Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Kairat v PFC Levski Sofia

2026-08-11 15:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (8 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Kairat (Local)

Prévision 37.27%2.68cote équitable
EV +0.623%
Avantage +0.231%
Kelly +0.367%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.08%37.36%37.27%39.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.352.522.522.7042.55%39.66%39.68%37.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

PFC Levski Sofia (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.92%2.95cote équitable
EV -2.31%
Avantage -0.802%
Kelly -1.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.22%33.88%33.96%35.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.702.702.8840.00%36.98%37.04%34.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.81%3.47cote équitable
EV +0.266%
Avantage +0.076%
Kelly +0.107%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.95%28.76%28.77%30.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.123.153.4835.71%32.02%31.75%28.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : FC Kairat (Local) : 37.27% ; PFC Levski Sofia (Visiteur) : 33.92% ; Match nul : 28.81%. Pour FC Kairat (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.68. 2 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.70, pour une espérance positive de +0.623%.

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.22%EV +0.623%E +0.231%K +0.367%G +0.002%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.58%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -9.24%E -2.93%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 13:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.22%EV +0.623%E +0.231%K +0.367%G +0.002%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.58%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -9.24%E -2.93%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 13:10
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -1.24%E -0.468%K -0.752%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -8.42%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -12.12%E -3.97%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 13:10
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -1.24%E -0.468%K -0.752%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -8.42%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -12.12%E -3.97%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 13:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV -1.99%E -0.755%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -8.42%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -12.12%E -3.97%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 13:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV -1.99%E -0.755%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -8.42%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -12.12%E -3.97%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 13:10
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV -1.99%E -0.755%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -8.42%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -12.12%E -3.97%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 13:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.03%EV -4.22%E -1.64%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.21%EV -10.79%E -4.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -7.23%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 15:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.03%EV -4.22%E -1.64%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.21%EV -10.79%E -4.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -7.23%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 15:35
1xBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 38.06%EV -4.59%E -1.79%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.95%EV -2.65%E -0.923%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 28.00%EV +0.266%E +0.076%K +0.107%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-06 12:29
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.32%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -3.33%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 16:17
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 21:54
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.29%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.21%EV -10.79%E -4.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.50%EV -15.00%E -5.09%K -7.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-06 13:10
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.29%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.21%EV -10.79%E -4.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.50%EV -15.00%E -5.09%K -7.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-06 13:10
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.29%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.21%EV -10.79%E -4.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.50%EV -15.00%E -5.09%K -7.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-06 13:10
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.73%EV -6.09%E -2.41%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.01%EV -2.31%E -0.802%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 12:54
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.73%EV -6.09%E -2.41%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.01%EV -2.31%E -0.802%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 12:55
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 16:14
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -8.42%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.24%E -2.93%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-05 21:55
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.42%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.68%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-05 21:55
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.42%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.68%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-05 21:55
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.13%E -4.25%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-05 22:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -11.81%E -4.54%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -16.44%E -5.67%K -8.66%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-06 13:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -11.81%E -4.54%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -16.44%E -5.67%K -8.66%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-06 13:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -6.72%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.95%EV -3.77%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 12:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -10.79%E -4.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -13.56%E -4.52%K -6.78%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-06 02:45
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -11.13%E -4.25%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -13.56%E -4.52%K -6.78%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-05 21:58
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 35.21%EV -9.44%E -3.88%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.23%EV -15.20%E -6.08%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.56%EV -19.33%E -6.90%K -10.74%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-06 13:10
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -8.42%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-05 23:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -8.42%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-05 23:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -8.42%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-05 23:15
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.42%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.68%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-06 12:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -11.81%E -4.54%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.68%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-06 00:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -12.42%E -5.29%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -3.33%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-05 22:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.