Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Kairat v PFC Levski Sofia

2026-08-11 15:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Kairat (Local)

Prediction 37.27%2.68fair odd
EV +0.623%
Edge +0.231%
Kelly +0.367%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.08%37.36%37.27%39.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.522.522.7042.55%39.65%39.68%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

PFC Levski Sofia (Visit)

Prediction 33.92%2.95fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -0.563%
Kelly -0.859%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.22%33.88%33.96%35.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.702.702.9040.00%37.00%37.04%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.81%3.47fair odd
EV +0.266%
Edge +0.076%
Kelly +0.107%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.95%28.76%28.77%30.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.123.133.4835.71%32.03%32.00%28.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Kairat (Local): 37.27%; PFC Levski Sofia (Visit): 33.92%; Draw: 28.81%. For FC Kairat (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.70, producing a positive expected value of +0.623%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.22%EV +0.623%E +0.231%K +0.367%G +0.002%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.58%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -9.24%E -2.93%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 13:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.22%EV +0.623%E +0.231%K +0.367%G +0.002%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.58%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -9.24%E -2.93%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 13:10
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -1.24%E -0.468%K -0.752%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -8.42%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -12.12%E -3.97%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 13:10
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -1.24%E -0.468%K -0.752%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -8.42%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -12.12%E -3.97%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 13:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV -1.99%E -0.755%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -8.42%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -12.12%E -3.97%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 13:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV -1.99%E -0.755%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -8.42%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -12.12%E -3.97%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 13:10
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV -1.99%E -0.755%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -8.42%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -12.12%E -3.97%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 13:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.03%EV -4.22%E -1.64%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.21%EV -10.79%E -4.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -7.23%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 15:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.03%EV -4.22%E -1.64%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.21%EV -10.79%E -4.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -7.23%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 15:35
1xBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 38.06%EV -4.59%E -1.79%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.95%EV -2.65%E -0.923%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 28.00%EV +0.266%E +0.076%K +0.107%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-06 12:29
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.71%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.16%EV -1.63%E -0.563%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.14%EV -4.92%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 21:54
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.29%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.21%EV -10.79%E -4.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.50%EV -15.00%E -5.09%K -7.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-06 13:10
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.29%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.21%EV -10.79%E -4.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.50%EV -15.00%E -5.09%K -7.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-06 13:10
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.29%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.21%EV -10.79%E -4.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.50%EV -15.00%E -5.09%K -7.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-06 13:10
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.73%EV -6.09%E -2.41%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.01%EV -2.31%E -0.802%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 12:54
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.73%EV -6.09%E -2.41%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.01%EV -2.31%E -0.802%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 12:55
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -8.42%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.24%E -2.93%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-05 21:55
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.42%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.68%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-05 21:55
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.42%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.68%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-05 21:55
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.13%E -4.25%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-05 22:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -11.81%E -4.54%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -16.44%E -5.67%K -8.66%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-06 13:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -11.81%E -4.54%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -16.44%E -5.67%K -8.66%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-06 13:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.95%EV -3.77%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 12:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -10.79%E -4.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -13.56%E -4.52%K -6.78%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-06 02:45
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -11.13%E -4.25%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -13.56%E -4.52%K -6.78%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-05 21:58
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 35.21%EV -9.44%E -3.88%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.23%EV -15.20%E -6.08%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.56%EV -19.33%E -6.90%K -10.74%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-06 13:10
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -8.42%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-05 23:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -8.42%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-05 23:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -8.42%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-05 23:15
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.42%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.68%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-06 12:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -11.81%E -4.54%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.68%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-06 00:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -12.42%E -5.29%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -3.33%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-05 22:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.