La escuela de los momiosEspañol
FC Drita v FK Kauno Žalgiris
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Drita (Local)
Predicción 39.56%2.53momio equitativo
EV -3.09%
Ventaja -1.26%
Kelly -2.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.87%39.70%39.72%41.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.372.402.4545.45%42.15%41.67%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
FK Kauno Žalgiris (Visitante)
Predicción 31.17%3.21momio equitativo
EV -3.36%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -1.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.87%31.10%31.11%33.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.882.893.1037.74%34.67%34.60%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.27%3.42momio equitativo
EV -4.58%
Ventaja -1.40%
Kelly -2.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.41%29.20%29.17%29.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.163.203.2633.33%31.66%31.25%30.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (32 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -4.87%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-14 14:58 |
| DraftKings | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.69%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14%EV -8.04%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -4.87%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-14 16:09 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-14 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 16:49 |
| betPARX | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| BetUS | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.96%EV -4.67%E -1.94%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.61%EV -7.41%E -2.50%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.43%EV -6.63%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-14 16:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.66%EV -4.67%E -1.94%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.48%EV -7.73%E -2.61%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -8.68%E -2.78%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-14 17:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.07%E -2.11%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -4.87%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -5.07%E -2.11%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -14.27%E -5.19%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -7.80%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -5.07%E -2.11%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -14.27%E -5.19%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -7.80%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.04%E -3.00%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-14 09:17 |
| SportsBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.04%E -3.00%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.04%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.26%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-14 17:05 |
| Bet Right | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.04%E -3.00%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.04%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.26%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| NordicBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.76%EV -8.23%E -3.55%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -7.10%E -2.38%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.80%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-14 17:05 |
| Betsson | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.76%EV -8.23%E -3.55%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -7.10%E -2.38%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.80%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-14 17:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.93%EV -8.23%E -3.55%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.21%EV -17.39%E -6.56%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -10.73%E -3.52%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.02%E -3.92%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.26%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-14 16:49 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.02%E -3.92%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.22%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.19%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.02%E -3.92%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.22%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.19%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-14 17:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -11.00%E -4.89%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -8.04%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -9.26%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-14 17:14 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -11.00%E -4.89%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -12.19%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-14 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.72%EV -12.19%E -5.49%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -4.58%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.72%EV -12.19%E -5.49%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -4.58%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-14 11:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.32%EV -12.98%E -5.90%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.59%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -10.73%E -3.52%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-14 16:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.58% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 1.1% | 2026-07-14 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.58% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 1.1% | 2026-07-14 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.58% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 1.1% | 2026-07-14 17:15 |