16:25
Casumo🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -4.93%E -0.771%K -0.914%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.47%EV -6.67%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -7.95%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 16:50
betPARX🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -4.93%E -0.771%K -0.914%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.47%EV -6.67%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -7.95%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 16:49
SportsBet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -7.16%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -7.94%E -5.48%K -17.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.04%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-11 16:45
Unibet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -7.16%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -7.94%E -5.48%K -17.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.04%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-11 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -7.16%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -7.94%E -5.48%K -17.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.04%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-11 16:49
Unibet (SE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -7.16%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -7.94%E -5.48%K -17.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.04%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-11 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV -7.91%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -7.94%E -5.48%K -17.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -9.04%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-11 16:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -9.39%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.16%EV -9.21%E -6.44%K -21.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -11.20%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-11 16:50
TABtouch🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -9.39%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.16%EV -9.21%E -6.44%K -21.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -11.20%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-11 16:49
Neds🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -10.88%E -1.81%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 15:44
Unibet (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -10.88%E -1.81%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -7.94%E -5.48%K -17.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -6.87%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-11 16:54
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -10.88%E -1.81%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.04%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-11 16:50
Grosvenor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -10.88%E -1.81%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.01%EV -9.21%E -6.44%K -21.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -11.20%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-11 16:45
Virgin Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.80%EV -10.88%E -1.81%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 62.99%EV -10.48%E -7.43%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-11 16:45
LiveScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.80%EV -10.88%E -1.81%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 62.99%EV -10.48%E -7.43%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-11 16:45
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -10.88%E -1.81%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -11.12%E -7.94%K -27.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-11 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -10.88%E -1.81%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -11.12%E -7.94%K -27.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-11 16:45
Betr (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -14.59%E -2.54%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.12%EV -3.50%E -2.30%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-11 16:20
Coolbet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -14.59%E -2.54%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-11 16:19
PlayUp🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -14.59%E -2.54%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -7.94%E -5.48%K -17.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -11.20%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-11 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 14.88%EV -14.59%E -2.54%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 62.90%EV -13.66%E -10.04%K -37.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.22%EV -16.62%E -4.32%K -5.83%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-11 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 16.51%EV -16.08%E -2.85%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.79%EV -4.13%E -2.74%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.87%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 16:55
Bet Right🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -18.30%E -3.33%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.83%EV -6.04%E -4.08%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -7.95%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-11 16:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.27%1.56I 64.10%NM 64.02%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.71%0.1%2026-08-11 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.27%1.56I 64.10%NM 64.02%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.71%0.1%2026-08-11 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.27%1.56I 64.10%NM 64.02%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.71%0.1%2026-08-11 16:55