A Escola das Odds

FC Kairat v FK Sutjeska Nikšić

Início: 2026-07-08 15:00 UTC

Final: FC Kairat 2–1 FK Sutjeska Nikšić

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

34 casas de apostas (8 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

FC Kairat (Local)

Previsão 79.13%1.26odd justa
EV -3.46%
Vantagem -2.83%
Kelly -15.72%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
77.63%79.46%79.07%82.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.101.161.151.2290.91%86.43%86.96%81.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

FK Sutjeska Nikšić (Visitante)

Previsão 6.34%15.77odd justa
EV +6.23%
Vantagem +0.372%
Kelly +0.395%
Crescimento +0.025%

pressupondo odds máximas de 16.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
5.58%6.29%6.36%7.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
12.5014.7115.0016.758.00%6.80%6.67%5.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 14.53%6.88odd justa
EV +21.29%
Vantagem +2.55%
Kelly +2.90%
Crescimento +0.617%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.05%14.24%14.57%15.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.756.867.008.3517.39%14.57%14.29%11.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (34 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 82.36%EV -11.37%E -10.15%K -94.76%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV -11.21%E -0.801%K -0.862%G +0.000%8.35I 11.98%NM 11.05%EV +21.29%E +2.55%K +2.90%G +0.617%8.4%2026-07-08 14:20
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 82.36%EV -11.37%E -10.15%K -94.76%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV -11.21%E -0.801%K -0.862%G +0.000%8.35I 11.98%NM 11.05%EV +21.29%E +2.55%K +2.90%G +0.617%8.4%2026-07-08 14:20
Unibet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.62%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.99%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +1.47%E +0.092%K +0.098%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV +8.94%E +1.19%K +1.38%G +0.123%6.5%2026-07-08 14:30
Casumo1.15I 86.96%NM 81.62%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.99%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +1.47%E +0.092%K +0.098%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV +8.94%E +1.19%K +1.38%G +0.123%6.5%2026-07-08 14:30
Unibet (NL)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.62%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.99%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +1.47%E +0.092%K +0.098%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV +8.94%E +1.19%K +1.38%G +0.123%6.5%2026-07-08 14:30
Unibet (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.62%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.99%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +1.47%E +0.092%K +0.098%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV +8.94%E +1.19%K +1.38%G +0.123%6.5%2026-07-08 14:30
Grosvenor1.15I 86.96%NM 81.62%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.99%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +1.47%E +0.092%K +0.098%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV +8.94%E +1.19%K +1.38%G +0.123%6.5%2026-07-08 14:30
Svenska Spel1.15I 86.96%NM 81.62%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.99%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +1.47%E +0.092%K +0.098%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV +8.94%E +1.19%K +1.38%G +0.123%6.5%2026-07-08 14:30
ATG (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.62%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.99%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +1.47%E +0.092%K +0.098%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV +8.94%E +1.19%K +1.38%G +0.123%6.5%2026-07-08 14:30
betPARX1.15I 86.96%NM 81.62%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.99%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +1.47%E +0.092%K +0.098%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV +8.94%E +1.19%K +1.38%G +0.123%6.5%2026-07-08 14:30
Unibet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -10.58%E -9.36%K -81.39%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV +8.94%E +1.19%K +1.38%G +0.123%8.5%2026-07-08 14:15
Neds1.18I 84.75%NM 79.54%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.51%EV -20.72%E -1.66%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.95%EV +5.31%E +0.733%K +0.850%G +0.045%6.5%2026-07-08 14:40
TABtouch1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.99%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV +1.68%E +0.240%K +0.280%G +0.005%7.9%2026-07-08 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.99%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV +1.68%E +0.240%K +0.280%G +0.005%7.9%2026-07-08 14:29
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 80.72%EV -9.79%E -8.59%K -69.92%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV +1.68%E +0.240%K +0.280%G +0.005%8.7%2026-07-08 14:49
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 80.86%EV -10.58%E -9.36%K -81.39%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV +1.68%E +0.240%K +0.280%G +0.005%9.4%2026-07-08 14:30
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 80.86%EV -10.58%E -9.36%K -81.39%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV +1.68%E +0.240%K +0.280%G +0.005%9.4%2026-07-08 14:30
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 80.51%EV -10.58%E -9.36%K -81.39%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.50%EV -11.21%E -0.801%K -0.862%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV +1.68%E +0.240%K +0.280%G +0.005%9.9%2026-07-08 14:49
Betr (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.78%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.95%EV -1.95%E -0.289%K -0.339%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-08 14:55
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.42%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -11.21%E -0.801%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -1.95%E -0.289%K -0.339%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 14:55
Tipico (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 80.53%EV -11.37%E -10.15%K -94.76%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.01%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.46%EV -2.68%E -0.400%K -0.470%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-08 14:55
BetUS1.21I 82.64%NM 78.58%EV -4.25%E -3.51%K -20.24%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -11.21%E -0.801%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -5.58%E -0.859%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 14:55
Bet Right1.16I 86.21%NM 78.88%EV -8.21%E -7.07%K -51.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV -17.55%E -1.35%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.08%EV -5.58%E -0.859%K -1.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-08 14:55
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 79.61%EV -12.16%E -10.96%K -110.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.80%EV -17.55%E -1.35%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.59%EV -5.58%E -0.859%K -1.02%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-08 14:50
PMU (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 80.14%EV -12.95%E -11.78%K -129.54%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.30%EV -11.21%E -0.801%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.56%EV -5.58%E -0.859%K -1.02%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-08 14:30
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -3.46%E -2.83%K -15.72%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.80%EV -11.21%E -0.801%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV -9.21%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 14:53
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.25%E -3.51%K -20.24%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV -11.21%E -0.801%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -12.85%E -2.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 14:55
888sport1.18I 84.75%NM 77.67%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -17.55%E -1.35%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -12.85%E -2.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-08 14:55
Mr Green (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.67%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -17.55%E -1.35%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -12.85%E -2.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-08 14:55
888sport (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.67%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -17.55%E -1.35%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -12.85%E -2.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-08 14:55
Marathon Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.57%EV -5.83%E -4.90%K -30.70%G +0.000%16.75I 5.97%NM 5.58%EV +6.23%E +0.372%K +0.395%G +0.025%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.85%EV -14.30%E -2.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-08 14:55
NordicBet1.19I 84.03%NM 77.90%EV -5.83%E -4.90%K -30.70%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.39%EV -8.04%E -0.555%K -0.596%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -14.30%E -2.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-08 14:55
Betsson1.17I 85.47%NM 78.79%EV -7.42%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.59%EV +4.64%E +0.281%K +0.300%G +0.014%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.62%EV -14.30%E -2.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-08 14:49
PlayUp1.18I 84.75%NM 77.89%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -16.48%E -2.87%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-08 14:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.36%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.41%0.7%2026-07-08 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.36%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.41%0.7%2026-07-08 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.36%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.41%0.7%2026-07-08 14:55