La scuola delle quote

FC Drita v FK Kauno Žalgiris

Inizio: 2026-07-14 18:00 UTC

Finale: FC Drita 2–3 FK Kauno Žalgiris

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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32 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

FC Drita (Casa)

Previsione 39.56%2.53quota equa
EV -3.09%
Vantaggio -1.26%
Kelly -2.13%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.87%39.70%39.72%41.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.372.402.4545.45%42.15%41.67%40.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

FK Kauno Žalgiris (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.17%3.21quota equa
EV -3.36%
Vantaggio -1.08%
Kelly -1.60%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.87%31.10%31.11%33.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.652.882.893.1037.74%34.67%34.60%32.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.27%3.42quota equa
EV -4.58%
Vantaggio -1.40%
Kelly -2.03%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.26

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.41%29.20%29.17%29.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.163.203.2633.33%31.66%31.25%30.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (32 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -4.87%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-14 14:58
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.69%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14%EV -8.04%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -4.87%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-14 16:09
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-14 15:00
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-14 16:50
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-14 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-14 16:50
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-14 16:50
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-14 16:50
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-14 16:50
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-14 16:50
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-14 16:50
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-14 16:49
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-14 16:50
BetUS2.41I 41.49%NM 38.96%EV -4.67%E -1.94%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.61%EV -7.41%E -2.50%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.43%EV -6.63%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-14 16:49
Marathon Bet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.66%EV -4.67%E -1.94%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.48%EV -7.73%E -2.61%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -8.68%E -2.78%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-14 17:04
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.07%E -2.11%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -4.87%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-14 09:19
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -5.07%E -2.11%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -14.27%E -5.19%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -7.80%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-14 16:50
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -5.07%E -2.11%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -14.27%E -5.19%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -7.80%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-14 16:50
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.04%E -3.00%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-14 09:17
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.04%E -3.00%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.04%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.26%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-14 17:05
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.04%E -3.00%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.04%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.26%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-14 09:19
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.76%EV -8.23%E -3.55%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -7.10%E -2.38%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.80%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-14 17:05
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 39.76%EV -8.23%E -3.55%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -7.10%E -2.38%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.80%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-14 17:04
PMU (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 37.93%EV -8.23%E -3.55%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.21%EV -17.39%E -6.56%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -10.73%E -3.52%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-14 16:50
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.02%E -3.92%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.26%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-14 16:49
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.02%E -3.92%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.22%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.19%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-14 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.02%E -3.92%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.22%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.19%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-14 17:04
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -11.00%E -4.89%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -8.04%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -9.26%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-14 17:14
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -11.00%E -4.89%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -12.19%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-14 14:59
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 41.72%EV -12.19%E -5.49%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -4.58%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-14 11:29
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 41.72%EV -12.19%E -5.49%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -4.58%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-14 11:30
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.32%EV -12.98%E -5.90%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.59%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -10.73%E -3.52%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-14 16:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.58%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-07-14 17:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.58%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-07-14 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.58%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-07-14 17:15