L’École des cotes

FC Kairat v FK Sutjeska Nikšić

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-08 15:00 UTC

Score final : FC Kairat 2–1 FK Sutjeska Nikšić

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (8 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Kairat (Local)

Prévision 79.13%1.26cote équitable
EV -3.46%
Avantage -2.83%
Kelly -15.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
77.63%79.46%79.07%82.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.101.161.151.2290.91%86.43%86.96%81.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FK Sutjeska Nikšić (Visiteur)

Prévision 6.34%15.77cote équitable
EV +6.23%
Avantage +0.372%
Kelly +0.395%
Croissance +0.025%

avec la cote maximale 16.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.58%6.29%6.36%7.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
12.5014.7115.0016.758.00%6.80%6.67%5.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 14.53%6.88cote équitable
EV +21.29%
Avantage +2.55%
Kelly +2.90%
Croissance +0.617%

avec la cote maximale 8.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.05%14.24%14.57%15.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.756.867.008.3517.39%14.57%14.29%11.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 82.36%EV -11.37%E -10.15%K -94.76%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV -11.21%E -0.801%K -0.862%G +0.000%8.35I 11.98%NM 11.05%EV +21.29%E +2.55%K +2.90%G +0.617%8.4%2026-07-08 14:20
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 82.36%EV -11.37%E -10.15%K -94.76%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV -11.21%E -0.801%K -0.862%G +0.000%8.35I 11.98%NM 11.05%EV +21.29%E +2.55%K +2.90%G +0.617%8.4%2026-07-08 14:20
Unibet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.62%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.99%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +1.47%E +0.092%K +0.098%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV +8.94%E +1.19%K +1.38%G +0.123%6.5%2026-07-08 14:30
Casumo1.15I 86.96%NM 81.62%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.99%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +1.47%E +0.092%K +0.098%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV +8.94%E +1.19%K +1.38%G +0.123%6.5%2026-07-08 14:30
Unibet (NL)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.62%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.99%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +1.47%E +0.092%K +0.098%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV +8.94%E +1.19%K +1.38%G +0.123%6.5%2026-07-08 14:30
Unibet (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.62%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.99%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +1.47%E +0.092%K +0.098%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV +8.94%E +1.19%K +1.38%G +0.123%6.5%2026-07-08 14:30
Grosvenor1.15I 86.96%NM 81.62%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.99%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +1.47%E +0.092%K +0.098%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV +8.94%E +1.19%K +1.38%G +0.123%6.5%2026-07-08 14:30
Svenska Spel1.15I 86.96%NM 81.62%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.99%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +1.47%E +0.092%K +0.098%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV +8.94%E +1.19%K +1.38%G +0.123%6.5%2026-07-08 14:30
ATG (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.62%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.99%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +1.47%E +0.092%K +0.098%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV +8.94%E +1.19%K +1.38%G +0.123%6.5%2026-07-08 14:30
betPARX1.15I 86.96%NM 81.62%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.99%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +1.47%E +0.092%K +0.098%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV +8.94%E +1.19%K +1.38%G +0.123%6.5%2026-07-08 14:30
Unibet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -10.58%E -9.36%K -81.39%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV +8.94%E +1.19%K +1.38%G +0.123%8.5%2026-07-08 14:15
Neds1.18I 84.75%NM 79.54%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.51%EV -20.72%E -1.66%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.95%EV +5.31%E +0.733%K +0.850%G +0.045%6.5%2026-07-08 14:40
TABtouch1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.99%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV +1.68%E +0.240%K +0.280%G +0.005%7.9%2026-07-08 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.99%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV +1.68%E +0.240%K +0.280%G +0.005%7.9%2026-07-08 14:29
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 80.72%EV -9.79%E -8.59%K -69.92%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV +1.68%E +0.240%K +0.280%G +0.005%8.7%2026-07-08 14:49
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 80.86%EV -10.58%E -9.36%K -81.39%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV +1.68%E +0.240%K +0.280%G +0.005%9.4%2026-07-08 14:30
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 80.86%EV -10.58%E -9.36%K -81.39%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV +1.68%E +0.240%K +0.280%G +0.005%9.4%2026-07-08 14:30
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 80.51%EV -10.58%E -9.36%K -81.39%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.50%EV -11.21%E -0.801%K -0.862%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV +1.68%E +0.240%K +0.280%G +0.005%9.9%2026-07-08 14:49
Betr (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.78%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.95%EV -1.95%E -0.289%K -0.339%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-08 14:55
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.42%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -11.21%E -0.801%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -1.95%E -0.289%K -0.339%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 14:55
Tipico (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 80.53%EV -11.37%E -10.15%K -94.76%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.01%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.46%EV -2.68%E -0.400%K -0.470%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-08 14:55
BetUS1.21I 82.64%NM 78.58%EV -4.25%E -3.51%K -20.24%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -11.21%E -0.801%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -5.58%E -0.859%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 14:55
Bet Right1.16I 86.21%NM 78.88%EV -8.21%E -7.07%K -51.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV -17.55%E -1.35%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.08%EV -5.58%E -0.859%K -1.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-08 14:55
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 79.61%EV -12.16%E -10.96%K -110.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.80%EV -17.55%E -1.35%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.59%EV -5.58%E -0.859%K -1.02%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-08 14:50
PMU (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 80.14%EV -12.95%E -11.78%K -129.54%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.30%EV -11.21%E -0.801%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.56%EV -5.58%E -0.859%K -1.02%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-08 14:30
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -3.46%E -2.83%K -15.72%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.80%EV -11.21%E -0.801%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV -9.21%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 14:53
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.25%E -3.51%K -20.24%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV -11.21%E -0.801%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -12.85%E -2.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 14:55
888sport1.18I 84.75%NM 77.67%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -17.55%E -1.35%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -12.85%E -2.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-08 14:55
Mr Green (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.67%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -17.55%E -1.35%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -12.85%E -2.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-08 14:55
888sport (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.67%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -17.55%E -1.35%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -12.85%E -2.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-08 14:55
Marathon Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.57%EV -5.83%E -4.90%K -30.70%G +0.000%16.75I 5.97%NM 5.58%EV +6.23%E +0.372%K +0.395%G +0.025%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.85%EV -14.30%E -2.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-08 14:55
NordicBet1.19I 84.03%NM 77.90%EV -5.83%E -4.90%K -30.70%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.39%EV -8.04%E -0.555%K -0.596%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -14.30%E -2.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-08 14:55
Betsson1.17I 85.47%NM 78.79%EV -7.42%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.59%EV +4.64%E +0.281%K +0.300%G +0.014%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.62%EV -14.30%E -2.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-08 14:49
PlayUp1.18I 84.75%NM 77.89%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -16.48%E -2.87%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-08 14:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.36%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.41%0.7%2026-07-08 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.36%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.41%0.7%2026-07-08 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.36%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.41%0.7%2026-07-08 14:55