Idioma:Español
FC Kairat v PFC Levski Sofia
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Kairat (Local)
Predicción 27.06%3.70momio equitativo
EV -3.14%
Ventaja -0.877%
Kelly -1.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.04%27.04%27.03%30.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.263.303.5834.48%30.68%30.30%27.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
PFC Levski Sofia (Visitante)
Predicción 41.51%2.41momio equitativo
EV +0.858%
Ventaja +0.353%
Kelly +0.600%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.66%41.50%41.53%42.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.182.282.282.4345.87%43.80%43.86%41.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 31.44%3.18momio equitativo
EV -2.54%
Ventaja -0.819%
Kelly -1.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.62%31.46%31.44%32.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.802.973.003.1035.71%33.66%33.33%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: FC Kairat (Local): 27.06%; PFC Levski Sofia (Visitante): 41.51%; Empate: 31.44%. Para PFC Levski Sofia (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.41. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.43, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.858%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -14.78%E -4.69%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.13%EV +0.858%E +0.353%K +0.600%G +0.005% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -2.54%E -0.819%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-11 14:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -14.78%E -4.69%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.13%EV +0.858%E +0.353%K +0.600%G +0.005% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -2.54%E -0.819%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-11 14:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -17.48%E -5.73%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -1.22%E -0.512%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -4.11%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 14:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -17.48%E -5.73%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -1.22%E -0.512%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -4.11%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 14:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -17.48%E -5.73%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -1.22%E -0.512%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-11 14:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -17.48%E -5.73%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -1.22%E -0.512%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-11 14:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -17.48%E -5.73%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -1.22%E -0.512%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-11 14:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.57%EV -20.19%E -6.84%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.87%EV -3.71%E -1.60%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.57%EV -7.25%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-11 14:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.57%EV -20.19%E -6.84%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.87%EV -3.71%E -1.60%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.57%EV -7.25%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-11 14:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.41%EV -20.19%E -6.84%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.66%EV -3.71%E -1.60%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.93%EV -8.83%E -3.04%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-11 14:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.08%EV -4.12%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.01%EV -3.80%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 14:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -4.54%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.11%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 14:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -4.54%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -4.11%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 14:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.54%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 14:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.54%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 14:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -4.54%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.83%E -3.04%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-11 14:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -5.37%E -2.35%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 14:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -5.37%E -2.35%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 14:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -17.48%E -5.73%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -5.37%E -2.35%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -2.54%E -0.819%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-11 14:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -21.54%E -7.43%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.79%EV -5.37%E -2.35%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.71%EV -9.45%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-11 14:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -21.54%E -7.43%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.79%EV -5.37%E -2.35%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.71%EV -9.45%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-11 14:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -4.11%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 14:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-11 14:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -10.40%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-11 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -10.40%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-11 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.59%EV -3.14%E -0.877%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.50%EV -7.03%E -3.14%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.91%EV -3.17%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 14:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.59%EV -3.14%E -0.877%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.50%EV -7.03%E -3.14%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.91%EV -3.17%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.69%E -3.95%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.83%E -3.04%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-11 14:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -8.69%E -3.95%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -9.45%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-11 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -8.69%E -3.95%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -9.45%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-11 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -8.69%E -3.95%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -9.45%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-11 14:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.69%E -3.95%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-11 14:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.69%E -3.95%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.83%E -3.04%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-11 14:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -8.69%E -3.95%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-11 14:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -8.69%E -3.95%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-11 14:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -3.14%E -0.877%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.77%EV -9.52%E -4.37%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.18%EV -6.00%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 14:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.07% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 0.6% | 2026-08-11 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.07% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 0.6% | 2026-08-11 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.07% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 0.6% | 2026-08-11 14:55 |