A Escola das Odds

FC Thun v Dinamo Zagreb

Início: 2026-07-21 18:00 UTC

Final: FC Thun 1–1 Dinamo Zagreb

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

35 casas de apostas (8 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

FC Thun (Local)

Previsão 26.53%3.77odd justa
EV +8.24%
Vantagem +2.02%
Kelly +2.67%
Crescimento +0.220%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.31%26.68%26.44%28.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.623.604.0830.30%27.65%27.78%24.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Dinamo Zagreb (Visitante)

Previsão 48.62%2.06odd justa
EV -2.75%
Vantagem -1.38%
Kelly -2.75%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.28%48.53%48.64%51.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.761.881.882.0056.82%53.27%53.19%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.85%4.02odd justa
EV -0.363%
Vantagem -0.091%
Kelly -0.121%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.31%24.78%24.93%26.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.503.693.654.0128.57%27.11%27.40%24.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (35 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet4.08I 24.51%NM 23.31%EV +8.24%E +2.02%K +2.67%G +0.220%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.05%EV -7.61%E -4.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.64%EV -11.30%E -3.16%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV +0.809%E +0.213%K +0.289%G +0.002%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -11.02%E -6.02%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.31%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 17:50
Unibet (NL)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV +0.809%E +0.213%K +0.289%G +0.002%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -11.02%E -6.02%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.31%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 17:50
Casumo3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV +0.809%E +0.213%K +0.289%G +0.002%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -11.02%E -6.02%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.31%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 17:50
Unibet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV +0.809%E +0.213%K +0.289%G +0.002%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -11.02%E -6.02%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.31%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 17:50
Grosvenor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV +0.809%E +0.213%K +0.289%G +0.002%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -11.02%E -6.02%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.31%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 17:50
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV +0.809%E +0.213%K +0.289%G +0.002%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -11.02%E -6.02%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.31%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 17:50
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV +0.809%E +0.213%K +0.289%G +0.002%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -11.02%E -6.02%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.31%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 17:50
Svenska Spel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV +0.809%E +0.213%K +0.289%G +0.002%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -11.02%E -6.02%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.31%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 17:50
ATG (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV +0.809%E +0.213%K +0.289%G +0.002%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -11.02%E -6.02%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.31%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 17:50
betPARX3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV +0.809%E +0.213%K +0.289%G +0.002%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -11.02%E -6.02%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.31%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 17:50
Virgin Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -0.518%E -0.138%K -0.188%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -12.48%E -6.93%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-21 17:50
LiveScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -0.518%E -0.138%K -0.188%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -12.48%E -6.93%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-21 17:50
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -1.84%E -0.498%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -8.59%E -4.57%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.07%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 17:35
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -1.84%E -0.498%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -8.59%E -4.57%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.07%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 17:35
Unibet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -1.84%E -0.498%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.25%EV -14.42%E -8.19%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -8.07%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 17:50
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -5.18%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.58%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 17:50
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -5.18%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.58%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 17:55
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -5.67%E -2.92%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -8.07%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 17:50
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -7.61%E -4.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -6.82%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 17:50
BetUS3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -5.82%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.00%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.58%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 17:55
Marathon Bet3.52I 28.41%NM 26.50%EV -6.62%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -7.61%E -4.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.42%EV -5.08%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 17:55
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -8.07%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-21 17:50
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -7.61%E -4.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -8.07%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 17:50
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.61%E -4.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-21 17:50
PlayUp3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -9.07%E -4.85%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-21 17:55
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -8.48%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.71%EV -8.59%E -4.57%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -8.07%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-21 17:50
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -5.18%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-21 17:55
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -5.18%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-21 17:55
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -5.18%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-21 17:55
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.59%EV -10.05%E -5.43%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 17:50
BetOnline.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 27.74%EV -10.60%E -3.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.95%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.31%EV -0.363%E -0.091%K -0.121%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 17:40
LowVig.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 27.74%EV -10.60%E -3.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.95%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.31%EV -0.363%E -0.091%K -0.121%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 17:40
DraftKings3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -11.13%E -3.32%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -2.75%E -1.38%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -3.10%E -0.794%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-21 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.46%E -3.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.05%E -5.43%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-21 17:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-07-21 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-07-21 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-07-21 17:50