Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.55
assuming max odds 5.90
assuming max odds 5.22
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bodø/Glimt (Local): 61.98%; NEC Nijmegen (Visit): 18.57%; Draw: 19.45%. For NEC Nijmegen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.39. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.56%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.70%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.45%EV +9.56%E +1.62%K +1.95%G +0.187% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.85%EV +0.193%E +0.038%K +0.047%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-25 11:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.52%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.83%EV +0.277%E +0.051%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.65%EV -4.67%E -0.953%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.52%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.83%EV +0.277%E +0.051%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.65%EV -4.67%E -0.953%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.14%EV -9.52%E -6.52%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.50%EV -0.651%E -0.122%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.36%EV -0.780%E -0.153%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -5.80%E -3.81%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -2.51%E -0.478%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -18.29%E -4.35%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -5.80%E -3.81%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -2.51%E -0.478%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -18.29%E -4.35%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-25 18:53 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.20%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -3.44%E -0.661%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -8.56%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.20%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -3.44%E -0.661%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -8.56%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.20%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -3.44%E -0.661%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -8.56%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.85%EV -3.94%E -2.54%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.16I 19.38%NM 18.58%EV -4.18%E -0.810%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.57%EV -4.67%E -0.953%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-25 18:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.12%EV -4.37%E -0.848%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -7.59%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-25 18:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.24%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -5.29%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -6.62%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.72%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -5.29%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -10.51%E -2.28%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.72%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -5.29%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -10.51%E -2.28%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.72%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -5.29%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -10.51%E -2.28%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.49%EV -5.18%E -3.38%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.39%EV +1.17%E +0.224%K +0.278%G +0.003% | 4.6% | 2026-08-25 16:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.49%EV -3.94%E -2.54%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV -4.67%E -0.953%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-25 18:53 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.69%EV -5.80%E -3.81%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.22I 19.16%NM 18.25%EV +1.56%E +0.298%K +0.369%G +0.006% | 4.9% | 2026-08-25 16:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.69%EV -5.80%E -3.81%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.22I 19.16%NM 18.25%EV +1.56%E +0.298%K +0.369%G +0.006% | 4.9% | 2026-08-25 16:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -5.18%E -3.38%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -4.67%E -0.953%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-25 18:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.80%E -3.81%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -2.73%E -0.545%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-25 18:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -8.56%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -12.45%E -2.77%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-25 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -12.45%E -2.77%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-25 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -12.45%E -2.77%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-25 16:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -9.01%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -2.73%E -0.545%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.31%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.52%EV -9.01%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -12.45%E -2.77%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.31%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.52%EV -9.01%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -12.45%E -2.77%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.48%EV -8.90%E -6.05%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -9.01%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -12.45%E -2.77%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-25 18:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.36%EV -9.52%E -6.52%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -9.01%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -14.40%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-25 18:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.36%EV -9.52%E -6.52%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -9.01%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -14.40%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-25 18:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.69%EV -5.80%E -3.81%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.71%EV -9.94%E -2.05%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -18.29%E -4.35%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.87%EV -10.76%E -7.47%K -24.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -11.79%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -10.51%E -2.28%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.61%EV -10.76%E -7.47%K -24.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -11.79%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%EV -12.45%E -2.77%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.72%EV -3.94%E -2.54%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -14.58%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -2.73%E -0.545%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-25 18:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40%EV -5.80%E -3.81%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -18.29%E -4.16%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -4.67%E -0.953%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-25 17:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.53%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -19.59%E -4.52%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -12.45%E -2.77%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-25 18:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.12% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80% | 0.3% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.43% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.78% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79% | 0.4% | 2026-08-25 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.43% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.78% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79% | 0.4% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |