L’École des cotesFrançais
FC Drita v FK Kauno Žalgiris
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
FC Drita (Local)
Prévision 39.56%2.53cote équitable
EV -3.09%
Avantage -1.26%
Kelly -2.13%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.87%39.70%39.72%41.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.372.402.4545.45%42.15%41.67%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
FK Kauno Žalgiris (Visiteur)
Prévision 31.17%3.21cote équitable
EV -3.36%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -1.60%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.87%31.10%31.11%33.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.882.893.1037.74%34.67%34.60%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.27%3.42cote équitable
EV -4.58%
Avantage -1.40%
Kelly -2.03%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.26
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.41%29.20%29.17%29.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.163.203.2633.33%31.66%31.25%30.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (32 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -4.87%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-14 14:58 |
| DraftKings | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.69%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14%EV -8.04%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -4.87%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-14 16:09 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-14 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 16:49 |
| betPARX | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -3.09%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| BetUS | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.96%EV -4.67%E -1.94%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.61%EV -7.41%E -2.50%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.43%EV -6.63%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-14 16:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.66%EV -4.67%E -1.94%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.48%EV -7.73%E -2.61%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -8.68%E -2.78%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-14 17:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.07%E -2.11%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -4.87%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -5.07%E -2.11%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -14.27%E -5.19%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -7.80%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -5.07%E -2.11%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -14.27%E -5.19%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -7.80%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.04%E -3.00%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-14 09:17 |
| SportsBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.04%E -3.00%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.04%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.26%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-14 17:05 |
| Bet Right | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.04%E -3.00%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.04%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.26%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| NordicBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.76%EV -8.23%E -3.55%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -7.10%E -2.38%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.80%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-14 17:05 |
| Betsson | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.76%EV -8.23%E -3.55%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -7.10%E -2.38%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.80%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-14 17:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.93%EV -8.23%E -3.55%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.21%EV -17.39%E -6.56%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -10.73%E -3.52%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.02%E -3.92%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.26%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-14 16:49 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.02%E -3.92%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.22%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.19%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.02%E -3.92%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.22%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.19%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-14 17:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -11.00%E -4.89%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -8.04%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -9.26%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-14 17:14 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -11.00%E -4.89%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -12.19%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-14 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.72%EV -12.19%E -5.49%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -4.58%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.72%EV -12.19%E -5.49%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -4.58%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-14 11:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.32%EV -12.98%E -5.90%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.59%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -10.73%E -3.52%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-14 16:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.58% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 1.1% | 2026-07-14 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.58% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 1.1% | 2026-07-14 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.58% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 1.1% | 2026-07-14 17:15 |