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Bodø/Glimt v NEC Nijmegen
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Bodø/Glimt (Local)
Predicción 61.98%1.61momio equitativo
EV -3.94%
Ventaja -2.54%
Kelly -7.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.53%61.91%62.03%64.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.441.501.501.5569.44%66.55%66.67%64.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
NEC Nijmegen (Visitante)
Predicción 18.57%5.39momio equitativo
EV +9.56%
Ventaja +1.62%
Kelly +1.95%
Crecimiento +0.187%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.45%18.50%18.47%20.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.335.035.005.9023.09%19.90%20.00%16.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 19.45%5.14momio equitativo
EV +1.56%
Ventaja +0.298%
Kelly +0.369%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.25%19.59%19.50%21.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.204.714.705.2223.81%21.21%21.28%19.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Bodø/Glimt (Local): 61.98%; NEC Nijmegen (Visitante): 18.57%; Empate: 19.45%. Para NEC Nijmegen (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.39. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.90, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +9.56%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.70%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.45%EV +9.56%E +1.62%K +1.95%G +0.187% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.85%EV +0.193%E +0.038%K +0.047%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-25 11:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.52%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.83%EV +0.277%E +0.051%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.65%EV -4.67%E -0.953%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.52%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.83%EV +0.277%E +0.051%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.65%EV -4.67%E -0.953%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.14%EV -9.52%E -6.52%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.50%EV -0.651%E -0.122%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.36%EV -0.780%E -0.153%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -5.80%E -3.81%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -2.51%E -0.478%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -18.29%E -4.35%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -5.80%E -3.81%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -2.51%E -0.478%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -18.29%E -4.35%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-25 18:53 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.20%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -3.44%E -0.661%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -8.56%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.20%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -3.44%E -0.661%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -8.56%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.20%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -3.44%E -0.661%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -8.56%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.85%EV -3.94%E -2.54%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.16I 19.38%NM 18.58%EV -4.18%E -0.810%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.57%EV -4.67%E -0.953%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-25 18:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.12%EV -4.37%E -0.848%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -7.59%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-25 18:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.24%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -5.29%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -6.62%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.72%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -5.29%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -10.51%E -2.28%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.72%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -5.29%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -10.51%E -2.28%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.72%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -5.29%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -10.51%E -2.28%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.49%EV -5.18%E -3.38%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.39%EV +1.17%E +0.224%K +0.278%G +0.003% | 4.6% | 2026-08-25 16:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.49%EV -3.94%E -2.54%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV -4.67%E -0.953%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-25 18:53 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.69%EV -5.80%E -3.81%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.22I 19.16%NM 18.25%EV +1.56%E +0.298%K +0.369%G +0.006% | 4.9% | 2026-08-25 16:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.69%EV -5.80%E -3.81%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.22I 19.16%NM 18.25%EV +1.56%E +0.298%K +0.369%G +0.006% | 4.9% | 2026-08-25 16:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -5.18%E -3.38%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -4.67%E -0.953%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-25 18:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.80%E -3.81%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -2.73%E -0.545%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-25 18:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -8.56%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -12.45%E -2.77%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-25 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -12.45%E -2.77%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-25 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -12.45%E -2.77%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-25 16:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -9.01%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -2.73%E -0.545%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.31%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.52%EV -9.01%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -12.45%E -2.77%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.31%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.52%EV -9.01%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -12.45%E -2.77%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.48%EV -8.90%E -6.05%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -9.01%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -12.45%E -2.77%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-25 18:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.36%EV -9.52%E -6.52%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -9.01%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -14.40%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-25 18:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.36%EV -9.52%E -6.52%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -9.01%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -14.40%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-25 18:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.69%EV -5.80%E -3.81%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.71%EV -9.94%E -2.05%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -18.29%E -4.35%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.87%EV -10.76%E -7.47%K -24.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -11.79%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -10.51%E -2.28%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.61%EV -10.76%E -7.47%K -24.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -11.79%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%EV -12.45%E -2.77%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.72%EV -3.94%E -2.54%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -14.58%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -2.73%E -0.545%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-25 18:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40%EV -5.80%E -3.81%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -18.29%E -4.16%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -4.67%E -0.953%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-25 17:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.53%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -19.59%E -4.52%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -12.45%E -2.77%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-25 18:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.12% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80% | 0.3% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.43% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.78% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79% | 0.4% | 2026-08-25 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.43% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.78% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79% | 0.4% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |