The School of Odds

FC Kairat v FK Sutjeska Nikšić

2026-07-08 15:00 — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Option 1: FC Kairat (Local)

1.2083.33%Min
1.2679.57%Mean
1.2778.74%Median
1.2878.13%Max
72.89%1.372Min
75.47%1.325Max
74.51%1.342Mean
74.51%1.342Median
74.51%1.342IQM
74.50%1.342Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.28 under the IQM model: 74.51%

EV -4.62%Edge -3.61%Kelly -16.51%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: FK Sutjeska Nikšić (Visit)

10.0010.00%Min
11.029.07%Mean
10.509.52%Median
13.007.69%Max
7.20%13.891Min
9.12%10.961Max
7.91%12.642Mean
7.98%12.535Median
7.98%12.535IQM
7.86%12.718Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 13.00 under the IQM model: 7.98%

EV +3.71%Edge +0.285%Kelly +0.309%Growth +0.011%

Option 3: Draw

4.9520.20%Min
5.2119.18%Mean
5.2519.05%Median
5.5018.18%Max
16.44%6.083Min
18.70%5.348Max
17.58%5.689Mean
17.51%5.711Median
17.51%5.711IQM
17.64%5.668Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 5.50 under the IQM model: 17.51%

EV -3.70%Edge -0.673%Kelly -0.822%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

BookmakerFC Kairat (Local)FK Sutjeska Nikšić (Visit) ▼DrawMarginUpdated
FanDuel1.24I 80.65% NM 75.47%EV -7.60% E -6.13% K -31.68% G +0.000%13.00I 7.69% NM 7.20%EV +3.71% E +0.285% K +0.309% G +0.011%5.40I 18.52% NM 17.33%EV -5.45% E -1.01% K -1.24% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-07 16:49
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74% NM 74.43%EV -5.37% E -4.23% K -19.88% G +0.000%12.50I 8.00% NM 7.56%EV -0.283% E -0.023% K -0.025% G +0.000%5.25I 19.05% NM 18.01%EV -8.08% E -1.54% K -1.90% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 16:50
SportsBet1.22I 81.97% NM 75.31%EV -9.09% E -7.45% K -41.33% G +0.000%12.50I 8.00% NM 7.35%EV -0.283% E -0.023% K -0.025% G +0.000%5.30I 18.87% NM 17.34%EV -7.20% E -1.36% K -1.67% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-07 16:50
Coolbet1.26I 79.37% NM 74.35%EV -6.11% E -4.85% K -23.51% G +0.000%12.00I 8.33% NM 7.81%EV -4.27% E -0.356% K -0.388% G +0.000%5.25I 19.05% NM 17.84%EV -8.08% E -1.54% K -1.90% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-07 16:59
Bet Right1.24I 80.65% NM 74.00%EV -7.60% E -6.13% K -31.68% G +0.000%12.00I 8.33% NM 7.65%EV -4.27% E -0.356% K -0.388% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.35%EV -12.45% E -2.49% K -3.11% G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-07 16:49
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33% NM 74.63%EV -10.58% E -8.82% K -52.92% G +0.000%12.00I 8.33% NM 7.46%EV -4.27% E -0.356% K -0.388% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 17.91%EV -12.45% E -2.49% K -3.11% G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-07 16:50
NordicBet1.27I 78.74% NM 72.89%EV -5.37% E -4.23% K -19.88% G +0.000%11.00I 9.09% NM 8.41%EV -12.25% E -1.11% K -1.22% G +0.000%4.95I 20.20% NM 18.70%EV -13.33% E -2.69% K -3.37% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-07 16:50
Betsson1.27I 78.74% NM 72.89%EV -5.37% E -4.23% K -19.88% G +0.000%11.00I 9.09% NM 8.41%EV -12.25% E -1.11% K -1.22% G +0.000%4.95I 20.20% NM 18.70%EV -13.33% E -2.69% K -3.37% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-07 16:50
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33% NM 75.34%EV -10.58% E -8.82% K -52.92% G +0.000%11.00I 9.09% NM 8.22%EV -12.25% E -1.11% K -1.22% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 16.44%EV -3.70% E -0.673% K -0.822% G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-07 13:40
Neds1.28I 78.13% NM 73.59%EV -4.62% E -3.61% K -16.51% G +0.000%10.50I 9.52% NM 8.97%EV -16.24% E -1.55% K -1.71% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 17.44%EV -5.45% E -1.01% K -1.24% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 12:45
Unibet1.27I 78.74% NM 73.38%EV -5.37% E -4.23% K -19.88% G +0.000%10.50I 9.52% NM 8.87%EV -16.24% E -1.55% K -1.71% G +0.000%5.25I 19.05% NM 17.75%EV -8.08% E -1.54% K -1.90% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 04:25
TABtouch1.27I 78.74% NM 73.38%EV -5.37% E -4.23% K -19.88% G +0.000%10.50I 9.52% NM 8.87%EV -16.24% E -1.55% K -1.71% G +0.000%5.25I 19.05% NM 17.75%EV -8.08% E -1.54% K -1.90% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 04:24
Casumo1.27I 78.74% NM 73.38%EV -5.37% E -4.23% K -19.88% G +0.000%10.50I 9.52% NM 8.87%EV -16.24% E -1.55% K -1.71% G +0.000%5.25I 19.05% NM 17.75%EV -8.08% E -1.54% K -1.90% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 04:25
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74% NM 73.38%EV -5.37% E -4.23% K -19.88% G +0.000%10.50I 9.52% NM 8.87%EV -16.24% E -1.55% K -1.71% G +0.000%5.25I 19.05% NM 17.75%EV -8.08% E -1.54% K -1.90% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 04:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74% NM 73.38%EV -5.37% E -4.23% K -19.88% G +0.000%10.50I 9.52% NM 8.87%EV -16.24% E -1.55% K -1.71% G +0.000%5.25I 19.05% NM 17.75%EV -8.08% E -1.54% K -1.90% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 04:24
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74% NM 73.38%EV -5.37% E -4.23% K -19.88% G +0.000%10.50I 9.52% NM 8.87%EV -16.24% E -1.55% K -1.71% G +0.000%5.25I 19.05% NM 17.75%EV -8.08% E -1.54% K -1.90% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 04:25
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74% NM 73.38%EV -5.37% E -4.23% K -19.88% G +0.000%10.50I 9.52% NM 8.87%EV -16.24% E -1.55% K -1.71% G +0.000%5.25I 19.05% NM 17.75%EV -8.08% E -1.54% K -1.90% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 04:25
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74% NM 73.38%EV -5.37% E -4.23% K -19.88% G +0.000%10.50I 9.52% NM 8.87%EV -16.24% E -1.55% K -1.71% G +0.000%5.25I 19.05% NM 17.75%EV -8.08% E -1.54% K -1.90% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 04:24
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74% NM 73.38%EV -5.37% E -4.23% K -19.88% G +0.000%10.50I 9.52% NM 8.87%EV -16.24% E -1.55% K -1.71% G +0.000%5.25I 19.05% NM 17.75%EV -8.08% E -1.54% K -1.90% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 04:24
betPARX1.27I 78.74% NM 73.38%EV -5.37% E -4.23% K -19.88% G +0.000%10.50I 9.52% NM 8.87%EV -16.24% E -1.55% K -1.71% G +0.000%5.25I 19.05% NM 17.75%EV -8.08% E -1.54% K -1.90% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 04:24
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00% NM 72.99%EV -6.86% E -5.49% K -27.43% G +0.000%10.00I 10.00% NM 9.12%EV -20.23% E -2.02% K -2.25% G +0.000%5.10I 19.61% NM 17.89%EV -10.70% E -2.10% K -2.61% G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-07 04:25
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00% NM 72.99%EV -6.86% E -5.49% K -27.43% G +0.000%10.00I 10.00% NM 9.12%EV -20.23% E -2.02% K -2.25% G +0.000%5.10I 19.61% NM 17.89%EV -10.70% E -2.10% K -2.61% G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-07 04:25
PMU (FR)1.21I 82.64% NM 72.76%EV -9.84% E -8.13% K -46.85% G +0.000%9.50I 10.53% NM 9.27%EV -24.22% E -2.55% K -2.85% G +0.000%4.90I 20.41% NM 17.97%EV -14.21% E -2.90% K -3.64% G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-07 04:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerFC Kairat (Local)FK Sutjeska Nikšić (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52% NM 76.07%14.00I 7.14% NM 7.01%5.80I 17.24% NM 16.92%1.9%2026-07-07 17:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52% NM 75.85%14.00I 7.14% NM 6.99%5.70I 17.54% NM 17.17%2.2%2026-07-07 16:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52% NM 75.85%14.00I 7.14% NM 6.99%5.70I 17.54% NM 17.17%2.2%2026-07-07 16:05